EVTL Stock Price Prediction

Vertical Aerospace Ltd

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5.770

+0.080(+1.410%)

Overview
Forecast
Valuation

Should I Buy Vertical Aerospace Ltd Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. EVTL has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.

EVTL stock price ended at $5.77 on Friday, after rising 1.41%

The Vertical Aerospace Ltd stock price increased by 1.41% on the last trading day (16 May 2025), rising from 6 to 5.77. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 13.30% , ranging from a day low of $5.34 to a day high of 6.05. The price has declined in 1 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 43.18% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -107.22K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 688.75K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 3.89M.

EVTL Technical Signals

EVTL(Vertical Aerospace Ltd Corp) has 4 buy signals and 6 sell signals now. The current trend is uptrend starting from 2025-05-07. The total price change during this trend is +40.05%. Recently, the price has decreased but the volume has also decreased, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of EVTL over the last 5 trading days is 3.28M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bearish outlook in the mid-term.

EVTL Moving Average Analysis

Vertical Aerospace Ltd's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Monday, May 19, 2025, with 1 negative signals and 3 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $6.229033333333334, and $7.050333333333333. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $3.571633333333333, and $2.7503333333333333. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

EVTL Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of Vertical Aerospace Ltd(EVTL) as of 12 May 2025 is 37.46%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 4.31 to 4.77. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating a price reversion.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Positive

Stock Price Above SMA_5

Short Term

Positive

SMA_5 Above SMA_20

Mid Term

Positive

SMA_20 Above SMA_60

Long Term

Negative

SMA_60 Below SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

4 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 > 0

1.354

Bullish

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 > 0

1.74

Bullish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 > 0

0.458

Bullish

Closing price

close > fibonacci_R1

5.77

Bullish

6 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Relative Strength Index (14 days)

RSI_14 > 70

80.285

Bearish

Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)

STOCHk_14_3_3 > 80

91.373

Bearish

Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)

CCI_20_0.015 > 100

196.03

Bearish

Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)

STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80

100

Bearish

Williams %R (14 days)

WILLR_14 > -20

-10.98

Bearish

Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)

UO_7_14_28 > 70

72.062

Bearish

EVTL Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Vertical Aerospace Ltd(EVTL), our algorithm predicts EVTL's 1-month price at $4.01, with an -30.49%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 98.72%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for Vertical Aerospace Ltd (EVTL.N) stock, as of Sunday, May 18, 2025 , forecasts a -30.49% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with KIRK.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 98.72%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

EVTL

Future prediction

Up: -30.49%

KIRK

Down: -30.49%Similarity: 98.72%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

KIRK.O

98.72%

-30.49%

TOI.O

98.57%

-9.67%

HSBC.N

98.53%

+13.41%

STRL.O

98.48%

-0.83%

GCBC.O

98.45%

+6.46%

TOI.O

98.29%

-7.43%

AGM.N

98.28%

-11.57%

ATI.N

98.26%

+29.89%

WLFC.O

98.18%

-1.91%

EVTL Seasonality Analysis

Based on EVTL's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is40.00%, suggesting it maynotbe an ideal month to invest in EVTL. In contrast,Januaryoffers the highest probability of positive returns at60.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying Vertical Aerospace Ltd (EVTL.N) stock in January has the highest probability of a positive return (60.00%), while August has the lowest probability (0.00%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.