The chart below shows how EHTH performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, EHTH sees a +2.20% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -0.43% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -1.61%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Exceptional AEP Performance: eHealth delivered outstanding AEP results, materially exceeding expectations for enrollment volumes, revenue, and earnings.
Quarterly Revenue Increase: Fourth quarter revenue grew 27% compared to a year ago, with Medicare submissions across agency and amplified fulfillment models growing 38%.
Agency Model Submission Growth: The agency model saw submissions grow by 49%, well above the overall Medicare market.
GAAP Net Income Profitability: The company was profitable on a GAAP net income basis for both the fourth quarter and the full year 2024.
EBITDA Growth and Margin Expansion: Fourth quarter adjusted EBITDA grew in excess of 70% compared to a year ago, representing meaningful margin expansion.
MA Plan Disruption Impact: The company observed unprecedented disruption to MA plan offerings, leading to elevated consumer demand as beneficiaries sought better coverage options.
Commission Suppression Strategy: eHealth successfully navigated commission suppression challenges due to its broad selection of plans and carrier agnostic strategy.
Direct Channel Enrollment Growth: The marketing organization achieved over 100% growth in fourth quarter enrollments from direct channels compared to the previous year.
Medicare Advantage LTV Improvement: The Medicare Advantage LTV to CAC ratio improved from 1.5x in Q4 2023 to 2x in Q4 2024, indicating better unit economics.
Record Revenue and Net Income: The company reported record-high revenue and net income for any quarter in its history, with fourth quarter revenue reaching $315.2 million and net income increasing 87% to $97.5 million.
Medicare Revenue Growth: The Medicare segment revenue grew 31%, with total Medicare submissions increasing 38% across agency and Amplify enrollments.
Medicare Acquisition Cost Improvement: Acquisition costs per approved Medicare member improved by 23%, driven by enhanced lead quality and higher conversions.
Strong Liquidity Position: The company ended the year with $82.2 million in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities, indicating strong liquidity.
Revenue and EBITDA Targets: eHealth is tracking nicely against its three-year revenue and adjusted EBITDA targets, with a goal to grow at an 8% to 10% revenue CAGR between 2023 and 2026.
Negative
Volume Performance Concerns: Amplify volume came in below expectations, indicating a potential weakness in the carrier-dedicated fulfillment model.
Medicare Advantage Market Uncertainty: The Medicare Advantage market is expected to remain fluid, making it difficult to predict consumer demand for the upcoming AEP, which could impact future revenues.
Flat Revenue Outlook: The company anticipates a relatively flat revenue outlook compared to the previous year, suggesting a lack of growth momentum.
Enrollment Volume Decline: Due to recent regulatory changes, the company expects a decline in enrollment volume in Q2 and Q3, which could negatively affect overall performance during those periods.
EBITDA Decline Forecast: The forecast for adjusted EBITDA is expected to decline at each quarter relative to the same periods a year ago, indicating potential profitability challenges ahead.
eHealth, Inc. (EHTH) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
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