The chart below shows how DENN performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, DENN sees a +0.46% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +0.08% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -2.13%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Sales Recovery Trend: Sequential improvement in sales for Denny's brand, with September showing a positive 1.1% increase after a flat July and a negative 1.7% in August, indicating a recovery trend.
Everyday Value Sales Lift: The launch of the $2, $4, $6, $8 Everyday Value proposition contributed to a 2% to 2.5% sales lift, demonstrating effective customer engagement and value perception.
Virtual Brand Expansion: Denny's introduced a third virtual brand, Banda Burrito, which contributed approximately 70 basis points to sales, showcasing successful expansion into new market segments.
Diner 2.0 Remodel Success: The remodel program, Diner 2.0, has shown strong results, with remodeled locations outperforming the average by $400,000, indicating effective capital investment in enhancing customer experience.
Franchise Expansion Potential: Keke's Breakfast Cafe has signed over 140 development agreements, indicating strong franchisee interest and growth potential in new markets, with plans to expand beyond Florida.
Negative
Operating Revenue Decline: Denny's reported a total operating revenue of $111.8 million, which reflects a decline in adjusted company restaurant operating margin to 11.8%, down from previous quarters, indicating pressure on profitability.
EBITDA Guidance Adjustment: The company is tightening its sales guidance range, with a downward adjustment in EBITDA expectations to $81 million to $84 million, signaling potential challenges in achieving prior financial targets.
Restaurant Closures Strategy: Denny's is planning to close 75 to 95 underperforming restaurants, up from an initial estimate of 40 to 60 closures, which suggests a more aggressive approach to portfolio optimization due to ongoing performance issues.
Sales Decline Analysis: The Keke's brand experienced a negative 1% sales decline, heavily impacted by weather-related disruptions, highlighting vulnerabilities in its growth strategy amid external challenges.
Family Dining Segment Challenges: The company acknowledged that the family dining segment has contracted the most since COVID, with Denny's being the second player in this segment, indicating ongoing struggles to regain pre-pandemic traffic levels.
Denny's Corporation (DENN) CEO Kelli Valade Hosts Investor Day and Q3 2024 Earnings Call (Transcript)
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