The chart below shows how DAY performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, DAY sees a -0.72% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +2.49% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.20%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Q4 Revenue Increase: Total revenue for Q4 reached $465.2 million, reflecting a 16.4% increase on a GAAP basis and a 17% increase on a constant currency basis.
Recurring Revenue Growth: Dayforce recurring revenue, excluding float, grew to $307.6 million, marking a 20% increase on a GAAP basis and 20.4% on a constant currency basis.
Adjusted EBITDA Performance: Adjusted EBITDA for the full year was $501.5 million, up 22.3%, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 28.5%, expanding 140 basis points year-over-year.
Free Cash Flow Increase: Free cash flow for the year was $171.5 million, representing a 63.2% increase, with free cash flow as a percentage of revenue at 9.7%, expanding 280 basis points.
Customer Growth Metrics: The number of live customers increased to 6,876, with 7.6 million active users on Dayforce, both up approximately 10% year-over-year.
Negative
Recurring Revenue Stagnation: Powerpay recurring revenue, excluding float, was $23,100,000 flat on a GAAP basis, indicating stagnation in this segment despite overall growth in other areas.
Revenue Misses Expectations: Employee volumes, tax filing fees, and print fees missed expectations by approximately $3,000,000, negatively impacting Dayforce recurring revenue growth.
Revenue Reduction Analysis: Contract amendments resulted in a $1,000,000 reduction in recurring revenue, reallocating funds to professional services instead, which could indicate customer dissatisfaction or changing needs.
Currency Impact on Revenue: A $2,000,000 foreign exchange headwind negatively impacted revenue guidance, reflecting vulnerability to currency fluctuations in international markets.
Foreign Exchange Impact on Revenue: The company anticipates a 200 basis points headwind to full year 2025 revenue growth due to current foreign exchange rates, suggesting potential challenges in achieving revenue targets.
Earnings call transcript: Dayforce beats Q4 2024 forecasts, stock dips
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