CSIQ Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how CSIQ performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, CSIQ sees a +1.53% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -4.17% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -1.56%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
CSIQ Key Earning Data
CSIQ Earnings Analysis
Positive
Solar Module Shipments: In Q4 2024, Canadian Solar shipped 8.2 gigawatts of solar modules, contributing to a total of 31.1 gigawatts for the year, demonstrating strong operational capacity.
Resilient Net Income Performance: Despite a challenging market, Canadian Solar generated a net income of $34 million or $0.48 per diluted share, showcasing resilience in a tough operating environment.
Record Energy Storage Shipments: The company reported record-breaking energy storage shipments of 2.2 gigawatt hours in Q4, totaling 6.6 gigawatt hours for the year, reflecting a more than 500% year-over-year increase.
Energy Storage Innovation: Canadian Solar's energy storage solutions, particularly the SolBank 3.0, are positioned to meet the growing demand for reliable, around-the-clock clean energy, indicating strong product innovation.
Strong Backlog and Pipeline: The company has a robust backlog of $3.2 billion and a record pipeline of 79 gigawatt hours for energy storage, indicating strong future demand and growth potential.
U.S. Manufacturing Expansion: Canadian Solar's U.S. manufacturing facilities are on track, with a module factory expected to ramp up to 3 gigawatts in 2025, enhancing domestic production capabilities.
Strong Gross Margin: The company maintained a gross margin of 18.4% for its CSI Solar business, indicating strong profitability despite market challenges.
O&M Business Expansion: Canadian Solar's global operations and maintenance (O&M) business has expanded significantly, now managing 4.2 gigawatts of solar and 3.2 gigawatt hours of standalone storage, enhancing operational efficiency.
2025 Revenue Expectations: The company expects to deliver between $7.3 billion and $8.3 billion in revenue for the full year of 2025, reflecting confidence in future performance despite market uncertainties.
Negative
Decline in Solar Revenue: In the fourth quarter, Canadian Solar shipped 8.2 gigawatts of solar modules, but total revenue for 2024 was only US$6 billion, indicating a decline due to rapid global module pricing drops and lighter project sales from Recurrent Energy.
Gross Margin Decline: The company faced significant gross margin pressure due to inventory write-downs, trade-related duties and tariffs, and project asset impairments, which collectively reduced gross margin by more than 950 basis points.
Increased Operating Expenses: Operating expenses increased due to elevated freight costs and impairments to solar power and battery energy storage systems, leading to a net loss before non-controlling interest of $135 million.
Surge in Administrative Expenses: General and administrative expenses surged by 120% sequentially, driven by substantial impairments to manufacturing assets and solar power systems, which negatively impacted operating margins by approximately 350 basis points.
Net Income Analysis: The company reported a net income of only $34 million or $0.48 per diluted share, which was significantly bolstered by a $132 million positive impact from HLBV accounting related to tax equity arrangements, indicating underlying financial struggles.
Revenue Guidance Challenges: The fourth quarter revenue was at the lower end of guidance due to project sales delays, reflecting operational challenges and market uncertainties.
Gross Margin Forecast Q1 2025: The anticipated gross margin for Q1 2025 is expected to be between 9% to 11%, which is lower than usual, primarily due to seasonally lower energy storage shipments and ongoing tariff impacts.
Market Challenges Ahead: The company expects continued consolidation in the solar market and geopolitical uncertainties to impact all business lines, indicating a challenging environment ahead.
CSIQ FAQs
How does CSIQ typically perform around its earnings report dates?
CSIQ's stock performance around earnings reports can vary, but historical data shows specific patterns, such as a +1.53% change leading up to the report and a -4.17% change in the 10 days following the release.
Is Canadian Solar Inc (CSIQ) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary positive or negative?
How can historical earnings data help predict future stock performance?
CSIQ Earning Call Sentiment
Canadian Solar Inc. (CSIQ) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

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