Technical Analysis: CQP's stock has shown a downward trend in recent trading sessions, with the price declining from $63.14 to $62.05. The stock is currently testing support levels around $61.50.
News Impact: A significant bearish catalyst emerged as Stifel downgraded CQP from Hold to Sell, though slightly raising the price target from $50 to $51. The analyst notes that while Sabine Pass expansion prospects have improved, this potential is already priced in. The Stage 5 expansion won't be operational until 2030 or later, with financial investment decisions not expected until 2026 at earliest.
Price Prediction for Next Week: Based on technical indicators and recent news:
The stock is likely to test lower levels next week due to:
Recommendation: SELL
The combination of technical weakness and fundamental concerns suggests further downside potential in the near term. The stock appears overvalued relative to near-term catalysts, with major growth drivers still years away.
The price of CQP is predicted to go up -29.41%, based on the high correlation periods with CIO. The similarity of these two price pattern on the periods is 92.21%.
CQP
CIO
At $600-$700 per ton for incremental capacity expansion projects, Cheniere has some of the lowest-cost LNG projects on the global cost curve, well below the U.S. average of $800 per ton and similar targets by Australian LNG producers.
Cheniere's contracts are very strong, with no price reopeners, no linkage to oil prices, and flexibility on delivery points.
Cheniere should have billions of dollars to deploy over the next few years toward stock repurchases, dividends or distributions, or further LNG projects.
Barclays
2025-01-16
Price Target
$46 → $54
Downside
-13.1%
Wells Fargo
2024-12-18
Price Target
$49 → $55
Downside
-1.17%