Should I Buy CMT? CMT 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Core Molding Technologies Inc (CMT) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Sell

Latest Price

19.420

1 Day change

3.30%

52 Week Range

22.290

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/28

CMT is not a good buy right now for a beginner, long-term investor with $50k–$100k who wants to act immediately. The latest quarter shows sharp YoY declines in revenue, net income, and EPS, insiders are selling aggressively, and the near-term trend signals are weak-to-neutral with a negative MACD. With no clear catalyst and a bearish 1-month pattern expectation, the risk/reward is unfavorable today—avoid buying and treat it as a sell/avoid for new money.

Technical Analysis

Price/Trend: CMT is up +2.13% today to 19.09, but the technical backdrop is not supportive of a strong long-term entry. - MACD: Histogram is negative (-0.0435) and still below zero (bearish), though contracting (downside momentum is easing, not reversed). - RSI(6): 48.39 (neutral), showing no oversold “bounce” signal. - Moving Averages: Converging MAs indicate consolidation rather than a clear uptrend. - Key levels: Pivot 18.846 is the nearby “line in the sand.” Immediate resistance is R1 19.407 then R2 19.754; support sits at S1 18.284 then S2 17.937. - Pattern-based outlook: Similar-pattern model implies ~-7.87% over the next month, which argues against buying now. **Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals** - [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): no signal on given stock today. - [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock recently.

Options Data

Positive Catalysts

Gross margin improved in 2025/Q3 (+2.66% YoY), which can support profits if revenue stabilizes.
If CMT reclaims and holds above ~19.41 (R1) and pushes toward ~19.75 (R2), short-term sentiment could improve from “range-bound” to “attempting breakout.”
No news in the last week reduces immediate headline risk (but also means no clear upside trigger).

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Insiders are Selling: selling amount increased 503.75% over the last month, a meaningful negative sentiment signal.
Latest quarter (2025/Q3) showed broad weakness: revenue, net income, and EPS all fell sharply YoY.
Technical setup is not bullish (MACD below zero, MAs converging), and the 1-month pattern projection is notably negative.
No recent news/catalysts to justify paying up today.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3. - Revenue: 58.44M, down -19.94% YoY (clear top-line contraction). - Net Income: 1.88M, down -40.60% YoY (profit deterioration faster than sales). - EPS: 0.22, down -38.89% YoY. - Gross Margin: 17.36%, up +2.66% YoY (a bright spot), but margin improvement did not offset the demand/revenue decline. Overall: The growth trend in the most recent quarter is negative, which weakens the long-term “buy now” case.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating or price target change data was provided, so no recent trend in upgrades/downgrades can be confirmed. Wall Street-style pros/cons view (based on provided fundamentals/flows): Pros: improving gross margin; potential cyclical rebound if end-demand returns. Cons: declining revenue and earnings in the latest quarter; strong insider selling; no clear catalyst; weak-to-neutral technicals. Politicians/influential figures: No recent congress trading data available in the last 90 days.

1 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast CMT stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CMT is 22 USD with a low forecast of 22 USD and a high forecast of 22 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

1 Buy

0 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 18.800

Low

Averages

High