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CINF Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Cincinnati Financial Corp(CINF) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Cincinnati Financial Corp earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-10-27After Hours2.012.85+41.792.88B3.73B+29.48-3.74-1.93
FY2025Q22025-07-28After Hours1.391.97+41.732.79B3.25B+16.22+3.62-0.62
FY2025Q12025-04-28After Hours-0.61-0.24+60.662.71B2.57B-5.16+2.93+5.67
FY2024Q42025-02-10After Hours1.903.14+65.262.63B2.54B-3.45+2.81+0.73
FY2024Q32024-10-24After Hours1.461.42-2.742.53B3.32B+31.20+2.18+1.87
FY2024Q22024-07-25-0.971.29+32.992.45B2.54B+3.87+0.22+8.82
FY2024Q12024-04-25-1.691.72+1.782.51B2.94B+17.12-1.23-2.18
FY2023Q42024-02-06-1.932.28+18.132.52B3.36B+33.20+0.30-1.11
FY2023Q32023-10-26-1.071.66+55.142.24B1.81B-19.24+1.31+3.60
FY2023Q22023-07-27-0.721.21+68.062.19B2.61B+19.13-0.97+5.57
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CINF Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Cincinnati Financial Corp reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-10-27. The company achieved an EPS of 2.85, compared to analyst estimates of 2.01 by 41.79% . Revenue for the quarter reached 3.73B compared to expectations of 2.88B by 29.48% .
The stock price reacted with a -3.74% one-day change and a -1.93% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Cincinnati Financial Corp growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

CINF Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Cincinnati Financial Corp(CINF) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 2.83B and an EPS of 2.77.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Upward by 1.37%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 17.94%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -3.79% . These revisions correlate with a 6.29% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Cincinnati Financial Corp long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between CINF's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+1.37%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+17.94%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-3.79%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
up Image
+6.29%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:11.77B
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:7.27
—
Stock Price163.01
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CINF Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Cincinnati Financial Corp revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-10-27,After Hours):
EPS: 2.85 (Actual) vs.2.01 (Estimate) (41.79%)
Revenue: 3.73B (Actual) vs. 2.88B (Estimate) (29.48%)
Price Reaction: -3.74%(1-Day), -1.93%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-07-28,After Hours):
EPS: 1.97 (Actual) vs.1.39 (Estimate) (41.73%)
Revenue: 3.25B (Actual) vs. 2.79B (Estimate) (16.22%)
Price Reaction: 3.62%(1-Day), -0.62%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-04-28,After Hours):
EPS: -0.24 (Actual) vs.-0.61 (Estimate) (60.66%)
Revenue: 2.57B (Actual) vs. 2.71B (Estimate) (-5.16%)
Price Reaction: 2.93%(1-Day), 5.67%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how CINF performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, CINF sees a -0.03% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +3.67% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.11%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed -3.74% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 5.56% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

Cincinnati Financial Corp (CINF) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-10-28
The earnings call summary and Q&A reflect strong financial performance, with growth in investment income, healthy pricing strategies, and a record-high book value. The expansion of the reinsurance program and focus on underwriting profitability provide a positive outlook. Despite some concerns in commercial auto and large losses, management's confidence and strategic measures mitigate these risks. The company's capital management and shareholder return plans further bolster investor sentiment. While there are uncertainties in California's insurance market, the overall outlook remains positive, suggesting a likely stock price increase of 2% to 8%.
Cincinnati Financial Corp (CINF) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-07-29
The earnings call summary indicates strong financial performance, with record high book value per share and improved combined ratio. The Q&A further supports this with consistent reserve development, strong premium growth, and effective risk management strategies. Despite challenges in workers' compensation and commercial auto, management's prudent approach and strategic initiatives, such as reinsurance and agency expansion, position the company well. The absence of significant negative trends or uncertainties, combined with optimistic guidance, suggests a positive stock price reaction over the next two weeks.
Cincinnati Financial Corp (CINF) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-04-29
The earnings call presents a mixed picture. Financial performance shows growth in premiums and investment income, but there are significant catastrophe losses impacting combined ratios, especially in personal lines. The dividend increase is a positive signal for shareholders. However, the Q&A highlights concerns about competitive pressures and uncertainties like tariffs. The reluctance to provide detailed guidance on certain issues adds uncertainty. Overall, the positive and negative factors balance each other, leading to a neutral sentiment.
Cincinnati Financial Corp (CINF) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-04-29
The earnings call reveals significant challenges: a net loss due to increased catastrophe losses, a high combined ratio, and reserve strengthening in commercial auto. Despite growth in net written premiums and investment income, the company's financial health is strained by macroeconomic headwinds and competitive pressures. The Q&A section highlights management's vague responses on critical issues like wildfire claims and tariffs, adding uncertainty. The dividend increase and share repurchases provide some positives, but the overall sentiment is negative, suggesting a likely stock price decline of -2% to -8% over the next two weeks.
Cincinnati Financial Corp (CINF) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-02-11
The earnings call summary shows strong financial performance with significant premium growth, improved combined ratios, and increased investment income. The 7% dividend increase and substantial share repurchases are positive for shareholder returns. Despite challenges like catastrophe losses and reserve strengthening, the overall outlook remains optimistic with continued rate increases and no significant concerns in key segments. The Q&A section didn't reveal major negative sentiments, and management's responses were mostly reassuring. These factors suggest a positive stock price movement in the near term.
Cincinnati Financial Corporation (CINF) Q3 2024 Earnings Conference Call Summary
Positive
2024-10-25
The earnings call summary reveals strong premium growth across multiple segments, robust investment income growth, and a record high book value per share. The Q&A section highlights management's confidence in pricing strategies and market opportunities, despite challenges like social inflation and litigation costs. The capital return to shareholders and stable financial health also contribute positively. While there are some concerns about loss ratios and reserve additions, the overall sentiment is positive, with optimism for future growth, warranting a positive stock price reaction in the short term.
Cincinnati Financial Corporation (CINF) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-07-26
The earnings call summary indicates strong financial performance with record high book value, solid growth in net written premiums, and increased investment income. Despite some unfavorable reserve developments, the company maintains a low debt-to-capital ratio and has been actively returning value to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases. The Q&A section reveals a confident management team addressing concerns, with a focus on maintaining competitive positioning and prudent risk selection. Overall, the positive financial metrics and shareholder returns suggest a likely positive stock price movement over the next two weeks.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of CINF’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

CINF reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-10-27, showcasing a revenue of 3.73B against an estimate of 2.88B, resulting in a 29.48% surprise. The EPS was 2.85, surpassing the expected 2.01 by 41.79% . The stock experienced a -3.74% price change on the earnings day and a -1.93% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did CINF’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following CINF’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-10-27, the stock price moved by -3.74% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -1.93% change. Historically, CINF’s stock price tends to shift by an average of -0.03% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +3.67% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for CINF for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate CINF’s annual revenue to reach 2.83B, while the EPS is projected at 2.77. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Upward by 1.37% and EPS estimates Revise Downward by -3.79% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does CINF’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between CINF’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Upward by 1.37%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Downward by -3.79% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from CINF’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, CINF’s stock price typically moves by -0.03% in the 10 days before its earnings and +3.67% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 2.77 and revenue of 2.83B.
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What is the sentiment in Cincinnati Financial Corp (CINF) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call summary and Q&A reflect strong financial performance, with growth in investment income, healthy pricing strategies, and a record-high book value. The expansion of the reinsurance program and focus on underwriting profitability provide a positive outlook. Despite some concerns in commercial auto and large losses, management's confidence and strategic measures mitigate these risks. The company's capital management and shareholder return plans further bolster investor sentiment. While there are uncertainties in California's insurance market, the overall outlook remains positive, suggesting a likely stock price increase of 2% to 8%.
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