BROS Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how BROS performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, BROS sees a -1.19% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +5.03% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.26%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
BROS Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
Year Over Year
Quarter Over Quarter
Total Revenue
342.79M
34.89%
1.35%
Gross Margin
28.61%
19.11%
-2.69%
Operating Margin
5.88%
482.18%
-45.00%
Net Margin
1.86%
225.68%
-71.03%
EPS
0.03
250.00%
-72.73%
No Data Available
BROS Earnings Analysis
Dutch Bros Inc Corporation (BROS.N) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
Strong Revenue Growth Drivers: Revenue growth of 33% in 2024, driven by 18% new shop growth with 151 new shop openings and 5.3% system same shop sales growth.
Adjusted EBITDA Surge: Adjusted EBITDA increased by 44% in 2024, reflecting strong performance in the four wall P&L and continued adjusted SG&A leverage.
Same Shop Sales Growth: In Q4, company-operated same shop sales grew by 9.5%, with a significant contribution from transaction growth of 5.2%.
Q4 Revenue and EBITDA Growth: Q4 revenue reached $343 million, marking a 35% increase year-over-year, with adjusted EBITDA growing by 41% to $49 million.
Member Transaction Growth: The Dutch Rewards program saw a record 71% of transactions coming from members, an increase of over 500 basis points year-over-year.
Negative
EBITDA Margin Pressure: Adjusted EBITDA is expected to face approximately 70 to 80 basis points of margin pressure in 2025 due to elevated coffee costs, which could impact overall profitability.
Rising Interest Expenses: Interest expense increased by $709,000 year-over-year to $6,800,000, primarily due to higher long-term debt costs, indicating rising financial burdens.
Coffee Seed Price Impact: Coffee seed prices are projected to maintain elevated levels, leading to an expected 110 basis points of COGS margin pressure in 2025, which could negatively affect profit margins.
Modest Sales Growth Outlook: The company anticipates a modest system same shop sales growth of only 2% to 4% for 2025, reflecting challenges in maintaining previous growth rates amid tough comparisons.
High Capital Expenditures Impact: CapEx per shop was approximately $1,800,000 in Q4, and the company expects to continue facing high capital expenditures, which may strain cash flow and limit financial flexibility.
BROS FAQs
How does BROS typically perform around its earnings report dates?
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BROS Earning Call Sentiment
Earnings call transcript: Dutch Bros beats Q4 2024 estimates, shares surge
BROS.N
3.91%Positive
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with a 33% revenue increase and robust EBITDA growth. The company plans significant expansion with new shop openings and has a solid liquidity position. Positive trends in mobile orders and rewards program adoption further support growth. However, some uncertainties in advertising impact and food test progress were noted. The Q&A section confirmed ongoing strength into Q1. With a $4 billion market cap, the overall sentiment is positive, likely resulting in a 2%-8% stock price increase over the next two weeks.
