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The earnings call highlights strong transaction growth, increased net interest income, and strategic investments in technology and risk management. Despite macroeconomic challenges, American Express maintains its revenue growth guidance and demonstrates confidence in its competitive positioning. The Q&A section reveals stable spending trends and effective strategies to counter competition. The $2 billion capital return to shareholders and robust credit metrics further support a positive outlook. However, some concerns about provision expenses and unclear responses on competition impact slightly temper the sentiment, resulting in an overall positive rating.
Revenue Revenues reached a record $17.9 billion, up 9% year-over-year. The increase was attributed to strong performance across spend, transactions, demand for new cards, retention, and credit, despite macroeconomic and geopolitical challenges.
Earnings Per Share (EPS) Earnings per share were $4.08, up 17% year-over-year, excluding last year's gain from the sale of Accertify. The growth was driven by strong revenue performance and operational efficiencies.
Total Card Member Spending Total Card Member spending was up 7% year-over-year. While travel categories like airlines and lodging were softer, spending in other categories reached a quarterly record.
Net Card Fees Net card fees grew 20% year-over-year (FX-adjusted), reaching record levels. This growth was driven by acquiring new customers onto fee-based products, strong retention, and product refreshes.
Transaction Growth Transaction growth was up 9% year-over-year, indicating strong customer engagement and consistent performance over the past few quarters.
Loans and Card Member Receivables Loans and Card Member receivables increased 6% year-over-year (FX-adjusted). Growth was primarily driven by premium products, with Pay Over Time and co-brand portfolios contributing around 80% of the growth.
Provision Expense Provision expense was $1.4 billion, including a reserve build of $222 million. This reflects growth in loan volume and a worse macroeconomic outlook.
Net Interest Income (NII) Net interest income grew at a double-digit pace year-over-year. Growth was driven by balance sheet expansion and margin improvements through better pricing for risk and lending features.
Operating Expenses (OpEx) Operating expenses (excluding Accertify) were up 9% year-over-year. The increase was driven by investments in enterprise risk management capabilities and technology as the company scales.
Capital Return Returned $2 billion of capital to shareholders, including $0.6 billion in dividends and $1.4 billion in share repurchases. The CET1 ratio was 10.6%, within the target range of 10% to 11%.
U.S. Consumer and Business Platinum Cards refresh: Upcoming refresh planned for fall, focusing on enriching value propositions with more benefits and offerings.
Premium card portfolio growth: Recent refreshes of U.S. Consumer Gold, Delta, and Hilton Cards drove double-digit account growth, 30%+ revenue growth, and 60%+ card fee revenue growth.
Global premium card market: The total addressable market is growing globally, driven by value proposition innovations, competitor investments, and generational shifts.
International business growth: International business grew 12% FX-adjusted in Q2, showing double-digit growth.
Revenue growth: Achieved record revenue of $17.9 billion, up 9% year-over-year.
Net card fees: Net card fees reached record levels, up 20% FX-adjusted, driven by premium product focus.
Expense management: Operating expenses as a percentage of revenue reduced from 25% in 2023 to 21% this quarter, showing 4 points of operating leverage.
Premium sector focus: Strategic investments in premium products and partnerships to sustain leadership in the premium card category.
Capital management: Returned $2 billion to shareholders, including $1.4 billion in share repurchases and $0.6 billion in dividends.
Macroeconomic and Geopolitical Uncertainty: The company acknowledges significant macroeconomic and geopolitical developments, which could impact customer spending and overall business performance.
Softer Travel Spending: Spending in travel categories like airlines and lodging has been softer, which could affect revenue growth in these segments.
Reserve Build Due to Worsened Macroeconomic Outlook: A reserve build of $222 million was recorded, reflecting growth in loan volume and a worsened macroeconomic outlook, indicating potential credit risks.
Competitive Pressures in Premium Card Market: The competition for premium customers remains intense, which could challenge the company's ability to maintain its leadership position.
Expense Growth Outpacing Revenue: Variable customer engagement (VCE) expenses grew faster than revenue, driven by investments in risk management and technology, which could pressure margins.
Credit Risk and Reserve Requirements: The company has strong credit performance but acknowledges the need for reserve builds due to potential macroeconomic challenges, which could impact profitability.
Full Year Revenue Growth and EPS Guidance: The company reaffirmed its full-year revenue growth guidance of 8% to 10% and earnings per share (EPS) guidance of $15 to $15.50.
U.S. Consumer and Business Platinum Card Refresh: The company is planning a refresh of its U.S. Consumer and Business Platinum Cards in the fall, aiming to enhance value propositions with more benefits and offerings.
Premium Card Market Growth: The total addressable market for premium cards is growing globally, driven by value proposition innovations, competitor investments, and generational shifts. The company expects to sustain its leadership in this space.
Premium Lending Business Growth: The company sees a long runway for growth in its premium lending business, driven by balance sheet growth and margin expansion while maintaining low credit risk.
Expense Management: For the full year, operating expense growth is expected to be in the mid-single digits, driven by investments in risk management and technology.
Dividend Payments: The company returned $0.6 billion to shareholders in the form of dividends during Q2 2025.
Dividend Increase: In Q1 2025, the company increased its dividend by 17%.
Share Repurchases: The company repurchased $1.4 billion worth of shares during Q2 2025.
Capital Return Strategy: The company returned a total of $2 billion to shareholders in Q2 2025, including dividends and share repurchases.
The earnings call revealed several negative factors: challenging market conditions, unfavorable contract renewals, increased financial leverage, and a significant net loss. Although there was revenue growth, it was mitigated by negative events like a cybersecurity incident. The Q&A highlighted uncertainties with CEO change, ongoing margin pressures, and financial restructuring efforts. These factors, combined with high leverage and negative cash flows, suggest a negative sentiment, likely resulting in a stock price decline of -2% to -8%.
The earnings call highlights strong performance in premium card segments, optimistic guidance, and strategic refreshes. Despite unclear details on competitive takeaways and new card potential, the overall sentiment is positive with stable consumer health, strong international growth, and effective expense management. The Q&A supports optimism with robust SME growth and engagement in the Platinum card refresh. These factors suggest a positive stock reaction.
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