Should I Buy Alcon AG Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. ALC has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
ALC stock price ended at $86.2 on Friday, after losing -3.28%
The Alcon AG stock price decreased by -3.28% on the last trading day (13 Jun 2025), dropping from 87.44 to 86.2. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 1.92% , ranging from a day low of $86.07 to a day high of 87.72. The price has declined in 4 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 0.30% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -666.52K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 1.65M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 143.20M.
ALC Technical Signals
ALC(Alcon AG Corp) has 1 buy signal and 5 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-06-11. The total price change during this trend is -2.69%. Recently, the price has decreased but the volume has also decreased, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of ALC over the last 5 trading days is 163.68M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bearish outlook in the mid-term.
ALC Moving Average Analysis
Alcon AG's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Monday, June 16, 2025, with 3 negative signals and 1 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $90.49567333333333, and $92.64633333333333. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $83.53699333333331, and $81.38633333333331. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
ALC Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Alcon AG(ALC) as of 13 Jun 2025 is 24.95%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 89.12 to 86.20. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating further declines.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
5
Buy
1
Moving Average
Swing
NegativeStock Price Below SMA_5
Short Term
PositiveSMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
NegativeSMA_20 Below SMA_60
Long Term
NegativeSMA_60 Below SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
1 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
0.26
Bullish
5 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 < 0
-2.091
Bearish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 < 0
-0.907
Bearish
Moving Average
Price crosses below 5-day SMA
--
Bearish
Moving Average
Price crosses below 10-day SMA
--
Bearish
Moving Average
Price crosses below 20-day SMA
--
Bearish
ALC Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Alcon AG(ALC), our algorithm predicts ALC's 1-month price at $82.03, with an -4.84%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 97.99%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Alcon AG (ALC.N) stock, as of Sunday, June 15, 2025 , forecasts a -4.84% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with LFST.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 97.99%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
ALC
No Data
LFST
Down: -4.84%Similarity: 97.99%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
LFST.O
97.99%
-4.84%
GH.O
97.90%
-10.17%
SCLX.O
97.84%
-7.89%
IMVT.O
97.77%
-8.54%
CYH.N
97.76%
-0.96%
FDS.N
97.75%
-1.15%
JAMF.O
97.75%
+5.96%
LPTH.O
97.73%
+8.00%
MIRM.O
97.73%
-27.77%
LSTA.O
97.71%
+11.11%
ALC Seasonality Analysis
Based on ALC's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in June is71.43%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in ALC. In contrast,Julyoffers the highest probability of positive returns at83.33%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Alcon AG (ALC.N) stock in July has the highest probability of a positive return (83.33%), while September has the lowest probability (16.67%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Alcon AG. (ALC)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
Should I buy Alcon AG (ALC.N) stock?
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Is ALC a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
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