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AL Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Air Lease Corp(AL) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Air Lease Corp earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-11-03After Hours1.571.29-17.83742.95M725.39M-2.36-0.34-0.06
FY2025Q22025-08-04After Hours1.251.40+12.00710.41M731.70M+3.00-0.44+0.67
FY2025Q12025-05-05After Hours1.201.51+25.83708.00M738.28M+4.28+8.02+10.03
FY2024Q42025-02-13After Hours1.071.34+25.23703.22M712.90M+1.38+6.69+2.76
FY2024Q22024-08-01-1.561.15-26.28685.00M667.29M-2.59-3.85-14.75
FY2024Q12024-05-06-1.411.24-12.06677.17M663.31M-2.05+0.27-4.49
FY2023Q42024-02-15-1.101.89+71.82674.18M716.57M+6.29+1.99-5.82
FY2023Q32023-11-06-1.081.10+1.85657.71M659.36M+0.25+0.92+1.44
FY2023Q22023-08-03-1.091.10+0.92659.94M672.90M+1.96-1.77-1.32
-2023-05-01-1.001.06+6.00----0.07-5.92
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AL Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Air Lease Corp reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-11-03. The company achieved an EPS of 1.29, compared to analyst estimates of 1.57 by -17.83% . Revenue for the quarter reached 725.39M compared to expectations of 742.95M by -2.36% .
The stock price reacted with a -0.34% one-day change and a -0.06% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Air Lease Corp growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

AL Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Air Lease Corp(AL) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 782.67M and an EPS of 1.17.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Downward by -0.43%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Downward by -9.09%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -0.05% . These revisions correlate with a 0.39% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Air Lease Corp long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between AL's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
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-0.43%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
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-9.09%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-0.05%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
up Image
+0.39%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:2.97B
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:6.18
—
Stock Price63.95
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AL Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Air Lease Corp revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-11-03,After Hours):
EPS: 1.29 (Actual) vs.1.57 (Estimate) (-17.83%)
Revenue: 725.39M (Actual) vs. 742.95M (Estimate) (-2.36%)
Price Reaction: -0.34%(1-Day), -0.06%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-08-04,After Hours):
EPS: 1.40 (Actual) vs.1.25 (Estimate) (12.00%)
Revenue: 731.70M (Actual) vs. 710.41M (Estimate) (3.00%)
Price Reaction: -0.44%(1-Day), 0.67%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-05-05,After Hours):
EPS: 1.51 (Actual) vs.1.20 (Estimate) (25.83%)
Revenue: 738.28M (Actual) vs. 708.00M (Estimate) (4.28%)
Price Reaction: 8.02%(1-Day), 10.03%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how AL performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, AL sees a -1.43% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +0.53% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.16%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed -0.34% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -0.27% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

Air Lease Corp (AL) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-08-04
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with increased rental and maintenance revenues, a solid sales pipeline, and improved profit margins. Despite some concerns about interest expenses and ongoing litigation, the company's strong liquidity position, successful insurance recoveries, and optimistic guidance on yields and end-of-lease revenues suggest positive sentiment. The Q&A section supports this view, with analysts showing interest in capital allocation and fleet management strategies. Overall, the company's growth prospects and financial health indicate a positive stock price movement over the next two weeks.
Air Lease Corp (AL) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-05-05
The earnings call presents a mixed outlook. Financial performance is strong, with EPS and revenue exceeding expectations, supported by insurance recoveries. However, aircraft delivery delays and rising interest expenses pose risks. The Q&A revealed management's reluctance to provide clear guidance on insurance claims and capital allocation. While shareholder returns and liquidity are strong, uncertainty in tariffs and economic factors weigh on sentiment. Overall, the positive financials are offset by operational challenges and vague management responses, leading to a neutral sentiment.
Air Lease Corp (AL) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-02-15
The earnings call summary presents a positive outlook with EPS exceeding expectations and a share repurchase program announced. Despite risks from delivery delays and litigation, strong operational performance and favorable lease renewals indicate potential growth. The Q&A section reveals cautious optimism about returning to pre-pandemic ROE levels, with management expressing confidence in improved lease yields. While uncertainties remain, the overall sentiment leans towards a positive stock price movement over the next two weeks.
Air Lease Corporation (AL) Q3 2024 Earnings Conference Call Summary
Neutral
2024-11-08
The earnings call revealed mixed signals: strong financial performance with revenue growth and a dividend increase, but challenges like rising interest expenses, supply chain constraints, and regulatory issues. The Q&A indicated some uncertainty in profit margins and lack of guidance. The positive aspects are offset by risks and uncertainties, resulting in a neutral sentiment for stock price movement.
Air Lease Corporation (AL) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2024-08-02
The earnings call presents mixed indicators: financial performance shows a slight revenue decline and increased interest expenses, but the company maintains a strong liquidity position and a robust sales pipeline. The Q&A reveals management's confidence in maintaining profit margins and lease rates, though uncertainties remain regarding geopolitical risks and regulatory issues. The shareholder return plan is positive, with gains from aircraft sales. Overall, the sentiment is neutral, balancing positive strategic actions against financial and external challenges.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of AL’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

AL reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-11-03, showcasing a revenue of 725.39M against an estimate of 742.95M, resulting in a -2.36% surprise. The EPS was 1.29, surpassing the expected 1.57 by -17.83% . The stock experienced a -0.34% price change on the earnings day and a -0.06% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did AL’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following AL’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-11-03, the stock price moved by -0.34% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -0.06% change. Historically, AL’s stock price tends to shift by an average of -1.43% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +0.53% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for AL for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate AL’s annual revenue to reach 782.67M, while the EPS is projected at 1.17. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Downward by -0.43% and EPS estimates Revise Downward by -0.05% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does AL’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between AL’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Downward by -0.43%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Downward by -0.05% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from AL’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, AL’s stock price typically moves by -1.43% in the 10 days before its earnings and +0.53% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 1.17 and revenue of 782.67M.
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What is the sentiment in Air Lease Corp (AL) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with increased rental and maintenance revenues, a solid sales pipeline, and improved profit margins. Despite some concerns about interest expenses and ongoing litigation, the company's strong liquidity position, successful insurance recoveries, and optimistic guidance on yields and end-of-lease revenues suggest positive sentiment. The Q&A section supports this view, with analysts showing interest in capital allocation and fleet management strategies. Overall, the company's growth prospects and financial health indicate a positive stock price movement over the next two weeks.
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