ABM Price Prediction Next Week
Technical Analysis
Based on recent price action for ABR (Arbor Realty Trust), the stock shows significant bearish momentum after a sharp decline of 13.29% to $12.00 on February 22, 2025. The dramatic sell-off was triggered by disappointing Q4 2024 earnings results, with net income falling 34.7% year-over-year.
Key Technical Indicators:
- Current price significantly below both 50-day and 200-day moving averages
- High trading volume during recent decline indicates strong selling pressure
- RSI likely in oversold territory after sharp drop
Fundamental Factors:
- Q4 2024 EPS came in at $0.40, showing deterioration in earnings power
- Full year net income decreased 29% to $283 million from $400 million in 2023
- Company faces multiple headwinds including:
- High interest rate environment impacting earnings
- Volatility in commercial real estate lending
- Increased competition in bridge lending
- Ongoing legal expenses from short seller reports
Price Prediction for Next Week (March 11-15, 2025):
- Bearish Case ($10.50): Continued selling pressure and broader market weakness
- Base Case ($11.25): Minor technical bounce but overall bearish trend remains
- Bullish Case ($12.50): Oversold conditions spark short-term relief rally
Recommendation: SELL
- Strong bearish momentum and deteriorating fundamentals suggest further downside
- Multiple headwinds create challenging operating environment
- Technical damage from recent sharp decline needs time to repair
- Price target: $11.25 with potential downside to $10.50
ABM Similar Chart Price Prediction
The price of ABM is predicted to go up -3.41%, based on the high correlation periods with FNF. The similarity of these two price pattern on the periods is 92.47%.
ABM
FNF
Down: -3.41%Similarity: 92.47%
