Stocks Dive, Oil and Gold Surge Amid Israel-Iran Conflict

Updated: 13 Jun 25
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Global markets reacted sharply as Israel launched a military strike on Iran, citing concerns over Tehran's nuclear program. U.S. stock futures fell by over 1%, while oil prices spiked 6%, reflecting fears of supply disruptions in the Middle East. Safe-haven assets like gold, the Japanese yen, and the Swiss franc gained traction as geopolitical tensions rattled investor sentiment. Analysts suggest heightened volatility will persist, with markets closely monitoring potential retaliatory actions and their implications for global stability.

Market Reactions to Israel-Iran Conflict

U.S. stock futures plunged sharply following news of Israel's military strike on Iran, which heightened concerns about geopolitical instability. S&P 500 futures dropped 1.3%, while Nasdaq 100 futures declined 1.5%, reflecting heightened risk-off sentiment in global markets. Asian indices mirrored this negative momentum, with Japan's Nikkei losing 1.4% and South Korea's KOSPI slipping 1.2%.

Oil prices spiked significantly, with Brent crude rising 6% to $73.56 per barrel and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) climbing 5.9% to $72.05 per barrel. This surge is driven by fears of potential supply disruptions in the Middle East, a critical oil-producing region. Market analysts have noted that elevated volatility is likely to persist as traders hedge against weekend risks, particularly given Iran’s role as the fourth-largest oil producer within OPEC+.

Safe-Haven Assets Gain Amid Escalating Tensions

Amid rising geopolitical uncertainty, safe-haven assets saw notable gains. Gold prices increased by 1% to $3,434.40 per ounce, reflecting a flight to safety among investors. The Japanese yen appreciated 0.3% against the U.S. dollar, trading at 143.06 per dollar, while the Swiss franc strengthened by 0.4% to 0.8072 against the dollar.

Investor sentiment also shifted towards defensive sectors such as utilities, energy, and defense stocks, which are expected to outperform during periods of heightened geopolitical risk. Analysts highlighted that the escalation in the Middle East could sustain demand for these traditionally defensive assets as investors seek to mitigate potential downside risks in equity markets.

Geopolitical and Economic Implications

The Israel-Iran conflict has sparked fears of a broader regional escalation, with potential ramifications for global economic stability. The Middle East's strategic importance as a major oil supply hub raises concerns about prolonged disruptions to energy markets, which could exacerbate inflationary pressures globally.

Market strategists have noted that further tensions could sustain upward pressure on crude oil prices while keeping volatility elevated across asset classes. Additionally, the conflict introduces a new layer of uncertainty into an already fragile global economic environment, where central banks and policymakers are grappling with inflation control and slowing growth. How the situation evolves will be critical in determining its long-term impact on global markets.

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