TPG Reports Q4 Non-GAAP EPS of $0.71, Beats Estimates
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1h ago
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Should l Buy TPG?
Source: seekingalpha
- Earnings Beat: TPG reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $0.71, exceeding market expectations by $0.06, indicating strong financial performance that may enhance investor confidence and positively impact stock price.
- Acquisition Moves: TPG is nearing a deal to acquire UnitedHealth's Optum UK unit, a strategic move that not only helps expand its market share in the healthcare services sector but also potentially provides new revenue growth opportunities in the future.
- Increased Loan Purchases: TPG has boosted its purchases of OneMain loans under a forward-flow agreement, a move expected to enhance the quality of its balance sheet and provide more stable cash flow, thereby increasing its financial flexibility.
- Rating Downgrade: While the Jackson Financial deal is viewed positively, TPG's valuation has become less compelling, leading analysts to downgrade their ratings, which may negatively affect investor sentiment in the short term.
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Analyst Views on TPG
Wall Street analysts forecast TPG stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TPG is 70.10 USD with a low forecast of 55.00 USD and a high forecast of 82.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
10 Analyst Rating
7 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 56.090
Low
55.00
Averages
70.10
High
82.00
Current: 56.090
Low
55.00
Averages
70.10
High
82.00
About TPG
TPG Inc. is an alternative asset management company. The Company invests in a diversified set of strategies, including private equity, impact, credit, real estate, and market solutions. It consists of multi-strategy investment platforms: Capital, Growth, Impact, TPG Angelo Gordon, Real Estate, and Market Solutions. Its Capital platform focuses on control-oriented private equity investments. Its Capital platform products include TPG Capital, and TPG Healthcare Partners. Its Growth platform products include TPG Growth and TPG Digital Media. Its Impact platform products include The Rise Funds and TPG NEXT. Its TPG Angelo Gordon platform products include TPG AG Credit Solutions and TPG AG Net Lease. Its Real Estate platform products include TPG Real Estate Partners and Real Estate Credit. Its Market Solutions products include Public Market Investing and Capital Markets. Its TPG Peppertree focuses on wireless communications towers and related critical communications assets.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Earnings Beat: TPG reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $0.71, exceeding market expectations by $0.06, indicating strong financial performance that may enhance investor confidence and positively impact stock price.
- Acquisition Moves: TPG is nearing a deal to acquire UnitedHealth's Optum UK unit, a strategic move that not only helps expand its market share in the healthcare services sector but also potentially provides new revenue growth opportunities in the future.
- Increased Loan Purchases: TPG has boosted its purchases of OneMain loans under a forward-flow agreement, a move expected to enhance the quality of its balance sheet and provide more stable cash flow, thereby increasing its financial flexibility.
- Rating Downgrade: While the Jackson Financial deal is viewed positively, TPG's valuation has become less compelling, leading analysts to downgrade their ratings, which may negatively affect investor sentiment in the short term.
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- Earnings Release Schedule: TPG RE Finance Trust will release its financial results for Q4 and the full year of 2025 after market close on February 17, 2026, which is expected to provide investors with critical financial insights.
- Conference Call Timing: The company will host a conference call and webcast at 9:00 a.m. ET on February 18, 2026, aimed at discussing financial results with investors and enhancing transparency and investor relations.
- Replay Information: A replay of the conference call will be available after 12:00 p.m. ET on February 18, 2026, until 11:59 p.m. ET on March 4, 2026, ensuring that investors who cannot participate live can access important information.
- Company Background: TPG RE Finance Trust is a commercial real estate finance company that originates, acquires, and manages primarily first mortgage loans secured by institutional properties in primary and select secondary markets in the U.S., demonstrating its expertise and market positioning in real estate finance.
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- Earnings Release Reschedule: TPG Inc. has moved up the release date for its fourth quarter and full year 2025 financial results to February 5, 2026, from the previously scheduled February 9, 2026, allowing the market to access financial information sooner.
- Conference Call Details: The company will host a conference call at 12:00 p.m. ET on the same day as the earnings release, with investors able to dial in at (800) 245-3047 (US toll-free) or (203) 518-9765 (international), ensuring timely access to financial insights.
- Webcast Availability: A live webcast of the earnings release will be available, accessible through the Investor Relations section of TPG's website, enhancing information transparency and investor engagement.
- Company Overview: Founded in 1992 and headquartered in San Francisco, TPG manages $286 billion in assets across diverse investment strategies including private equity, impact investing, credit, and real estate, underscoring its leadership in the global asset management sector.
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- Earnings Release Reschedule: TPG has announced that it will now release its fourth quarter and full year 2025 financial results on February 5, 2026, before market open, reflecting the company's commitment to transparency.
- Conference Call Details: The company will host a conference call at 12:00 p.m. ET on the same day, allowing investors to dial in at 800-245-3047 (US toll-free) or 203-518-9765 (international) to receive timely financial updates.
- Webcast Availability: A simultaneous webcast will be available, accessible through TPG's Investor Relations section, enhancing information accessibility and investor engagement.
- Company Background: Founded in 1992, TPG manages $286 billion in assets across diverse strategies including private equity, impact investing, and credit, showcasing its leadership in the global asset management sector.
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- Stock Declines: Shares of Blue Owl, TPG, Ares Management, and KKR fell by double-digit percentages on Tuesday due to fears of AI disrupting industries, highlighting the market's sensitivity to risks associated with private credit holdings.
- Software Sector Impact: Concerns over future growth and profit margins in the software sector have intensified, leading to a 20% decline in the iShares Software ETF this year, including a 5% drop on Tuesday, reflecting a significant loss of investor confidence in tech stocks.
- Rising Default Risks: UBS estimates that default rates for private credit firms in the U.S. could rise to 13% if AI triggers major disruptions, compared to just 4% for high-yield bonds, indicating the vulnerability of the private credit market.
- Concentration of Risks: With 25% to 35% of the private credit market exposed to AI disruption risks, UBS analysts emphasize that the lack of diversification in this market is concerning compared to the high-yield corporate bond market, which has only 8% exposure to technology.
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- Mizuho Upgrades Applied Materials: Mizuho upgrades Applied Materials (AMAT) to Outperform from Neutral, raising the price target to $370, reflecting confidence in the semiconductor company's accelerating growth, which is expected to boost its stock price.
- Jefferies Downgrades BJ's Wholesale: Jefferies downgrades BJ's Wholesale from Buy to Hold, citing slower growth and increased risks in competitive markets, which may lead to underperformance and affect investor sentiment.
- Morgan Stanley Upgrades Johnson & Johnson: Morgan Stanley upgrades Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) to Overweight with a price target increase to $252, based on expectations of new product contributions and a higher P/E ratio, likely driving future earnings growth.
- Barclays Initiates TPG as Overweight: Barclays initiates TPG with an Overweight rating, highlighting its strong positioning for medium-term growth in a recovering capital markets environment, which is expected to attract more investor interest.
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