Leading Wall Street Analysts Adjust Aramark Projections Before Q4 Earnings Release
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Nov 17 2025
0mins
Should l Buy ARMK?
Source: Benzinga
Earnings Release: Aramark is set to announce its fourth-quarter earnings on November 17, with analysts predicting earnings of 65 cents per share and revenue of $5.16 billion, an increase from the previous year's $4.42 billion.
Stock Performance: Shares of Aramark fell by 1.3% to close at $38.03 following weaker-than-expected sales reported in the third quarter.
Analyst Ratings: Recent analyst ratings include a Buy rating from UBS with a price target of $45, an upgrade to Outperform from Baird with a target of $47, and a maintained Equal-Weight rating from Morgan Stanley with a target of $44.
Investment Insights: Citigroup reinstated a Buy rating for Aramark with a price target of $48, reflecting a generally positive outlook from analysts despite recent sales challenges.
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Analyst Views on ARMK
Wall Street analysts forecast ARMK stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ARMK is 45.33 USD with a low forecast of 43.00 USD and a high forecast of 49.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
10 Analyst Rating
9 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 38.730
Low
43.00
Averages
45.33
High
49.00
Current: 38.730
Low
43.00
Averages
45.33
High
49.00
About ARMK
Aramark is a global provider of food and facilities services to education, healthcare, business and industry and sports, leisure, and corrections clients. The Company operates through two segments: Food and Support Services United States (FSS United States) and Food and Support Services International (FSS International). The FSS United States segment consists of five sectors, which include business and industry, education, healthcare, sports, leisure and corrections, and facilities and others. Its FSS International segment provides a similar range of services as those provided to its FSS United States segment clients and operates in each of the sectors. The Company provides food and beverage services, including catering and retail services, and facilities services, including plant operations and maintenance, custodial, housekeeping, landscaping and other services. The Company's core market is the United States, which is supplemented by an additional 15-country footprint.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Aramark Scheduled to Announce Q1 Earnings on February 10th
- Earnings Announcement: Aramark (ARMK) is set to release its Q1 2023 earnings on February 10th before market open, with consensus EPS estimated at $0.51, flat year-over-year, and revenue expected at $4.76 billion, reflecting a 4.6% increase, indicating potential for stable growth.
- Performance Analysis: Over the past two years, Aramark has beaten EPS estimates 88% of the time, while only achieving a 25% success rate for revenue estimates, highlighting volatility in profitability that may affect investor confidence.
- Revision Trends: In the last three months, there have been no upward revisions for EPS estimates, with 9 downward adjustments, and similarly, revenue estimates have seen no upward revisions and 7 downward adjustments, suggesting a cautious market outlook for Aramark's near-term growth.
- Growth Targets: Despite uncertainties, Aramark has set an organic revenue growth target of 7%-9% for fiscal 2026, supported by record new contract wins and strong retention rates, demonstrating confidence in its long-term development prospects.
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Aramark Declares $0.12 Quarterly Dividend Amid Uncertain Growth Outlook
- Quarterly Dividend Declaration: Aramark has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.12 per share, consistent with previous distributions, indicating the company's ongoing ability to maintain stable cash flow despite facing an uncertain growth outlook.
- Dividend Yield: The forward yield of 1.26% provides investors with a relatively stable return, reflecting the company's financial health in the current economic environment and potentially attracting income-focused investors.
- Shareholder Record Dates: The dividend will be payable on March 4, with a record date of February 18 and an ex-dividend date also set for February 18, ensuring shareholders receive their dividends promptly and bolstering investor confidence.
- Uncertain Growth Outlook: While Aramark has outlined a target of 7%-9% organic revenue growth for fiscal 2026, the recent order from U.K. regulators to unwind its Entier acquisition may impact its future growth strategy and operational stability.
See More
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- Quarterly Dividend Approval: Aramark's Board of Directors has approved a quarterly dividend of $0.12 per share of common stock, payable on March 4, 2026, reflecting the company's commitment to returning value to shareholders.
- Record Date for Shareholders: The record date for the dividend payment is set for February 18, 2026, ensuring that shareholders who own stock by this date will receive the dividend, which enhances investor confidence.
- Global Business Reach: Aramark operates in 16 countries, providing food and facilities management services to educational institutions, Fortune 500 companies, sports teams, and healthcare providers, showcasing its strong influence in diverse markets.
- Corporate Culture Values: The company emphasizes its hospitality culture, striving to create positive impacts for partners and communities, further solidifying its leadership position in the industry.
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CMA Orders Aramark (ARMK) to Unwind Entier Acquisition, Impacting Competition
- Acquisition Unwinding Decision: The UK's Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) ruled that Aramark (ARMK) must unwind its acquisition of Entier due to concerns that the deal harms competition in offshore catering and facilities management services, potentially leading to higher prices or reduced quality for customers.
- Market Competition Analysis: The CMA's independent panel concluded that Aramark and Entier are two of the three major suppliers in the UK offshore catering market, and their merger would significantly reduce customer choice, with other competitors unlikely to provide strong alternatives in the next two years.
- Acquisition Background: Aramark acquired a 90% controlling stake in Scottish caterer Entier in early 2025 to expand its offshore catering presence in the UK and North Sea, but this move has raised regulatory concerns regarding market competition.
- Follow-Up Action Timeline: The CMA has 12 weeks to either accept Final Undertakings from Aramark or issue a Final Order requiring the company to sell Entier to a suitable buyer approved by the CMA to ensure market competition is maintained.
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Aramark Partners with UAlbany for 15-Year Dining Transformation
- Partnership Agreement: Aramark has signed a landmark 15-year partnership with the University at Albany, set to launch in January 2026, aimed at redefining the campus dining experience through innovation and inclusivity, thereby enhancing overall student well-being.
- Dining Upgrade: The new District East food hall will offer a diverse array of global cuisines and vibrant social spaces, expected to become a lively hub for students and faculty, fostering connections and enriching campus life.
- Technology-Driven Convenience: With mobile ordering, self-checkout kiosks, and data-driven menu optimization, the initiative aims to enhance service speed and accessibility, significantly improving the dining experience across campus.
- Student Engagement: The Saxbys café at the Massry School of Business will be student-operated, providing hands-on opportunities in hospitality and entrepreneurship, further promoting inclusivity and engagement within the campus community.
See More
Aramark Destinations Invests $3,000 to Enhance Community Food Bank Capacity
- Community Support Commitment: In 2025, Aramark Destinations donated thousands of pounds of food and contributed hundreds of volunteer hours, aiming to enhance rural community resilience and quality of life through partnerships with local nonprofits.
- Volunteer Service Impact: At Mesa Verde National Park, the team dedicated approximately 80 volunteer hours to construct new garden beds, investing $3,000 in materials and labor, which will nearly triple the food bank's produce capacity, directly benefiting local families.
- Annual Food Donation: Rock Harbor Lodge donates about 120 pounds of high-quality ingredients to Copper Shores Meals on Wheels each year, ensuring homebound seniors enjoy fresh seasonal meals, reflecting the company's long-term commitment to the community.
- Diverse Community Engagement: Glacier Bay Lodge strengthens relationships with local residents through Community Nights, creating a welcoming space for shared meals and storytelling, which enhances connections with community partners and improves the park's hospitality capacity.
See More
Aramark Scheduled to Announce Q1 Earnings on February 10th
- Earnings Announcement: Aramark (ARMK) is set to release its Q1 2023 earnings on February 10th before market open, with consensus EPS estimated at $0.51, flat year-over-year, and revenue expected at $4.76 billion, reflecting a 4.6% increase, indicating potential for stable growth.
- Performance Analysis: Over the past two years, Aramark has beaten EPS estimates 88% of the time, while only achieving a 25% success rate for revenue estimates, highlighting volatility in profitability that may affect investor confidence.
- Revision Trends: In the last three months, there have been no upward revisions for EPS estimates, with 9 downward adjustments, and similarly, revenue estimates have seen no upward revisions and 7 downward adjustments, suggesting a cautious market outlook for Aramark's near-term growth.
- Growth Targets: Despite uncertainties, Aramark has set an organic revenue growth target of 7%-9% for fiscal 2026, supported by record new contract wins and strong retention rates, demonstrating confidence in its long-term development prospects.
See More
Aramark Declares $0.12 Quarterly Dividend Amid Uncertain Growth Outlook
- Quarterly Dividend Declaration: Aramark has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.12 per share, consistent with previous distributions, indicating the company's ongoing ability to maintain stable cash flow despite facing an uncertain growth outlook.
- Dividend Yield: The forward yield of 1.26% provides investors with a relatively stable return, reflecting the company's financial health in the current economic environment and potentially attracting income-focused investors.
- Shareholder Record Dates: The dividend will be payable on March 4, with a record date of February 18 and an ex-dividend date also set for February 18, ensuring shareholders receive their dividends promptly and bolstering investor confidence.
- Uncertain Growth Outlook: While Aramark has outlined a target of 7%-9% organic revenue growth for fiscal 2026, the recent order from U.K. regulators to unwind its Entier acquisition may impact its future growth strategy and operational stability.
See More
Aramark Announces Quarterly Dividend Payment
- Quarterly Dividend Approval: Aramark's Board of Directors has approved a quarterly dividend of $0.12 per share of common stock, payable on March 4, 2026, reflecting the company's commitment to returning value to shareholders.
- Record Date for Shareholders: The record date for the dividend payment is set for February 18, 2026, ensuring that shareholders who own stock by this date will receive the dividend, which enhances investor confidence.
- Global Business Reach: Aramark operates in 16 countries, providing food and facilities management services to educational institutions, Fortune 500 companies, sports teams, and healthcare providers, showcasing its strong influence in diverse markets.
- Corporate Culture Values: The company emphasizes its hospitality culture, striving to create positive impacts for partners and communities, further solidifying its leadership position in the industry.
See More
CMA Orders Aramark (ARMK) to Unwind Entier Acquisition, Impacting Competition
- Acquisition Unwinding Decision: The UK's Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) ruled that Aramark (ARMK) must unwind its acquisition of Entier due to concerns that the deal harms competition in offshore catering and facilities management services, potentially leading to higher prices or reduced quality for customers.
- Market Competition Analysis: The CMA's independent panel concluded that Aramark and Entier are two of the three major suppliers in the UK offshore catering market, and their merger would significantly reduce customer choice, with other competitors unlikely to provide strong alternatives in the next two years.
- Acquisition Background: Aramark acquired a 90% controlling stake in Scottish caterer Entier in early 2025 to expand its offshore catering presence in the UK and North Sea, but this move has raised regulatory concerns regarding market competition.
- Follow-Up Action Timeline: The CMA has 12 weeks to either accept Final Undertakings from Aramark or issue a Final Order requiring the company to sell Entier to a suitable buyer approved by the CMA to ensure market competition is maintained.
See More
Aramark Partners with UAlbany for 15-Year Dining Transformation
- Partnership Agreement: Aramark has signed a landmark 15-year partnership with the University at Albany, set to launch in January 2026, aimed at redefining the campus dining experience through innovation and inclusivity, thereby enhancing overall student well-being.
- Dining Upgrade: The new District East food hall will offer a diverse array of global cuisines and vibrant social spaces, expected to become a lively hub for students and faculty, fostering connections and enriching campus life.
- Technology-Driven Convenience: With mobile ordering, self-checkout kiosks, and data-driven menu optimization, the initiative aims to enhance service speed and accessibility, significantly improving the dining experience across campus.
- Student Engagement: The Saxbys café at the Massry School of Business will be student-operated, providing hands-on opportunities in hospitality and entrepreneurship, further promoting inclusivity and engagement within the campus community.
See More
Aramark Destinations Invests $3,000 to Enhance Community Food Bank Capacity
- Community Support Commitment: In 2025, Aramark Destinations donated thousands of pounds of food and contributed hundreds of volunteer hours, aiming to enhance rural community resilience and quality of life through partnerships with local nonprofits.
- Volunteer Service Impact: At Mesa Verde National Park, the team dedicated approximately 80 volunteer hours to construct new garden beds, investing $3,000 in materials and labor, which will nearly triple the food bank's produce capacity, directly benefiting local families.
- Annual Food Donation: Rock Harbor Lodge donates about 120 pounds of high-quality ingredients to Copper Shores Meals on Wheels each year, ensuring homebound seniors enjoy fresh seasonal meals, reflecting the company's long-term commitment to the community.
- Diverse Community Engagement: Glacier Bay Lodge strengthens relationships with local residents through Community Nights, creating a welcoming space for shared meals and storytelling, which enhances connections with community partners and improves the park's hospitality capacity.
See More
