The U.K. labor market has closely tracked the U.S. — and now it’s weakening
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jun 10 2025
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Source: MarketWatch
U.K. Unemployment Rate: The U.K. unemployment rate has risen to 4.6%, marking its highest level in nearly four years, indicating a significant decline in the job market.
Sahm Recession Rule Triggered: This increase in unemployment meets the criteria of the Sahm recession rule, which suggests an economic downturn may be imminent based on rising jobless rates.
Analyst Views on GBPUSD
Wall Street analysts forecast GBPUSD stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GBPUSD is USD with a low forecast of USD and a high forecast of USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
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Current: 1.350
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About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
