Ternium reports a slight decline in Q4 adjusted EBITDA
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Oct 28 2025
0mins
Adjusted EBITDA Outlook: Ternium expects a slight decrease in Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2025 compared to Q3, primarily due to seasonal reductions in shipments across all markets.
EBITDA Margin Stability: The company anticipates its Adjusted EBITDA Margin will remain consistent with Q3 levels, despite a projected decline in revenue per ton in Mexico and Argentina.
Cost Management: Ongoing reductions in cost per ton are expected to offset revenue declines, driven by lower raw material costs.
Commitment to Optimization: Ternium continues to focus on cost optimization strategies throughout its operations to maintain financial stability.
Analyst Views on TX
Wall Street analysts forecast TX stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TX is 40.13 USD with a low forecast of 39.00 USD and a high forecast of 41.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
4 Analyst Rating
3 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 42.400
Low
39.00
Averages
40.13
High
41.00
Current: 42.400
Low
39.00
Averages
40.13
High
41.00
About TX
Ternium S.A. is a producer of steel products. The Company produces finished and semi-finished steel products and iron ore, which are sold either directly to steel manufacturers, steel processors or end users. The Company operates through two segments: Steel and Mining. The Steel segment includes the sales of steel products, and the Mining segment includes the sales of iron ore products, which are primarily inter-company. The Steel segment comprises three operating segments: Mexico, the Southern Region, and Other Markets. In the steel segment, steel products include slabs, billets, and round bars (steel in its basic, semi-finished state), hot-rolled coils and sheets, bars and stirrups, wire rods, cold-rolled coils and sheets, tin plate, hot dipped galvanized and electrogalvanized sheets and pre-painted sheets, steel pipes and tubular products, beams, roll-formed products, and other products. In the mining segment, iron ore is sold as concentrates (fines) and pellets.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
