Simon Property Group Q4 2025 Earnings Highlights
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1h ago
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Should l Buy SPG?
Source: seekingalpha
- Strong Financial Performance: Simon Property Group reported a real estate FFO of $3.49 per share for Q4 2025, reflecting a 4.2% year-over-year growth, with total annual FFO reaching $4.8 billion, indicating robust financial health and operational efficiency.
- Acquisitions and Redevelopment: The company acquired $2 billion in high-quality retail properties and completed over 20 major redevelopment projects in 2025, enhancing its competitive position and asset portfolio significantly.
- Significant Shareholder Returns: Simon Property returned approximately $3.5 billion in cash to shareholders through stock repurchases and record dividends, underscoring its commitment to shareholder value.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Management expects real estate FFO to range between $13 and $13.25 per share for 2026, with domestic property NOI projected to grow at least 3%, reflecting confidence in future growth prospects.
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Analyst Views on SPG
Wall Street analysts forecast SPG stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for SPG is 193.69 USD with a low forecast of 181.00 USD and a high forecast of 225.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
13 Analyst Rating
4 Buy
9 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 191.310
Low
181.00
Averages
193.69
High
225.00
Current: 191.310
Low
181.00
Averages
193.69
High
225.00
About SPG
Simon Property Group, Inc. is a self-administered and self-managed real estate investment trust. The Company owns, develops and manages premier shopping, dining, entertainment and mixed-use destinations, which consist primarily of malls, Premium Outlets, The Mills, and International Properties. It owns approximately 250 plus global properties. Its properties include Apple Blossom Mall, Auburn Mall, Barton Creek Square, Battlefield Mall, Bay Park Square, Brea Mall, Briarwood Mall, Brickell City Centre, Broadway Square, Burlington Mall, Cape Cod Mall, Castleton Square, Cielo Vista Mall, Coconut Point, College Mall, Columbia Center, Copley Place, Coral Square, Cordova Mall, Dadeland Mall, Del Amo Fashion Center, Empire Mall, Firewheel Town Center, Greenwood Park Mall, Haywood Mall, King of Prussia, La Plaza, Lakeline Mall, Lenox Square, Mall of Georgia, Meadowood Mall, Menlo Park Mall, Miami International Mall, North East Mall, Ocean County Mall, Pheasant Lane Mall, and Phillips Place.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Strong Financial Performance: Simon Property Group reported a real estate FFO of $3.49 per share for Q4 2025, reflecting a 4.2% year-over-year growth, with total annual FFO reaching $4.8 billion, indicating robust financial health and operational efficiency.
- Acquisitions and Redevelopment: The company acquired $2 billion in high-quality retail properties and completed over 20 major redevelopment projects in 2025, enhancing its competitive position and asset portfolio significantly.
- Significant Shareholder Returns: Simon Property returned approximately $3.5 billion in cash to shareholders through stock repurchases and record dividends, underscoring its commitment to shareholder value.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Management expects real estate FFO to range between $13 and $13.25 per share for 2026, with domestic property NOI projected to grow at least 3%, reflecting confidence in future growth prospects.
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- Dividend Declaration: Simon Property has declared a dividend of $2.20 per share, which, while not the highest yield, still attracts investor interest, demonstrating the company's ability to maintain stable cash flow.
- Earnings Performance: The company reported Q4 earnings in line with expectations, with revenue exceeding market forecasts, indicating resilience in the current economic environment and strong market demand.
- Outlook Guidance: Simon's midpoint outlook for 2026 is slightly above consensus, reflecting management's confidence in future growth, which may attract more investor attention to its long-term potential.
- Rating Downgrade: Although the company is viewed as fairly valued, the downgrade in analyst ratings could impact market sentiment in the short term, prompting investors to monitor subsequent market reactions.
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- Financial Overview: Simon Property Group reported a Funds From Operations (FFO) of $3.27 per share, missing expectations by $0.22, indicating pressure on profitability that could affect investor confidence.
- Revenue Performance: Despite the FFO miss, the company achieved total revenue of $1.79 billion, exceeding market expectations by $280 million, reflecting its stable performance in the retail real estate sector.
- Market Reaction: The earnings miss may lead to a downgrade in analyst ratings for Simon Property, resulting in stock price volatility, prompting investors to closely monitor subsequent market developments.
- Future Outlook: While the current earnings report presents challenges, if the company can achieve dividend growth, it may provide momentum for a future stock price rebound, attracting the attention of long-term investors.
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- Financial Performance: Simon Property Group reported Q4 adjusted FFO of $3.27 per share, which, while down from $3.68 a year ago, met analyst expectations, indicating the company's resilience under challenging conditions.
- Revenue Growth: The company achieved Q4 revenue of $1.79 billion, surpassing Wall Street's forecast of $1.51 billion and increasing from $1.60 billion in Q3, reflecting strong performance in the retail market.
- Rising Operating Costs: Total operating expenses rose to $900.8 million, up from $788.7 million in the previous quarter and $746.5 million a year ago, primarily driven by increased property operating expenses, which impacted overall profit margins.
- Future Outlook: The company expects real estate FFO per share to range between $13.00 and $13.25 in 2026, slightly below the average analyst estimate, yet still demonstrating confidence in future performance.
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- Strong Performance: Simon Property Group achieved a record Real Estate Funds From Operations (FFO) of $4.8 billion in 2025, reflecting significant growth compared to the previous year and showcasing the company's robust performance and sustainable growth potential in the retail real estate market.
- Generous Shareholder Returns: The company returned $3.5 billion to shareholders in 2025, demonstrating its strong cash flow and commitment to shareholder value, which further enhances investor confidence.
- Expansion and Investment: Simon executed over 17 million square feet of leases and completed 23 significant redevelopment projects in 2025, highlighting its capability for global retail market expansion and strategic execution.
- Financial Stability: As of December 31, 2025, the company had approximately $9.1 billion in liquidity, ensuring financial flexibility for future investments and operations, thereby supporting its sustainable growth strategy.
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