Sees Q1 Average Closing Price at $580,000
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 11 2026
0mins
Should l Buy TMHC?
Sees Q1 average closing price $580,000. Sees Q1 effective tax rate 23%-23.5%.
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Analyst Views on TMHC
Wall Street analysts forecast TMHC stock price to rise
5 Analyst Rating
5 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 67.430
Low
62.00
Averages
74.80
High
95.00
Current: 67.430
Low
62.00
Averages
74.80
High
95.00
About TMHC
Taylor Morrison Home Corporation is a homebuilder and developer. The Company's principal business is residential homebuilding and the development of lifestyle communities with operations across 12 states. The Company provides an assortment of homes across a range of price points to appeal to an array of consumer groups. It designs, builds and sells single and multi-family detached and attached homes in traditionally high growth markets for entry level, move-up, and resort lifestyle buyers. It operates under various brand names, including Taylor Morrison, Darling Homes Collection by Taylor Morrison, and Esplanade. It also has a Build-to-Rent homebuilding business which operates under the Yardly brand name. It owns and operates commercial space, retail, and multi-family properties under the Urban Form brand name. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides financial services and title services. The Company, through its insurance agency, provides homeowner’s insurance policies.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Brand Platform Launch: Taylor Morrison introduces its new brand platform, 'Homes Built for Real Life,' which showcases the importance of everyday imperfect moments through a series of brand videos, thereby enhancing emotional connections with consumers.
- Target Audience Insights: Research indicates that Millennials make up about 30% of social media users in the U.S., while Gen Z homebuyers increased from 6% in 2024 to 9% in 2025, highlighting a shift towards a preference for authentic life scenes that drives brand strategy adjustments.
- Design Philosophy Alignment: The new platform's design philosophy complements Taylor Morrison's home designs, emphasizing flexible layouts and functionality that cater to daily life, aiming to meet consumer demands for human-centric and adaptable living environments, thus enhancing market competitiveness.
- Trustworthiness Enhancement: Since 2016, Taylor Morrison has been recognized as America's Most Trusted® Builder, reflecting its long-standing commitment to sustainable operations and consumer trust, further solidifying its leadership position in the industry.
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- Brand Platform Launch: Taylor Morrison has unveiled its new brand platform, 'Homes Built for Real Life,' which showcases the imperfect moments of everyday life through a series of brand videos, emphasizing the significance of these authentic experiences to strengthen emotional connections with consumers.
- Innovative Design Philosophy: The platform's design philosophy is rooted in customer research, highlighting flexible layouts and homes designed to adapt to daily life rhythms, aiming to meet modern buyers' needs and enhance living experiences.
- Clear Market Positioning: This brand platform not only reflects consumers' desires for human-centric, flexible, and functional homes but also redefines the meaning of family life through relatable real-life scenes and expressive language, enhancing the brand's market appeal.
- Trust Building Continuation: Since 2016, Taylor Morrison has been recognized as 'America's Most Trusted Builder,' and the launch of this brand platform further solidifies its trustworthiness in consumers' minds while showcasing the company's long-term commitment to sustainable operations.
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- Strong Delivery Performance: In 2025, Taylor Morrison delivered nearly 13,000 homes, achieving a 23% adjusted gross margin despite challenging market conditions, demonstrating the company's competitive strength and adaptability in the industry.
- Robust Financial Results: The fourth quarter net income was $174 million, with a diluted earnings per share of $1.76, and an adjusted net income of $188 million, indicating significant achievements in cost control and operational optimization.
- Strategic Shift Focus: The company is limiting land investments in non-core markets while concentrating on move-up and resort lifestyle customers, with plans to open over 100 new communities in 2026 to adapt to market changes and enhance customer satisfaction.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Taylor Morrison expects to deliver around 11,000 homes in 2026, with an average closing price of approximately $580,000 in the first quarter; despite facing inventory pressures, management maintains a cautiously optimistic view on long-term growth, emphasizing disciplined capital allocation.
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- Earnings Beat: Taylor Morrison reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $1.91, exceeding expectations by $0.17, which reflects strong profitability and boosts investor confidence in the company's financial health.
- Revenue Performance: Despite an 11% year-over-year decline in revenue to $2.1 billion, the figure surpassed expectations by $150 million, indicating resilience amid market challenges and potentially laying the groundwork for future growth.
- Home Closings and Margins: Home closings generated $1.96 billion from 3,285 closings at an average sales price of $596,000, with a gross margin of 21.8%, showcasing the company's competitive edge and profitability in the high-end market segment.
- Sales Orders and Land Control: The company reported net sales orders of 2,499 homes and controlled 78,835 homebuilding lots, with 54% off-balance-sheet control, reflecting effective land resource management that secures future development opportunities.
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- Q4 Performance: In Q4 2025, Taylor Morrison reported a net income of $174 million, or $1.76 per diluted share, with adjusted net income at $188 million, showcasing the company's resilience and profitability amid challenging market conditions.
- Annual Delivery Performance: The company delivered nearly 13,000 homes in 2025, achieving an adjusted home closings gross margin of 23.0%, indicating effective strategies in cost control and margin enhancement, which drove a 13% return on equity.
- Stock Buyback Program: The Board approved an increase in the stock repurchase program to $1 billion, set to expire in 2027, reflecting the company's confidence in future market conditions and commitment to enhancing shareholder value.
- Market Outlook: The company anticipates closing approximately 2,200 homes in Q1 2026, with an average closing price of around $580,000, indicating cautious optimism regarding market demand as the spring selling season approaches.
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