Ripple CEO Raises Clarity Act Passage Odds to 90% After White House Meeting
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 19 2026
0mins
Should l Buy COIN?
Source: Benzinga
- White House Meeting Progress: Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse raised the odds of the Clarity Act passing to 90% following a White House meeting with crypto and banking leaders, indicating meaningful progress in discussions that could lead to passage by the end of April.
- Stablecoin Yield Dispute: Banks are advocating for a broad ban on stablecoin yields, arguing that crypto firms should not distribute interest to users, while crypto firms counter that such a ban stifles innovation and gives traditional banks an unfair advantage, highlighting ongoing negotiations.
- Compromise Proposal: The Digital Chamber proposed a compromise to exempt stablecoin yields when users engage in activities like liquidity provision and staking, but it remains unclear whether banking representatives will accept this proposal, with a deadline for compromise set by the White House at the end of February.
- Market Reaction Volatility: On Kalshi, the odds of the Clarity Act becoming law before June spiked from 39% to 85% on Thursday morning following statements from industry leaders, but quickly slid back to 46%, indicating that traders remain uncertain despite the optimistic rhetoric from the industry.
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Analyst Views on COIN
Wall Street analysts forecast COIN stock price to rise
25 Analyst Rating
17 Buy
7 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 197.750
Low
230.00
Averages
361.63
High
440.00
Current: 197.750
Low
230.00
Averages
361.63
High
440.00
About COIN
Coinbase Global, Inc. is a holding company of Coinbase, Inc. and other subsidiaries. The Company provides a platform that serves as a compliant on-ramp to the onchain economy and enables users to engage in a variety of activities with their crypto assets in both proprietary and third-party product experiences enabled by access to decentralized applications. It offers consumers their primary financial account for the onchain economy; institutions a full-service prime brokerage platform with access to deep pools of liquidity across the crypto marketplace, and developers a suite of products granting access to build onchain. The Company offers products and services to various customer groups: consumers, businesses, institutions, and developers. Its transaction products consist of consumer trading, prime trading, markets, base protocol and Coinbase wallet. The Company also provides market infrastructure in the form of exchanges for customers to trade spots and derivatives.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Financial Expectations: Analysts anticipate Coinbase's Q1 EPS to be $0.04 and revenue at $1.48 billion; however, with 24 downward EPS revisions and 26 revenue cuts in the last three months, market sentiment has sharply weakened, indicating low expectations ahead of the earnings report.
- Weak Trading Activity: Coinbase's stock has declined about 13.3% year-to-date, underperforming the S&P 500's 6.0% gain, currently trading around $195, reflecting concerns over its trading activity, especially after Q4 results showed both EPS and revenue missed expectations.
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- Bullish Sentiment: Ahead of the earnings report, call options at the $200 strike saw heavy trading with 1,777 contracts, indicating strong expectations for the stock to break above $200 and extend towards the $210-$220 range, while over 7,600 contracts were open at the $195 call.
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- Price Volatility Analysis: XRP skyrocketed by 580% in late 2024 and early 2025 but has failed to surpass its historical high of $3.84, currently priced at $1.40, leaving investors to weigh the risks of ownership.
- Regulatory Environment Improvement: The settlement between Ripple and the SEC last year has lifted the regulatory clouds that hung over XRP, creating favorable conditions for its future applications and market acceptance.
- Blockchain Payment System: Ripple has invested $2.7 billion in blockchain and crypto-related acquisitions, aiming to evolve XRP into a core currency beyond cross-border payments, potentially rivaling SWIFT, which processes over $150 trillion annually.
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See More
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- Price Volatility History: XRP has never traded above $3.84 in over a decade, despite a remarkable 580% surge in late 2024 and early 2025, indicating its potential for high returns but also highlighting its long-term volatility and uncertainty.
- Regulatory Environment Improvement: With Ripple's settlement with the SEC, the significant reduction in regulatory pressure on XRP creates a more favorable market environment, potentially attracting more investor interest moving forward.
- Increasing Market Competition: While Ripple is building a comprehensive blockchain payment system with $2.7 billion in investments, the rise of stablecoins could limit XRP's market share, as evidenced by the $1.5 billion market cap of Ripple USD, launched just 18 months ago, reflecting market preference for stablecoins.
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See More
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- Workforce Reduction: Coinbase has announced a workforce reduction of approximately 14%, with CEO Brian Armstrong stating that this decision is driven by 'market cyclicality' and the rapid rise of AI, aiming to enhance efficiency through streamlined teams to navigate the current weak crypto market.
- Financial Expectations: Analysts anticipate Coinbase's Q1 EPS to be $0.04 and revenue at $1.48 billion; however, with 24 downward EPS revisions and 26 revenue cuts in the last three months, market sentiment has sharply weakened, indicating low expectations ahead of the earnings report.
- Weak Trading Activity: Coinbase's stock has declined about 13.3% year-to-date, underperforming the S&P 500's 6.0% gain, currently trading around $195, reflecting concerns over its trading activity, especially after Q4 results showed both EPS and revenue missed expectations.
- Diversification Strategy: Despite facing challenges, Coinbase is expanding its offerings, including the launch of 24/7 gold and silver futures, signaling a strategic intent to diversify beyond cryptocurrency to enhance future growth potential.
See More
Coinbase Anticipates Significant Stock Swing Post-Earnings Report
- Options Market Volatility: Coinbase (COIN) options markets are pricing in an approximately 8.5% stock swing post-earnings, with weekly contracts indicating a potential price range of $180 to $214, reflecting heightened investor focus on the upcoming results.
- Bullish Sentiment: Ahead of the earnings report, call options at the $200 strike saw heavy trading with 1,777 contracts, indicating strong expectations for the stock to break above $200 and extend towards the $210-$220 range, while over 7,600 contracts were open at the $195 call.
- Layoff Impact: CEO Brian Armstrong stated that the decision to cut approximately 14% of the workforce is due to “market cyclicality” and the rapid rise of AI, aimed at enhancing team efficiency, although this move may negatively affect employee morale.
- Weak Earnings Outlook: According to prediction marketplace Polymarket, the odds of Coinbase beating earnings estimates stand at just 6%, suggesting that investors are cautious about the company's performance amid a weaker crypto cycle and ongoing internal restructuring.
See More
COINBASE GLOBAL INC: Certain Users Might Face Delays in Sending and Receiving XLM
User Experience Issues: Some users of Coinbase Global have reported experiencing delays in sending and receiving transactions for the cryptocurrency XLM.
Impact on Transactions: These delays may affect users' ability to conduct timely transactions, potentially leading to frustration among the platform's clientele.
See More
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- Significant ETH Holdings: Bitmine currently holds 4,362,757 ETH valued at approximately $10.2 billion, representing 4.29% of the total ETH supply, which solidifies its strategic position as a major ETH reserve in the cryptocurrency market.
- Rapid Growth Target: Within just 10 months, Bitmine has achieved 86% of its “Alchemy of 5%” goal, demonstrating strong execution in accumulating crypto assets, which is expected to further enhance investor confidence and market recognition.
- Liquidity and Trading Volume: Bitmine ranks 173rd among U.S. stocks with an average daily trading volume of $625 million, indicating high activity and liquidity among investors, potentially attracting more institutional interest.
- Institutional Investor Support: Backed by top institutional investors including Cathie Wood of ARK and Galaxy Digital, Bitmine not only strengthens its market position but also paves the way for future capital expansion and strategic partnerships.
See More
Analyzing the Risks and Opportunities of XRP
- Price Volatility Analysis: XRP skyrocketed by 580% in late 2024 and early 2025 but has failed to surpass its historical high of $3.84, currently priced at $1.40, leaving investors to weigh the risks of ownership.
- Regulatory Environment Improvement: The settlement between Ripple and the SEC last year has lifted the regulatory clouds that hung over XRP, creating favorable conditions for its future applications and market acceptance.
- Blockchain Payment System: Ripple has invested $2.7 billion in blockchain and crypto-related acquisitions, aiming to evolve XRP into a core currency beyond cross-border payments, potentially rivaling SWIFT, which processes over $150 trillion annually.
- Stablecoin Competition: The launch of Ripple USD, a dollar-pegged stablecoin, has achieved a market cap exceeding $1.5 billion in just 18 months, indicating the growing appeal of stablecoins over XRP, which may dilute XRP's value.
See More
XRP's Future Outlook and Risk Analysis
- Price Volatility History: XRP has never traded above $3.84 in over a decade, despite a remarkable 580% surge in late 2024 and early 2025, indicating its potential for high returns but also highlighting its long-term volatility and uncertainty.
- Regulatory Environment Improvement: With Ripple's settlement with the SEC, the significant reduction in regulatory pressure on XRP creates a more favorable market environment, potentially attracting more investor interest moving forward.
- Increasing Market Competition: While Ripple is building a comprehensive blockchain payment system with $2.7 billion in investments, the rise of stablecoins could limit XRP's market share, as evidenced by the $1.5 billion market cap of Ripple USD, launched just 18 months ago, reflecting market preference for stablecoins.
- Investment Value Assessment: Ripple's recent $500 million financing round, valuing the company at $40 billion, indicates strong market confidence in its future, while the investment risks associated with XRP make it less appealing in the current environment, leading investors to prefer direct investments in fintech companies like Ripple.
See More
