Petrobras Oil Production Reaches 2.40M Barrels per Day in 2025, Exceeding Target
Petrobras announced hat, in 2025, its oil production reached 2.40M barrels of oil per day, exceeding the upper limit of the target of +4% set in its 2025-2029 Business Plan by 0.5 percentage points. This result represents an 11% increase compared to 2024 production. Total oil and natural gas production surpassed the upper limit of the target by 2.8 percentage points, reaching 2.99M barrels of oil equivalent per day, representing an 11% increase compared to 2024 production. Commercial oil and natural gas production reached 2.62M boed, exceeding the upper limit of the projected target by 0.9 percentage points. In addition to surpassing the established guidances, the oil production, commercial production, and total production figures broke historical annual records registered over more than 70 years of operations. The company also set new annual records in the pre-salt, with own total production of 2.45M boed and operated production of 3.70M boed. Production volume in the pre-salt accounts for 82% of Petrobras' total production.
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Petrobras Reports Significant Increase in Proven Reserves to 12.1 Billion Barrels
- Reserve Growth: Petrobras estimates that its proven reserves of oil, condensate, and natural gas will rise to 12.1 billion barrels (84% oil) in 2025 from 11.4 billion barrels in 2024, reflecting outstanding asset performance, particularly in the Búzios, Tupi, Itapu, and Mero fields in the Santos Basin.
- Replacement Rate Improvement: The company achieved a reserve replacement rate of 175% in 2025 despite record annual production, demonstrating its exceptional resource management and development capabilities, which ensure future production stability.
- Contract Expansion: Petrobras has expanded and renewed oil sales contracts with Indian state-owned refiners, representing a sales potential of up to 60 million barrels, with a total value that may exceed $3.1 billion, providing a significant revenue stream for the company.
- Contract Duration: The sales contracts with Indian Oil Corp., Bharat Petroleum, and Hindustan Petroleum will remain effective until March 2027, further solidifying Petrobras's position in the international market and enhancing its long-term revenue potential.

Brazilian Equities Surge as Commodity Prices Rise
- Strong Market Performance: The iShares MSCI Brazil ETF (EWZ) has surged approximately 20% in early 2026, significantly outperforming the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY), which gained only 3%, indicating a robust recovery in Brazilian equities and a resurgence of investor confidence.
- Technical Breakout Signal: The EWZ/SPY relative spread has broken above its long-term downtrend, signaling a potential technical breakout that could attract more capital into Brazilian equities, marking an end to decades of underperformance.
- Macro Analysis Support: Otavio Tavi Costa, CEO of Azuria Capital, noted that Brazil's largest energy company, Petroleo Brasileiro SA, is on the verge of a major breakout, indicating that the Brazilian market's rebound is closely tied to a larger shift in global markets, potentially signaling the start of a longer-term structural trend.
- Optimistic Industry Outlook: Analysts at 22V Research are bullish on Brazil's prospects, suggesting that sectors like materials, energy, and banks will benefit from a weaker dollar, driving capital inflows and creating strong market momentum.






