Palantir Technologies (PLTR) Stock Price Volatility: Target Price Range Implies 70% Downside
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 19 2026
0mins
Source: NASDAQ.COM
- Stock Price Analysis: Palantir's stock has surged 1,880% since the launch of ChatGPT in late 2022, yet it has fallen 17% from its peak due to valuation concerns, indicating a divide in market sentiment regarding its future performance.
- Strong Financial Results: In the third quarter, Palantir reported a 62% year-over-year revenue increase to $1.1 billion, marking its ninth consecutive quarter of acceleration, reflecting robust sales growth in both commercial and government sectors.
- Market Outlook: Analysts' price targets for Palantir range from $50 to $255, implying a maximum downside risk of 70%, but the median target price of $200 suggests a potential 17% upside over the next year.
- Valuation Controversy: With a price-to-sales ratio of 105, significantly above the software industry average, analysts caution that Palantir's valuation is unsustainable, and historical trends indicate that high-valuation stocks often face substantial corrections.
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Analyst Views on PLTR
Wall Street analysts forecast PLTR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for PLTR is 192.88 USD with a low forecast of 50.00 USD and a high forecast of 255.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
17 Analyst Rating
5 Buy
10 Hold
2 Sell
Hold
Current: 151.860
Low
50.00
Averages
192.88
High
255.00
Current: 151.860
Low
50.00
Averages
192.88
High
255.00
About PLTR
Palantir Technologies Inc. is engaged in building software to assist in counterterrorism investigations and operations. The Company has built four principal software platforms, including Palantir Gotham (Gotham), Palantir Foundry (Foundry), Palantir Apollo (Apollo), and Palantir Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP). Apollo is a cloud-agnostic, single control layer that coordinates ongoing delivery of new features, security updates, and platform configurations, helping to ensure the continuous operation of critical systems. Gotham enables users to identify patterns hidden deep within datasets, ranging from signals intelligence sources to reports from confidential informants. Foundry transforms the ways organizations operate by creating a central operating system for their data. AIP enables responsible artificial intelligence (AI)-advantage across the enterprise by using primary, core components built to effectively activate large language models and other AI within any organization.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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