Opendoor Shares Surge 13.1% Amid Rising Acquisition Volumes
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 hour ago
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Should l Buy OPEN?
Source: Yahoo Finance
- Surge in Acquisitions: Opendoor's acquisition volume increased by 46% quarter-over-quarter in Q4, demonstrating the company's commitment to accelerating growth in a volatile housing market, despite reporting a loss of $1.26 per share that significantly missed the $0.12 loss consensus.
- Revenue Beat: The company reported Q4 revenue of $736 million, comfortably exceeding Wall Street's expectation of $576.94 million, indicating progress in clearing older inventory and transitioning to the 'Opendoor 2.0' operational framework.
- Cost Structure Optimization: Fixed operating expenses fell to $35 million, suggesting some success in streamlining costs, with CEO Kaz Nejatian emphasizing that these results validate the company's long-term roadmap toward sustainable profitability.
- Future Outlook: Management aims for positive adjusted net income by the end of 2026, although revenue is expected to decline by approximately 10% in the upcoming quarter; however, investors reacted positively to a 23% reduction in inventory days, reflecting confidence in the company's long-term value.
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Analyst Views on OPEN
Wall Street analysts forecast OPEN stock price to fall
5 Analyst Rating
1 Buy
2 Hold
2 Sell
Hold
Current: 4.630
Low
1.40
Averages
4.35
High
8.00
Current: 4.630
Low
1.40
Averages
4.35
High
8.00
About OPEN
Opendoor Technologies Inc. is an e-commerce platform for residential real estate transactions. By leveraging software, data science, product design and operations, the Company is engaged in building a technology platform for residential real estate that offers buyers and sellers a digital, on-demand experience. Its product offerings include Sell to Opendoor, List with Opendoor and Opendoor Marketplace. Sell to Opendoor enables sellers to utilize its core product offering to sell their home directly to it, and it resells the home to a home buyer. By selling to Opendoor, homeowners can avoid the stress of open houses, home repair coordination, overlapping mortgages, and the uncertainty that can come with listing a home on the open market. Its capital-light marketplace offering connects home sellers with both institutional and retail buyers, facilitating transactions without Opendoor taking ownership of the home. Its listing product is available in nearly all Opendoor markets.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Performance Beat: Opendoor reported Q4 revenue of $736 million, surpassing analyst expectations of $594.02 million, indicating strong market performance that is likely to boost investor confidence.
- Loss Improvement: The company posted a loss of seven cents per share, better than the anticipated loss of ten cents, suggesting enhanced operational efficiency that may attract more investor interest.
- Transaction Growth: In the quarter, Opendoor purchased 1,706 homes, a 46% increase quarter-over-quarter, while selling 1,978 homes, reflecting a rebound in market demand and the effectiveness of the company's strategy.
- Future Outlook: Although the company expects a 10% year-over-year revenue decline in Q1, management noted that contribution margins have been improving since September 2023, with expectations to reach the highest levels since Q2 2024 by the end of Q1 2026.
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- Akamai's Q1 Guidance Cut: Akamai's forecast for Q1 adjusted earnings between $1.50 and $1.67 per share falls short of the $1.75 consensus, leading to an almost 8% drop in after-hours trading, indicating market concerns over its future profitability.
- Dropbox Slightly Beats Expectations: Dropbox reported Q4 adjusted earnings of 68 cents per share, narrowly exceeding the 67 cents expected by analysts, with revenue of $636 million also surpassing the $629 million forecast, demonstrating its growth potential in a competitive landscape.
- Newmont's Record Cash Flow: Newmont's adjusted earnings of $2.52 per share exceeded the consensus estimate of $2.04, alongside a record $7.3 billion in free cash flow, highlighting its strong performance and financial health in the resource extraction sector.
- Opendoor's Revenue Surge: Opendoor's Q4 revenue reached $736 million, significantly above the LSEG estimate of $549 million, although it anticipates an adjusted EBITDA loss in the low to mid $30 million range for Q1, management remains confident in achieving positive adjusted net income by the end of 2026, reflecting a strong long-term strategy.
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- Transformation Progress: Opendoor's stock surged 13% in after-hours trading on Thursday, indicating positive strides in its transformation plan, with Q4 revenue and adjusted EBITDA exceeding Wall Street expectations, showcasing the company's recovery potential in the market.
- Increased Home Purchases: CEO Kaz Nejatian reported a 46% quarter-over-quarter increase in homes purchased, while significantly reducing capital intensity by expanding Cash Plus to 35% of weekly volume, enhancing operational efficiency and competitive positioning.
- Future Revenue Outlook: Although the company anticipates a ~10% decline in Q1 revenue from Q4's $736M, its contribution profit and adjusted EBITDA outperformed market expectations, demonstrating resilience amid challenges.
- Optimized Inventory Management: As of Q4, Opendoor's inventory balance stood at $925M, representing 2,867 homes, a decrease from Q3's $1.05B and 3,139 homes, indicating significant improvements in inventory management that help reduce holding costs.
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- Earnings Beat: Opendoor reported Q4 revenue of $736 million, significantly exceeding street expectations of $591.75 million, indicating strong performance in the digital real estate sector and likely boosting investor confidence.
- Improved Adjusted Earnings: The company posted an adjusted EBITDA of -$43 million, better than the expected -$50.81 million, suggesting enhanced operational efficiency that may attract more investor interest in its profitability improvements.
- Significant Acquisition Growth: Opendoor's acquisitions increased by 46% quarter-over-quarter, reflecting the success of its expansion strategy and potentially strengthening its competitive position in the real estate market.
- Faster Inventory Turnover: The reduction of inventory days by 23% demonstrates Opendoor's structural improvements through more accurate pricing and quicker inventory turnover, which is expected to enhance overall business efficiency and market responsiveness.
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- Surge in Acquisitions: Opendoor's acquisition volume increased by 46% quarter-over-quarter in Q4, demonstrating the company's commitment to accelerating growth in a volatile housing market, despite reporting a loss of $1.26 per share that significantly missed the $0.12 loss consensus.
- Revenue Beat: The company reported Q4 revenue of $736 million, comfortably exceeding Wall Street's expectation of $576.94 million, indicating progress in clearing older inventory and transitioning to the 'Opendoor 2.0' operational framework.
- Cost Structure Optimization: Fixed operating expenses fell to $35 million, suggesting some success in streamlining costs, with CEO Kaz Nejatian emphasizing that these results validate the company's long-term roadmap toward sustainable profitability.
- Future Outlook: Management aims for positive adjusted net income by the end of 2026, although revenue is expected to decline by approximately 10% in the upcoming quarter; however, investors reacted positively to a 23% reduction in inventory days, reflecting confidence in the company's long-term value.
See More
- Earnings Performance: Opendoor reported a Q4 GAAP EPS of -$1.26, missing expectations by $1.15, indicating ongoing profitability challenges, while revenue of $736M, down 31.9% year-over-year, exceeded market expectations by $141.98M, suggesting some market demand persists amid adversity.
- Financial Outlook: The company emphasizes a focus on long-term decisions to rebuild Opendoor rather than short-term guidance, aiming for positive adjusted net income by the end of 2026, reflecting management's confidence in future profitability recovery.
- Quarterly Expectations: Revenue is expected to decrease by approximately 10% quarter-over-quarter in Q1 2026, reflecting market challenges, while contribution margins have improved monthly since bottoming out in September 2023, with expectations to reach the highest level since Q2 2024 by the end of Q1, indicating potential recovery signs.
- Adjusted EBITDA: The anticipated adjusted EBITDA loss for Q1 2026 is projected to be in the low to mid $30 million range, yet management remains committed to improving financial health, demonstrating the company's determination to seek sustainable growth amid adversity.
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