Nvidia's Investment Value Analysis for the Next Five Years
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1h ago
0mins
Source: Fool
- Capacity Sold Out: Nvidia announced in its Q3 earnings that its cloud GPUs are sold out, indicating massive demand, with $51.2 billion in data center product sales during Q3, allowing the company to maintain high margins and accelerate earnings growth in a high-demand environment.
- New Architecture Launch: Nvidia plans to launch its new Rubin architecture in 2026, which significantly outperforms the Blackwell architecture by reducing the number of GPUs needed for AI model training to a quarter, boosting demand for new GPUs and further driving revenue growth.
- Return to China: Nvidia is expected to resume GPU sales to China in 2026, subject to tax, with around 2 million orders for H200 GPU chips from Chinese firms, potentially generating $60 billion to $80 billion in revenue, significantly enhancing the company's revenue outlook.
- Valuation Reasonableness: Despite market concerns about Nvidia's valuation, its forward P/E ratio for FY 2027 is 24 times, making it relatively cheaper than many large tech peers, suggesting that the current stock price may be undervalued if growth continues, attracting long-term investor interest.
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Analyst Views on NVDA
Wall Street analysts forecast NVDA stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NVDA is 264.97 USD with a low forecast of 200.00 USD and a high forecast of 352.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
41 Analyst Rating
39 Buy
1 Hold
1 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 192.510
Low
200.00
Averages
264.97
High
352.00
Current: 192.510
Low
200.00
Averages
264.97
High
352.00
About NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation is a full-stack computing infrastructure company. The Company is engaged in accelerated computing to help solve the challenging computational problems. The Company’s segments include Compute & Networking and Graphics. The Compute & Networking segment includes its Data Center accelerated computing platforms and artificial intelligence (AI) solutions and software; networking; automotive platforms and autonomous and electric vehicle solutions; Jetson for robotics and other embedded platforms, and DGX Cloud computing services. The Graphics segment includes GeForce GPUs for gaming and PCs, the GeForce NOW game streaming service and related infrastructure, and solutions for gaming platforms; Quadro/NVIDIA RTX GPUs for enterprise workstation graphics; virtual GPU software for cloud-based visual and virtual computing; automotive platforms for infotainment systems, and Omniverse Enterprise software for building and operating industrial AI and digital twin applications.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Nvidia's New Products Drive Demand Surge
- Surging Demand: Nvidia reported $51.2 billion in data center product sales during Q3, indicating that its cloud GPUs are nearly sold out, which reflects the immense market demand and is expected to further drive revenue growth.
- New Architecture Launch: The introduction of the Rubin architecture significantly enhances performance, requiring only a quarter of the GPUs to train AI models, which is likely to entice more customers to purchase the newer, pricier GPUs, thereby accelerating revenue growth.
- Return to Chinese Market: Nvidia is expected to resume GPU sales to China in 2026, with approximately 2 million orders for H200 GPU chips; estimated at $30,000 to $40,000 each, this could generate $60 billion to $80 billion in revenue, greatly enhancing its market position.
- Valuation Advantage: Despite perceptions of Nvidia being overpriced, its forward P/E ratio for FY 2027 stands at 24, lower than many peers trading at 25 to 30 times earnings, indicating its potential as a reasonably priced stock that could be a steal if growth continues.
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