Micron Technology Forecasts 288% Earnings Growth in 2026
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Dec 31 2025
0mins
Should l Buy MU?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
- Surging Market Demand: Micron Technology anticipates that the high-bandwidth memory (HBM) market revenue will soar from $35 billion in 2025 to $100 billion by 2028, indicating robust demand for high-performance memory, which will further enhance the company's market position in AI infrastructure.
- Significant Earnings Growth: In the first quarter of fiscal 2026, Micron reported a 57% year-over-year revenue increase to $13.6 billion, with non-GAAP earnings nearly tripling to $4.78 per share, reflecting strong performance and profitability in the memory market.
- Capacity Sold Out: Micron's management has confirmed that agreements for price and volume for its entire 2026 HBM supply are completed, indicating that its production capacity is sold out, which is expected to drive future earnings growth through higher volumes and pricing.
- Investment Opportunity: Analysts forecast Micron's earnings per share to reach $32.14 in 2026, a staggering 288% increase, with the current stock price trading at less than 10 times forward earnings, suggesting that investors can benefit from the next big trend in AI chips.
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Analyst Views on MU
Wall Street analysts forecast MU stock price to fall
26 Analyst Rating
24 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 420.950
Low
235.00
Averages
336.12
High
500.00
Current: 420.950
Low
235.00
Averages
336.12
High
500.00
About MU
Micron Technology, Inc. provides memory and storage solutions. The Company delivers a portfolio of high-performance dynamic random-access memory (DRAM), NAND, and NOR memory and storage products through its Micron and Crucial brands. The Company's products enable advancing in artificial intelligence (AI) and compute-intensive applications. Its segments include Compute and Networking Business Unit (CNBU), Mobile Business Unit (MBU), Embedded Business Unit (EBU), and Storage Business Unit (SBU). CNBU segment includes memory products and solutions sold into the data center, PC, graphics, and networking markets. MBU segment includes memory and storage products sold into the smartphone and other mobile-device markets. EBU segment includes memory and storage products and solutions sold into the intelligent edge through the automotive, industrial, and consumer embedded markets. SBU segment includes SSDs and component-level storage solutions sold into the data center, PC, and consumer markets.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Stock Surge: Micron Technology's stock has skyrocketed 250% since September, achieving a market cap exceeding $460 billion, reflecting strong market confidence in its future growth and raising questions about its potential to reach a $1 trillion valuation soon.
- Demand Drivers: The surge in demand for high bandwidth memory (HBM), particularly for AI training and inference, has led hyperscalers to increase their chip budgets, directly boosting Micron's sales, with projected earnings per share reaching $8.42 in 2026.
- Price Increases: Due to a shortage of DRAM memory chips, Micron's average selling price rose 20% sequentially in Q1, with gross margins expanding from 46% to 57%, enhancing the company's profitability and competitive position in a fierce market.
- Future Outlook: While Micron plans to invest $20 billion in capital expenditures for fiscal 2026, the cyclical nature of the industry suggests potential volatility in its earnings, with analysts raising their earnings expectations for 2026 and 2027 to $33.73 and $43.54 per share, respectively.
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- Massive Investment: Micron plans to invest $50 billion in Boise, Idaho, to build two new 600,000-square-foot chip factories, expected to open in mid-2027 and by the end of 2028, aimed at addressing the unprecedented global DRAM supply tightness.
- Global Expansion: In addition to the Boise factories, Micron is constructing a $100 billion facility in Syracuse, NY, and a $9.6 billion factory in Hiroshima, Japan, bringing total investments to $200 billion to break the AI memory bottleneck.
- Cash Flow and Financial Pressure: Although Micron generates over $22 billion in cash flow before capital expenditures, its cash reserves are only around $10 billion, indicating significant financial pressure that could impact future stability amid aggressive expansion plans.
- Market Reaction Volatility: Following the investment announcement, Micron's stock fell 3% but rebounded by 6.9%, reflecting market confidence in its long-term growth potential, although short-term risks related to DRAM price fluctuations remain a concern.
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- Video Update: Today's video discusses recent updates affecting Micron Technology (MU) and other AI stocks, providing an in-depth analysis of market trends to help investors seize opportunities.
- Market Reaction: After-market prices as of February 11, 2026, indicate that Micron Technology's stock performance is influenced by market sentiment, prompting investors to stay informed and adjust their strategies accordingly.
- Subscription Recommendation: The video encourages viewers to subscribe to the channel for more market updates and investment advice, highlighting the creator's commitment to providing ongoing market insights.
- Special Offer Link: The special offer link mentioned in the video provides viewers with additional resources, aiming to enhance engagement and attract audience interest in the content.
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- Investment Recommendation Absence: Micron Technology is mentioned but not included in the latest top 10 stocks recommended by The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team, indicating a cautious market sentiment regarding its future performance, which may affect investor confidence.
- Historical Return Comparison: Compared to Netflix and Nvidia, which were recommended on December 17, 2004, and April 15, 2005, respectively, yielding returns of 420,595% and 1,152,356%, Micron's competitive position appears weaker in the current market environment, prompting investors to reassess its investment value.
- Market Performance Analysis: The Motley Fool Stock Advisor reports an average return of 899%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 194%, reflecting the platform's effectiveness in stock selection, which may lead investors to focus on other recommended stocks rather than Micron Technology.
- Video Content Overview: The video discusses recent updates affecting Micron Technology and other AI stocks, emphasizing the potential of AI technology in the future economy, which may attract investors interested in emerging technologies.
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- Market Weakness: The S&P 500 index fell by 0.28%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average decreased by 0.54%, and the Nasdaq 100 index dropped by 0.41%, indicating market concerns over the outlook for artificial intelligence, particularly affecting chipmakers and AI infrastructure stocks.
- Mixed Economic Data: Initial jobless claims in the US fell to 206,000, a 5-week low, indicating a strong labor market; however, the December trade deficit widened to $70.3 billion, exceeding expectations, reflecting uncertainties in economic recovery.
- Shifts in Fed Policy Expectations: Hawkish comments from Fed officials suggest a potential need for interest rate hikes to combat persistent inflation, leading to a more hawkish outlook for future rate paths, which further dampens market sentiment.
- Earnings Season Nearing Conclusion: With over three-quarters of S&P 500 companies reporting, 74% exceeded expectations, and Q4 earnings are projected to grow by 8.4%, demonstrating corporate resilience, yet the market remains cautious about future growth prospects.
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- Micron's Strong Growth: Micron Technology (MU) has surged 47% year-to-date and 320% over the past year, primarily driven by high demand from AI chipmakers, showcasing its robust position in the AI infrastructure market.
- Outstanding Financial Performance: In its Q1 FY26 report, Micron reported a 57% revenue growth rate and nearly tripled profits, with optimistic guidance suggesting new sales and profitability records in Q2, indicating significant future growth potential.
- Amazon's Lagging Returns: Despite a 10% decline over the past year, Amazon (AMZN) continues to see total sales and profits grow, particularly with AWS and online advertising segments up 14% and 22% year-over-year, highlighting the long-term value of its AI investments.
- Microsoft's Solid Finances Amid Correction: Microsoft (MSFT) achieved a 17% revenue growth and a 60% net income increase in Q2 FY26, yet its stock has fallen 17% year-to-date; however, the strong performance of its cloud computing business supports future growth prospects.
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