MGM Resorts International Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1d ago
0mins
Should l Buy MGM?
Source: seekingalpha
- Executive Changes: The appointment of Ayesha Molino as COO and Kenny Feng as CEO of MGM China signifies a strategic leadership shift at MGM Resorts, reinforcing its position as a global integrated resort operator and setting the stage for future growth initiatives.
- Financial Performance: In Q4 2025, MGM China reported a 21% increase in net revenues and a 31% rise in adjusted EBITDAR, achieving a new quarterly record that underscores the company's strong performance in the Macau market and ongoing profitability.
- Market Outlook: Management expressed optimism for 2026, anticipating growth in Las Vegas driven by major events like the Super Bowl, with significant increases expected in group and convention revenues, reflecting a robust events calendar.
- Shareholder Returns: The company repurchased 15 million shares for $516 million in Q4, totaling 37.5 million shares for $1.2 billion in 2025, demonstrating strong cash flow and a commitment to returning value to shareholders.
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Analyst Views on MGM
Wall Street analysts forecast MGM stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MGM is 40.31 USD with a low forecast of 29.00 USD and a high forecast of 56.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
14 Analyst Rating
5 Buy
7 Hold
2 Sell
Hold
Current: 36.280
Low
29.00
Averages
40.31
High
56.00
Current: 36.280
Low
29.00
Averages
40.31
High
56.00
About MGM
MGM Resorts International is a global gaming and entertainment company with national and international locations featuring hotels and casinos, meetings and conference spaces, live and theatrical entertainment experiences, and a range of restaurant, nightlife and retail offerings. The Company’s segments include Las Vegas Strip Resorts, Regional Operations, MGM China, and MGM Digital. The Las Vegas Strip Resorts segment consists of Aria, Bellagio, The Cosmopolitan of Las Vegas, MGM Grand Las Vegas, Mandalay Bay, Luxor, New York-New York, Excalibur, and Park MGM. The Regional Operations segment consists of MGM Grand Detroit in Detroit, Michigan; Beau Rivage in Biloxi, Mississippi; Gold Strike Tunica in Tunica; Borgata in Atlantic City, New Jersey; MGM National Harbor in Prince George’s County, Maryland; MGM Springfield in Springfield, Massachusetts; Empire City in Yonkers, New York, and others. MGM Digital is its online gaming portfolio which is primarily comprised of LeoVegas.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Executive Changes: The appointment of Ayesha Molino as COO and Kenny Feng as CEO of MGM China signifies a strategic leadership shift at MGM Resorts, reinforcing its position as a global integrated resort operator and setting the stage for future growth initiatives.
- Financial Performance: In Q4 2025, MGM China reported a 21% increase in net revenues and a 31% rise in adjusted EBITDAR, achieving a new quarterly record that underscores the company's strong performance in the Macau market and ongoing profitability.
- Market Outlook: Management expressed optimism for 2026, anticipating growth in Las Vegas driven by major events like the Super Bowl, with significant increases expected in group and convention revenues, reflecting a robust events calendar.
- Shareholder Returns: The company repurchased 15 million shares for $516 million in Q4, totaling 37.5 million shares for $1.2 billion in 2025, demonstrating strong cash flow and a commitment to returning value to shareholders.
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- Earnings Beat: MGM Resorts reported a Q4 Non-GAAP EPS of $1.60, surpassing expectations by $1.05, which reflects a significant improvement in profitability and boosts investor confidence.
- Revenue Growth: The company achieved $4.6 billion in revenue for Q4, a 7% year-over-year increase that exceeded market expectations by $170.39 million, indicating strong performance in a competitive market and solidifying its market position.
- Regional Operations Performance: MGM China reported net revenues of $1.2 billion, up 21% year-over-year, while regional operations saw net revenues of $950 million, a 2% increase, showcasing robust growth across different markets and enhancing future expansion potential.
- Digital Business Progress: MGM Digital generated net revenues of $188 million, a 35% increase year-over-year, with adjusted EBITDAR losses narrowing to $7 million, indicating positive strides in digital transformation and potential for future profitability.
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- Record Visitor Numbers: Macau welcomed approximately 40 million visitors in 2025, a 14.7% increase year-on-year, with daily visitation reaching 109,779, significantly enhancing MGM China's market appeal and growth potential.
- Revenue and EBITDA Growth: MGM China reported net revenue of HK$34.8 billion in 2025, an 11% year-on-year increase, while adjusted EBITDA reached HK$10 billion, maintaining a margin of 28.8%, reflecting strong operational efficiency and market demand.
- Market Share Increase: MGM China's market share rose to 16.1%, up from 15.8% in 2024, with MGM COTAI and MGM MACAU holding 10.1% and 6.0% market shares respectively, further solidifying its leadership position in Macau.
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- Earnings Performance Boost: MGM Resorts reported a net income of $293.612 million for Q4, translating to earnings per share (EPS) of $1.11, a significant increase from last year's $157.432 million and $0.52 per share, indicating a robust recovery in profitability.
- Strong Adjusted Earnings: Excluding items, MGM's adjusted EPS reached $1.60, demonstrating positive progress in cost control and operational efficiency, which further enhances investor confidence in the company's financial health.
- Stable Revenue Growth: The company's revenue for the fourth quarter rose 6.0% year-over-year to $4.605 billion, up from $4.346 billion last year, reflecting a continued rebound in travel and entertainment demand.
- Optimistic Market Outlook: With economic recovery and increased consumer spending, MGM's earnings and revenue growth provide a solid foundation for future market expansion and investment, suggesting the company will maintain strong performance in a competitive landscape.
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- Record Visitor Numbers: In 2025, Macau welcomed approximately 40 million visitors, a 14.5% increase from 34.9 million in 2024, with daily visitation rising to 109,779, significantly boosting the local tourism and related industries' recovery.
- Gaming Revenue Growth: The total gross gaming revenue (GGR) for the industry increased by 9% year-on-year to approximately MOP 247 billion, with daily revenue reaching MOP 678 million, indicating a strong market recovery that achieved 85% of 2019 levels.
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