Genesis Energy Q4 Earnings Report Analysis
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 2h ago
0mins
Should l Buy GEL?
Source: seekingalpha
- Earnings Performance: Genesis Energy reported a GAAP EPS of $0.04 for Q4 2025, missing estimates by $0.24, indicating pressure on profitability that may affect investor confidence.
- Revenue Growth: The company achieved revenue of $440.76 million in Q4, reflecting a 10.5% year-over-year increase, suggesting some growth potential in the market environment despite the earnings miss.
- Cash Flow Improvement: Operating cash flows for Q4 2025 reached $110.8 million, significantly up from $74.0 million in the same period of 2024, indicating improvements in cash management that could support future investments and debt servicing.
- Adjusted EBITDA: The adjusted EBITDA for Q4 was $157.8 million, with a trailing twelve-month adjusted consolidated EBITDA of $588.1 million, while a bank leverage ratio of 5.12X highlights challenges in financial leverage management.
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Analyst Views on GEL
Wall Street analysts forecast GEL stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GEL is 19.50 USD with a low forecast of 19.00 USD and a high forecast of 20.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
2 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 17.380
Low
19.00
Averages
19.50
High
20.00
Current: 17.380
Low
19.00
Averages
19.50
High
20.00
About GEL
Genesis Energy, L.P. is a diversified midstream energy master limited partnership. Its segments include offshore pipeline transportation, marine transportation and onshore transportation and services. Offshore pipeline transportation segment consists of its offshore transportation of crude oil and natural gas in the Gulf of America, which focuses on providing a suite of services to integrated and large independent energy companies. Marine transportation segment provides waterborne transportation of petroleum products and crude oil throughout North America primarily to customers such as refiners and large energy companies. Onshore transportation and services segment provides services through a combination of purchasing, transporting, storing, blending and marketing crude oil and petroleum products primarily to crude oil refiners and producers and performs the processing of high sulfur (or sour) gas streams for refineries to remove the sulfur and selling the related by-product, NaHS.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Earnings Announcement Schedule: Genesis Energy is set to release its Q4 earnings on February 12 before market open, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.28, reflecting a significant year-over-year growth of 148.3%, indicating strong profitability and growth potential for the company.
- Earnings Outlook Analysis: The market consensus suggests that Genesis Energy is expected to perform strongly in 2025 and remain well-positioned for 2026, indicating an optimistic growth outlook that may attract more investor interest in the coming years.
- Quant Rating: Seeking Alpha's Quant Rating on Genesis Energy highlights its competitiveness within the industry, reflecting market confidence in its future performance, which could positively impact its stock price.
- Historical Financial Data: Historical earnings data for Genesis Energy shows a consistent improvement in profitability over recent quarters, further bolstering investor confidence in the company's future financial health.
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- Earnings Performance: Genesis Energy reported a GAAP EPS of $0.04 for Q4 2025, missing estimates by $0.24, indicating pressure on profitability that may affect investor confidence.
- Revenue Growth: The company achieved revenue of $440.76 million in Q4, reflecting a 10.5% year-over-year increase, suggesting some growth potential in the market environment despite the earnings miss.
- Cash Flow Improvement: Operating cash flows for Q4 2025 reached $110.8 million, significantly up from $74.0 million in the same period of 2024, indicating improvements in cash management that could support future investments and debt servicing.
- Adjusted EBITDA: The adjusted EBITDA for Q4 was $157.8 million, with a trailing twelve-month adjusted consolidated EBITDA of $588.1 million, while a bank leverage ratio of 5.12X highlights challenges in financial leverage management.
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- Dividend Declaration: Genesis Energy has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.18 per share, payable on February 13, reflecting the company's ongoing ability to generate stable cash flow and enhancing investor confidence.
- Yield Performance: The forward yield of 4.34% not only attracts investors seeking stable returns but may also enhance the company's appeal in capital markets, promoting stock price stability.
- Shareholder Record Date: The record date for the dividend payment is January 30, with the ex-dividend date also set for January 30, ensuring eligible shareholders receive their earnings promptly, thereby strengthening the shareholder base.
- Future Outlook: Genesis Energy is positioned for strong performance in 2025 and is well-prepared for growth in 2026, indicating that the company's strategic focus on expanding offshore projects will support future profitability.
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- Pessimistic Earnings Outlook: Mid-to-low cap energy stocks like Advantage Energy and Forum Energy Technologies have received an 'F' grade for EPS revisions, indicating significant downward adjustments by analysts, reflecting a lack of market confidence in these companies.
- Wide Industry Distribution: These stocks span various subsectors including oil and gas exploration, equipment services, storage and transportation, and refining and marketing, suggesting that the entire energy sector is facing widespread challenges in the current economic environment, which may impact overall investor confidence.
- Consistent Analyst Ratings: All listed companies have been rated at the lowest level, demonstrating analysts' general concerns about their future profitability, which could lead to increased risk aversion among investors and negatively affect market performance.
- Potential Market Reaction: As the earnings season kicks off, investors may remain cautious regarding these stocks, especially against the backdrop of widespread EPS downgrades by analysts, potentially leading to further pressure on their stock prices.
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- Growth Potential: Energy Transfer (ET) plans to invest $5 billion in pipeline projects next year, particularly in the Permian Basin, which is the cheapest source of natural gas in the U.S., expected to drive the company's growth amid the AI infrastructure boom.
- Yield Performance: The company currently boasts an 8.2% dividend yield and projects a 3% to 5% annual distribution growth, which will attract income-seeking investors while enhancing the company's market appeal.
- Acquisition and Expansion: Western Midstream Partners (WES) has just completed its acquisition of Aris Water Solutions and plans to begin operations on a new produced water pipeline project in the first half of 2027, further driving growth in the produced water infrastructure sector.
- Turnaround Opportunity: Although Genesis Energy (GEL) currently yields only 4.2%, it improved its balance sheet by selling its soda ash business for $1.4 billion, and it expects significant growth from its Gulf of Mexico oil projects, potentially adding $160 million in operating profits.
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52 Week Range: GEL's stock has a 52-week low of $9.86 and a high of $17.77, with the last trade recorded at $16.11.
Market Analysis: The article mentions other energy stocks that have recently crossed above their 200-day moving average.
Author's Perspective: The views expressed in the article are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent Nasdaq, Inc.
Investment Insight: The information provided may be useful for investors looking to analyze GEL's stock performance within the energy sector.
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