Energy Vault anticipates $40M in recurring EBITDA from Asset Vault Fund 1 with platform launch
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Nov 10 2025
0mins
Source: SeekingAlpha
Management Highlights: Energy Vault's Q3 2025 was pivotal with the launch of the Asset Vault platform, revenue from projects in Texas and California, and a $300 million equity transaction to support a $1.1 billion capital strategy.
Financial Performance: The company reported Q3 revenue of $33.3 million, a significant increase from $1.2 million the previous year, with a gross profit of $9 million and a gross margin of 27%.
Outlook and Projections: Energy Vault maintains a revenue guidance of $200 million to $250 million for 2025, with expectations of $40 million in recurring EBITDA from new projects by 2027 and a total cash balance of $75 million to $100 million by year-end.
Risks and Analyst Sentiment: Management acknowledged macroeconomic volatility and its impact on project timelines, while analysts expressed concerns about expense management and project pipeline clarity, though sentiment remained neutral to slightly positive.
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Analyst Views on NRGV
Wall Street analysts forecast NRGV stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NRGV is 3.73 USD with a low forecast of 2.00 USD and a high forecast of 5.19 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
3 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
0 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 5.260
Low
2.00
Averages
3.73
High
5.19
Current: 5.260
Low
2.00
Averages
3.73
High
5.19
About NRGV
Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. develops, deploys and operates utility-scale energy storage solutions designed to transform the approach to sustainable energy storage. Its comprehensive offerings include proprietary battery, gravity and green hydrogen energy storage technologies supporting a variety of customer use cases delivering energy system dispatching and optimization. Each storage solution is supported by the Company’s technology-agnostic energy management system software and integration platform. Its technology portfolio delivers customized short, long and multi-day/ultra-long duration energy storage solutions to help utilities, independent power producers, and large industrial energy users. Its solutions include B-Vault, B-Nest, G-Vault, H-Vault and software solutions. Its software solutions include Vault-OS Energy Management System, Vault-Bidder and Vault-Manager. Its projects include Calistoga Resiliency Center, Cross Trails Battery Energy Storage System and SOSA Energy Center.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Energy Vault Signs Two B-VAULT Contracts in Switzerland, Launches FlexGrid Program
- Market Entry: Energy Vault formally enters the Swiss market with the launch of the B-VAULT FlexGrid system for commercial and industrial customers, marking a significant milestone in its European expansion strategy and expected to drive market share growth in the region.
- Project Implementation: The 2 MW system deployed at Schindler Aufzüge AG was installed and Swissgrid-qualified in under four weeks, showcasing Energy Vault's ability to deliver efficient energy storage solutions rapidly, thereby enhancing customer trust.
- Technological Innovation: The Wettingen project features an 8 MW system with a two-level stacked configuration, achieving up to 8 MW of power within a limited footprint of 50 square meters, optimizing space utilization and enhancing grid stability in line with Switzerland's renewable energy demands.
- Strategic Partnership: By integrating with CKW's Flexpool platform, Energy Vault's systems will participate in frequency regulation and voltage control markets, directly supporting Swissgrid's resilience and further solidifying its leadership position in the energy storage sector.
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Energy Vault Launches FlexGrid Energy Storage System in Switzerland
- Market Entry: Energy Vault formally enters the Swiss market with the launch of its FlexGrid energy storage system, designed for 2-25 MW industrial and commercial customers, marking a significant milestone in the company's European energy infrastructure strategy.
- Project Partnerships: Agreements with Schindler Group and Energie Wettingen AG showcase the FlexGrid system's adaptability in urban and utility environments, advancing sustainability goals while enhancing Energy Vault's market presence.
- Rapid Delivery: The installation and commissioning of the 2 MW FlexGrid system were completed in less than four weeks, demonstrating Energy Vault's capability to deliver efficient and reliable energy solutions swiftly.
- Long-term Commitment: A 10-year service agreement with Schindler reflects a shared commitment to sustainable operations and long-term reliability, bolstering market confidence in Energy Vault's offerings.
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