Dynex Capital Q4 Earnings Miss Expectations Amid Rising Expenses
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 3d ago
0mins
Source: seekingalpha
- Earnings Miss: Dynex Capital reported Q4 earnings per share available for distribution at $0.22, falling short of the $0.27 analyst estimate and down from $0.25 in Q3, indicating profitability pressure amid rising costs.
- Balance Sheet Improvement: Despite the earnings decline, Dynex's book value per share increased from $12.67 on September 30 to $13.45 on December 31, reflecting positive progress in capital management.
- Economic Net Interest Income Growth: The economic net interest income rose to $51.1 million in Q4 from $44.9 million in Q3, demonstrating stability in interest income, although the interest spread slightly narrowed to 0.99%.
- Executive Changes and Capital Raising: Dynex raised $393 million in equity capital through at-the-market stock issuances, bringing total capital raised in 2025 to $1.2 billion, while appointing Rob Colligan as the new CFO and Meakin Bennett as COO to strengthen leadership and market competitiveness.
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Analyst Views on DX
Wall Street analysts forecast DX stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for DX is 15.25 USD with a low forecast of 14.50 USD and a high forecast of 16.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
2 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 14.640
Low
14.50
Averages
15.25
High
16.00
Current: 14.640
Low
14.50
Averages
15.25
High
16.00
About DX
Dynex Capital, Inc. is a financial services company. The Company is an internally managed mortgage real estate investment trust (REIT), which invests in mortgage-backed securities (MBS). It finances its investments principally with repurchase agreements. Its objective is to provide attractive risk-adjusted returns to its shareholders over the long term that are reflective of a leveraged, high-quality fixed income portfolio with a focus on capital preservation. It seeks to provide returns to its shareholders primarily through the payment of regular dividends and through capital appreciation of its investments. It primarily invests in Agency MBS, of which over 97% are residential MBS (Agency RMBS), including to-be-announced (TBA) securities. The remainder of its investment portfolio consists of Agency commercial MBS (Agency CMBS) and Agency and non-Agency CMBS interest-only (CMBS IO) securities.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Dynex Capital Increases Share Availability by 60M
- Increased Share Availability: Dynex Capital announced an amendment to its distribution agreement, increasing the number of shares available for sale by 60 million to a total of 221.29 million shares, enhancing market liquidity and providing more options for future financing.
- Remaining Issuable Shares: The company has 67.35 million shares still available for issuance, which supports its flexible operations in the capital markets and helps address future funding needs.
- Enhanced Shareholder Returns: While raising $1.5 billion in capital, Dynex signals a shift to a tighter spread regime, expected to yield a 29.4% return for shareholders, thereby boosting investor confidence.
- Financial Performance Fluctuations: Despite a decline in Q4 earnings due to rising expenses, the company reported increases in book value and net interest income, indicating a degree of financial health amidst challenges.
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Wall Street Analysts Adjust Ratings
- Acumen Price Target Raised: BTIG raised Acumen Pharmaceuticals' price target from $4 to $7, with analyst Thomas Shrader maintaining a Buy rating, indicating confidence in the company's growth potential despite a closing price of $2.08 on Monday.
- Exelixis Target Price Increase: HC Wainwright & Co. raised the price target for Exelixis from $49 to $52, with analyst Robert Burns maintaining a Buy rating, reflecting optimism about its market performance, closing at $43.61 on Monday.
- Baker Hughes Price Target Upgraded: BMO Capital increased Baker Hughes' price target from $55 to $65, with analyst Phillip Jungwirth maintaining an Outperform rating, suggesting a positive outlook on its future performance, closing at $56.29 on Monday.
- Brown & Brown Price Target Cut: B of A Securities lowered the price target for Brown & Brown from $94 to $90, with analyst Joshua Shanker maintaining a Neutral rating, indicating a cautious stance on the company's short-term performance, closing at $79.62 on Monday.
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