Domino's Pizza Shares Decline as Analyst Lowers Price Target
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 13h ago
0mins
Source: Benzinga
- Analyst Rating Adjustment: Guggenheim analyst Gregory Francfort reiterated a Neutral rating on Domino's Pizza while lowering the price target from $490 to $450, reflecting ongoing industry pressures expected to persist into the second half of 2026, which may impact the company's stock performance.
- Earnings Forecast Downgrade: Francfort modestly trimmed earnings forecasts for 2025 and 2026, anticipating fourth-quarter same-store sales growth to fall below consensus due to softer industry demand and complexities in promotional timing, potentially reducing near-term trend visibility.
- Market Share Dynamics: Despite facing intensified competition and consolidation challenges, Francfort noted that Domino's U.S. pizza market share has increased since the pandemic, and further gains remain possible as competitors like Pizza Hut and Papa John's struggle.
- Capital Structure Outlook: Francfort does not expect new debt issuance in 2026 amid elevated interest rates, which could impact the company's capital operations and future expansion plans.
Analyst Views on DPZ
Wall Street analysts forecast DPZ stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for DPZ is 488.46 USD with a low forecast of 370.00 USD and a high forecast of 545.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
22 Analyst Rating
12 Buy
9 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 413.870
Low
370.00
Averages
488.46
High
545.00
Current: 413.870
Low
370.00
Averages
488.46
High
545.00
About DPZ
Domino’s Pizza, Inc. is a pizza company with a significant business in both delivery and carryout. The Company operates through three segments: U.S. stores, international franchise, and supply chain. The U.S. stores segment is comprised primarily of its franchise operations, which consists of franchised stores located in the United States. The segment also operates a network of United States Company-owned stores. The international franchise segment primarily includes operations related to the Company’s franchising business in foreign markets. The supply chain segment primarily includes the distribution of food, equipment and supplies to stores from the Company’s supply chain center operations in the United States and Canada. It is primarily a franchisor, with approximately 99% of its global stores owned and operated by its independent franchisees. In its international markets, the Company generally grants geographical rights to the Domino’s Pizza brand to master franchisees.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
