Corpay, Inc. Reports Strong Q4 2025 Earnings Exceeding Expectations
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1h ago
0mins
Should l Buy CPAY?
Source: seekingalpha
- Significant Revenue Growth: Corpay reported Q4 2025 revenue of $1.248 billion, a 21% year-over-year increase that exceeded expectations, primarily driven by strong performance in cross-border payments and the Alpha business, indicating sustained competitive strength in the market.
- Record EPS Achievement: The adjusted EPS for Q4 reached $6.04, up 13% year-over-year, while the full-year EPS was $21.38, reflecting a 12% growth, which underscores the company's improving profitability and enhances investor confidence.
- Optimistic 2026 Outlook: The company projects 2026 revenue to hit $5.265 billion, a 16% increase, with EPS guidance set at $26, growing 22%, demonstrating management's strong confidence in future growth, particularly in corporate payments and acquisition integration.
- Strategic Investments and Portfolio Simplification: Management emphasized ongoing portfolio simplification and strategic investments, planning to divest the vehicle payments business while reallocating resources to enhance corporate payments, aiming to adapt to market changes and improve overall operational efficiency.
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Analyst Views on CPAY
Wall Street analysts forecast CPAY stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CPAY is 356.20 USD with a low forecast of 315.00 USD and a high forecast of 400.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
11 Analyst Rating
8 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 292.230
Low
315.00
Averages
356.20
High
400.00
Current: 292.230
Low
315.00
Averages
356.20
High
400.00
About CPAY
Corpay, Inc. is a corporate payments company that helps businesses and consumers manage and pay expenses. The Company's suite of payment solutions helps customers to manage vehicle-related expenses, such as fueling and parking; travel expenses, such as hotel bookings; and accounts payable, such as paying vendors. Its segments include Vehicle Payments, Corporate Payments, Lodging Payments and Other. Its solutions include AP Automation, Cross-Border, Purchasing and T&E Cards, and Virtual Card. Its AP Automation solutions include Payments Automation, Invoice Automation, Purchase Order Automation and Integrations. Its Virtual Card solution provides a single-use card number for a specific amount, usable within a defined timeframe. Its trading platform and integrated payment solutions, which can be customized as per client’s business requirements. Its Cross-Border solution is used by its customers to pay international vendors, foreign office and for-profit repatriation and dividends.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Significant Revenue Growth: Corpay reported Q4 2025 revenue of $1.248 billion, a 21% year-over-year increase that exceeded expectations, primarily driven by strong performance in cross-border payments and the Alpha business, indicating sustained competitive strength in the market.
- Record EPS Achievement: The adjusted EPS for Q4 reached $6.04, up 13% year-over-year, while the full-year EPS was $21.38, reflecting a 12% growth, which underscores the company's improving profitability and enhances investor confidence.
- Optimistic 2026 Outlook: The company projects 2026 revenue to hit $5.265 billion, a 16% increase, with EPS guidance set at $26, growing 22%, demonstrating management's strong confidence in future growth, particularly in corporate payments and acquisition integration.
- Strategic Investments and Portfolio Simplification: Management emphasized ongoing portfolio simplification and strategic investments, planning to divest the vehicle payments business while reallocating resources to enhance corporate payments, aiming to adapt to market changes and improve overall operational efficiency.
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- Earnings Beat: Corpay's Q4 Non-GAAP EPS of $6.04 exceeded expectations by $0.10, with revenue of $1.25 billion reflecting a 21.4% year-over-year increase, surpassing estimates by $20 million, indicating robust business fundamentals and market demand.
- 2026 Fiscal Outlook: The company forecasts a 16% revenue growth and a 22% adjusted EPS growth for FY 2026, driven by strong business fundamentals, accretive acquisitions, and a favorable macroeconomic environment, showcasing confidence in future performance.
- Organic Growth Expectations: Corpay anticipates a 10% organic revenue growth for FY 2026, maintaining tight expense management, and leveraging fourth-quarter share repurchases to significantly boost adjusted EPS, thereby enhancing investor confidence.
- Q1 Outlook: For Q1 2026, organic revenue growth is expected to be 9%, with adjusted EPS projected to grow over 20%, as revenue and adjusted EPS are anticipated to build significantly throughout the year due to organic growth and realization of deal synergies.
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- Transaction Overview: Corpay announced the sale of its mobile parking payments business, PayByPhone, to Lightyear Capital, marking a significant step in simplifying its business portfolio, although the terms of the transaction remain undisclosed.
- Stock Reaction: Following the announcement, Corpay's shares fell 3.34% in pre-market trading to $282.46, indicating a cautious market response to the news.
- Strategic Intent: CEO Ron Clarke stated that the transaction aims to accelerate the company's rotation towards a more focused corporate payments sector, reflecting a clear vision for its future business direction.
- Financial Impact: The transaction is expected to close in the second quarter and is not anticipated to materially affect the company's cash EPS outlook for 2026, demonstrating confidence in its financial stability.
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- Acquisition Agreement: Lightyear Capital has signed an agreement to acquire PayByPhone, a global leader in mobile parking payments, from Corpay, with the deal expected to close in Q2 2026, marking Lightyear's eighth investment in vertical software and payments, thereby strengthening its position in the fintech sector.
- Market Leadership: PayByPhone serves over 1,300 clients globally with digital parking payments and mission-critical parking management software, and Lightyear's investment is set to drive product innovation to better meet the needs of its expanding customer base, enhancing its competitive edge in the market.
- Management Team Strength: Mark Vassallo, Managing Partner at Lightyear, noted that PayByPhone's management team has built a strong business with significant greenfield opportunities, and the company is poised for continued growth, which will further enhance enterprise value.
- Strategic Vision: Jonny Combe, CEO of PayByPhone, emphasized that Lightyear's extensive experience in fintech and payments will provide ongoing support for the company's future development, facilitating its transition from parking services to broader mobility payment solutions.
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- Earnings Announcement: Corpay (CPAY) is set to release its Q4 earnings on February 4th after market close, with consensus EPS estimates at $5.94, reflecting a 10.8% year-over-year increase, indicating sustained profitability that could positively impact stock prices.
- Revenue Growth Expectations: The anticipated revenue for Q4 is $1.23 billion, representing a 19.4% year-over-year growth, which highlights Corpay's strategic expansion in corporate payments and stablecoin initiatives, potentially solidifying its market position.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, Corpay has beaten EPS estimates 75% of the time and revenue estimates 50% of the time, showcasing a consistent performance that boosts investor confidence and may drive stock price appreciation.
- Upward Revision Trends: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen 13 upward revisions with no downward adjustments, and revenue estimates have experienced 12 upward revisions, indicating analysts' optimistic outlook on Corpay's future performance, likely attracting more investor interest.
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- EPS Revision Grades: Aegon Ltd. (AEG) received an A+ rating, indicating strong analyst confidence in its near-term performance, which could drive stock price increases and attract more investor interest.
- Market Confidence Boost: Cboe Global Markets, Inc. (CBOE) and First Horizon Corporation (FHN) both earned A+ ratings, suggesting analysts are optimistic about their earnings outlook, potentially enhancing their performance in the competitive financial market.
- Industry Leaders: JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) and Nomura Holdings, Inc. (NMR) also received A+ ratings, reflecting the resilience of large financial institutions in the current economic environment, which may bolster investor confidence in the financial sector.
- Investment Opportunities: Bank of America Corporation (BAC) and Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM) received A ratings, demonstrating analyst recognition of their future profitability, which could attract more capital into these stocks.
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