Copa Holdings to Announce Q4 Earnings on February 11
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1h ago
0mins
Should l Buy CPA?
Source: seekingalpha
- Earnings Announcement Date: Copa Holdings is set to release its Q4 2023 earnings report on February 11 after market close, with a consensus EPS estimate of $4.43, reflecting an 11% year-over-year increase, which may bolster investor confidence in the company's financial health.
- Revenue Expectations: The anticipated revenue for Q4 is $958.49 million, representing a 9.3% year-over-year growth, indicating strong performance in the airline market and potentially laying the groundwork for future expansion.
- Historical Performance: Over the past two years, Copa Holdings has beaten EPS estimates 100% of the time and exceeded revenue estimates 38% of the time, showcasing the company's robust operational execution and enhancing its attractiveness to investors.
- Estimate Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen two upward revisions and two downward adjustments, while revenue estimates experienced six upward revisions and two downward changes, reflecting a mix of confidence and uncertainty in the market regarding Copa Holdings' future performance, warranting close attention to the upcoming earnings report.
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Analyst Views on CPA
Wall Street analysts forecast CPA stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CPA is 157.00 USD with a low forecast of 141.00 USD and a high forecast of 170.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
6 Analyst Rating
6 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 153.320
Low
141.00
Averages
157.00
High
170.00
Current: 153.320
Low
141.00
Averages
157.00
High
170.00
About CPA
Copa Holdings, S.A. is a provider of airline passenger and cargo service through its principal operating subsidiaries, Compania Panamena de Aviacion, S. A. (Copa Airlines) and AeroRepublica, S. A. (Copa Colombia). The Company operates through air transportation segment. Copa Airlines operates from its position located in the Republic of Panama. Copa Airlines provides international air transportation for passengers, cargo and mail, operating from its Panama City hub in the Republic of Panama. Copa Colombia provides service within Colombia and international flights from various cities in Colombia to Panama, Venezuela, Ecuador, Mexico, Cuba, Guatemala and Costa Rica. Copa Colombia provides domestic and international air transportation for passengers, cargo and mail with a point-to-point route network. Its subsidiary, Oval Financial Leasing, Ltd., controls the special purpose entities that have a beneficial interest in the majority of its fleet.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Earnings Announcement Date: Copa Holdings is set to release its Q4 2023 earnings report on February 11 after market close, with a consensus EPS estimate of $4.43, reflecting an 11% year-over-year increase, which may bolster investor confidence in the company's financial health.
- Revenue Expectations: The anticipated revenue for Q4 is $958.49 million, representing a 9.3% year-over-year growth, indicating strong performance in the airline market and potentially laying the groundwork for future expansion.
- Historical Performance: Over the past two years, Copa Holdings has beaten EPS estimates 100% of the time and exceeded revenue estimates 38% of the time, showcasing the company's robust operational execution and enhancing its attractiveness to investors.
- Estimate Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen two upward revisions and two downward adjustments, while revenue estimates experienced six upward revisions and two downward changes, reflecting a mix of confidence and uncertainty in the market regarding Copa Holdings' future performance, warranting close attention to the upcoming earnings report.
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- Capacity Growth: Copa Holdings reported an 11.9% increase in available seat miles (ASM) for January 2026, indicating a proactive strategy in expanding its route network and enhancing service capabilities to meet rising market demand.
- Passenger Traffic Increase: System-wide revenue passenger miles (RPM) rose by 13.3% year-over-year, showcasing the company's success in attracting customers and further solidifying its competitive position in the aviation market.
- Load Factor Improvement: The system load factor for January reached 87.5%, up 1.1 percentage points from January 2025, reflecting effective measures in optimizing flight schedules and enhancing operational efficiency.
- Future Outlook: Copa Holdings has narrowed its 2025 operating margin guidance to 22-23%, indicating a positive outlook on future demand despite expansion challenges, and suggesting continued robust growth ahead.
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- Passenger Volume Growth: In January 2026, Copa Holdings reported available seat miles (ASMs) of 3,104.4 million, an 11.9% increase from 2025, indicating strong demand and expansion potential in the Latin American market.
- Revenue Passenger Miles Increase: The revenue passenger miles (RPMs) for the same month reached 2,716.0 million, up 13.3% year-over-year, demonstrating significant success in enhancing flight utilization and attracting passengers.
- Improved Load Factor: The load factor for January was 87.5%, which is 1.1 percentage points higher than January 2025, reflecting the company's success in optimizing flight schedules and enhancing customer experience.
- Strengthened Market Position: As a leading provider of passenger and cargo services in Latin America, Copa Holdings further solidifies its market position across North, Central, South America, and the Caribbean through continuous passenger volume growth and high load factors.
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- Passenger Traffic Growth: Copa Holdings reported a 10.9% year-over-year increase in system-wide passenger traffic, measured in revenue passenger miles (RPMs), for December 2025, indicating the company's ability to expand amid strong market demand.
- Capacity Increase: Available seat miles (ASMs) rose by 10.0% during the same month, demonstrating effective strategies in enhancing flight capacity to meet the growing passenger demand.
- Load Factor Improvement: The load factor improved to 86.0% in December from 85.3% in December 2024, reflecting Copa's success in optimizing flight schedules and enhancing passenger experience.
- Narrowed Operating Margin Guidance: Copa Holdings narrowed its 2025 operating margin guidance to 22-23%, indicating that the company can maintain robust profitability while expanding its fleet, showcasing strategic flexibility in a competitive airline market.
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- Transformational Innovation: SEI Investments Co. (market cap $10 billion) is modernizing traditional wealth management through its SEI Wealth Platform, which analysts believe will enhance its market share and drive future growth.
- Analyst Rating Upgrades: In December, Piper Sandler and Keefe, Bruyette & Woods upgraded SEIC from Neutral to Outperform, while Morgan Stanley raised its price target to $117, with an average target of $107 from three firms, indicating nearly 23% upside from current levels.
- Price Breakout: SEIC's stock has surged past both the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages, with a bullish crossover in the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator, signaling strong market momentum and boosting investor confidence.
- Optimistic Market Outlook: Analysts' strong bullish sentiment towards SEI Investments reflects its potential in the wealth-tech sector, with expectations of significant growth by 2026, attracting increased investor interest.
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- Capacity Increase: In December 2025, Copa Holdings' available seat miles (ASMs) rose by 10.0% year-over-year to 2,932.4 million, demonstrating the company's ability to expand in the Latin American market and effectively respond to route demand.
- Passenger Traffic Growth: The same month saw a 10.9% year-over-year increase in revenue passenger miles (RPMs), reaching 2,521.0 million, indicating the company's success in attracting passengers and further solidifying its market position.
- Improved Load Factor: The load factor for December 2025 was 86.0%, up 0.7 percentage points from December 2024, reflecting effective strategies in optimizing flight schedules and enhancing service quality, which bolstered profitability.
- Market Leadership: As a leading provider of passenger and cargo services in Latin America, Copa Holdings continues to strengthen its market leadership across North, Central, South America, and the Caribbean through sustained capacity and traffic growth, showcasing robust business growth potential.
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