Company Anticipates 2026 Capital Expenditures Between $390 Million and $435 Million
The company said, "The Company anticipates full-year 2026 capital expenditures to be between $390 million and $435 million. Of this amount, the Completions business is expected to account for approximately $140 million to $160 million, including approximately $40 million to $50 million related to lease buyouts for a portion of the Company's FORCE electric fleet portfolio. As a reminder, the five FORCE electric fleet leases were secured with an initial three-year term and include options to either buy out or extend the leases at the end of that period. The intent behind these leases was to defer upfront capital expenditures while securing the equipment at an attractive cost of capital, supported by the contracted earnings from the FORCE electric fleets. This strategy proved successful, enabling the Company to rapidly transform its fleet and still generate accretive cash flow. The upcoming lease buyouts reflect the completion of a deliberate and strategic capital allocation decision. By exercising these options, the Company will take full ownership of the FORCE(R) fleets. Each buyout will immediately reduce the Company's lease expense, currently reflected in operating expenses, and strengthen its commercial flexibility. The Company expects to buy out all five fleets, with buyouts anticipated to begin in late 2026 and through 2028. The Completions business guidance range also includes capital reserved for refurbishing a portion of the existing Tier IV DGB fleet, investments in fleet automation technology, as well as measured investments in direct drive gas frac units. These direct drive gas frac units are highly complementary to the current frac asset base, and their integration is anticipated to partially offset future capital requirements for investments and refurbishments in the Company's conventional frac fleet. Additionally, the Company expects to incur approximately $250 million to $275 million in 2026 for its PROPWR business. This range allows for additional equipment orders and associated down payments. The outlook is based on the current 550 megawatts of PROPWR equipment on order, as well as plans to reach at least 750 megawatts delivered by year-end 2028. While these PROPWR capital expenditure estimates reflect the total cost of the equipment, they do not account for the impact of financing arrangements, which are expected to reduce near-term actual cash outflows or cash capex required from the Company. Although near-term opportunities to add additional fleets remain limited, the Company expects to operate 11 active frac fleets in the first quarter. Winter weather disruptions were significant in January, leading to substantial utilization impacts during the last week of January which we expect to have a meaningful impact to first quarter profitability."
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- Operational Slowdown: CEO Sam Sledge highlighted a significant slowdown in completions activity in 2025, with the Permian region's full-time frac fleet count dropping from 90-100 to approximately 70, indicating weakened market demand that could impact future revenue growth.
- Stable Financial Performance: Despite challenges, ProPetro reported fourth-quarter revenue of $290 million, a 1% decrease from the third quarter, but net income of $1 million demonstrates effective cost control and cash flow maintenance, bolstering investor confidence.
- Capital Expenditure Plans: CFO Weatherl indicated that capital expenditures for 2026 are expected to range between $390 million and $435 million, with $140 million to $160 million allocated for the completions business, reflecting the company's cautious optimism and strategic investments for future market conditions.
- PROPWR Growth Outlook: Sledge reaffirmed PROPWR's five-year growth target, aiming for at least 750 megawatts of capacity by the end of 2028 and over 1 gigawatt by the end of 2030, indicating the company's long-term strategic positioning in the renewable energy sector.
- Earnings Performance: ProPetro reported a Q4 GAAP EPS of $0.01, beating expectations by $0.13, indicating an improvement in profitability despite a 9.6% year-over-year revenue decline.
- Revenue and Adjusted EBITDA: The company achieved Q4 revenue of $289.68 million, exceeding estimates by $3.68 million, while adjusted EBITDA rose from $35 million in Q3 to $51 million, reflecting enhanced operational efficiency.
- Strong Cash Flow: Net cash provided by operating activities reached $81 million in Q4, a significant increase from $42 million in Q3 2025, bolstering the company's financial flexibility and investment capacity.
- Future Capital Expenditure Guidance: The company anticipates full-year 2026 capital expenditures between $390 million and $435 million, with the Completions business expected to account for $140 million to $160 million, indicating a continued commitment to investing in its electric fleet portfolio.
- Earnings Announcement Schedule: ProPetro is set to release its Q4 earnings on February 18 before market open, with a consensus EPS estimate of -$0.12, reflecting a 29.4% year-over-year decline, which may negatively impact investor sentiment.
- Revenue Expectations: The anticipated revenue for Q4 is $286 million, representing a 10.8% year-over-year decrease, indicating challenges the company faces in the current market environment that could affect its future growth strategies.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past year, ProPetro has not met EPS estimates 0% of the time and has only beaten revenue estimates 25% of the time, reflecting ongoing pressure on profitability that may undermine investor confidence.
- Estimate Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen 5 upward revisions and 1 downward revision, while revenue estimates have had 2 upward revisions with no downward adjustments, indicating cautious optimism in the market regarding the company's future performance.
- Price Decline Risk: Solana's price has dropped nearly 40% over the past month, currently hovering around $80, with market sentiment extremely negative; if the legal environment worsens, a drop to $20 is plausible, posing significant risks for holders.
- Legal Action Impact: A class action lawsuit targeting Solana's ecosystem has named Solana Labs and the Solana Foundation as defendants, and markets tend to react quickly to legal threats, leading investors to de-risk and exacerbating downward price pressure.
- Strong Fundamentals: Despite facing legal challenges, Solana's total value locked (TVL) in decentralized finance (DeFi) applications remains at $7.2 billion, with $13.4 billion in stablecoins, indicating ongoing economic activity and a positive long-term outlook.
- Price Forecast: Solana is expected to dip slightly in the coming months, but if legal issues do not worsen, it could recover to above $120 by year-end, with a long-term target of $200, reflecting market confidence in its potential recovery.
- Price Decline: Solana's price has plummeted nearly 40% over the past month, currently hovering around $80, which is significantly lower than its all-time highs in early 2025, creating investor uncertainty regarding its future performance.
- Legal Risks: A new class action lawsuit against Solana's Pump.fun platform alleges securities law violations, potentially forcing the closure of some key entities within its ecosystem, and the market's sensitivity to such legal threats could exacerbate downward price pressure.
- Economic Activity Support: Despite facing challenges, Solana maintains a total value locked (TVL) of $7.2 billion in decentralized finance (DeFi) applications and hosts $13.4 billion in stablecoins, indicating its continued significance in on-chain economic activities.
- Future Outlook: Analysts predict that Solana's price may dip further in the coming months, but if the legal environment does not worsen, it is expected to recover above $120 by year-end, with a long-term target of $250, reflecting its potential for market recovery.









