Company Adjusts FY25 EBITDA Outlook to $555M-$565M
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 21 2026
0mins
Backs FY25 adjusted EBITDA view $555M-$565M. Neal Menashe, CEO, stated: "We are very pleased with our performance this year. Casino outperformed, while sports wagers, deposits and monthly active customers all reached record highs. Customer-friendly results reduced sports hold late in the fourth quarter, yet our operating model remains very strong. Today's dividend reflects that strength and our confidence in the durability of the business. With a deep product pipeline and continued operating discipline, we are entering 2026 positioned to grow and keep compounding long-term value for shareholders."
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Analyst Views on SGHC
Wall Street analysts forecast SGHC stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for SGHC is 17.67 USD with a low forecast of 17.00 USD and a high forecast of 19.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
4 Analyst Rating
4 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 10.070
Low
17.00
Averages
17.67
High
19.00
Current: 10.070
Low
17.00
Averages
17.67
High
19.00
About SGHC
SGHC Limited is a holding company engaged in online sports betting and gaming. The Company operates through two business segments: Betway and Spin. Betway is the premier online sportsbook operating under a single brand, offering sports betting and casino entertainment. Betway has a global footprint, holding licenses throughout Europe, the Americas and Africa, with approximately 60 brand partnerships with teams and leagues worldwide. The Spin is a multi-brand online casino offering, with market leadership in high-growth markets. It has a diverse portfolio of approximately 16 casino brands, which offer a range of casino products. Its subsidiaries include Pindus Holdings Limited, Fengari Holdings Limited, and SG Media Limited.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Super Group (SGHC) Projects 2026 Revenue of $2.27B and Declares $0.25 Special Cash Dividend
- Stable Revenue Outlook: Super Group anticipates full-year revenue for 2023 to be between $2.17B and $2.27B, aligning with the consensus estimate of $2.22B, indicating the company's stability and growth potential in the market.
- EBITDA Guidance: The adjusted EBITDA is projected to be between $555M and $565M, reflecting strong core business drivers that are expected to continue supporting future profitability.
- Special Dividend Announcement: The Board has declared a special cash dividend of $0.25 per ordinary share, payable on February 9, 2026, which enhances shareholder returns and demonstrates confidence in future cash flows.
- Outstanding Market Performance: Super Group is the best-performing casino stock year-to-date, with a premarket increase of 9.72% to $10.61, reflecting investor optimism regarding the company's growth prospects.
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Super Group (SGHC) Declares $0.25 Special Dividend Payable on February 9
- Special Dividend Announcement: Super Group has declared a special dividend of $0.25 per share, payable on February 9, with a record date of February 2, demonstrating the company's commitment to shareholder returns and enhancing investor confidence.
- Ex-Dividend Date Setup: The ex-dividend date is set for February 2, meaning investors purchasing shares before this date will qualify for the dividend, potentially attracting more short-term investors to the stock.
- Outstanding Performance: Super Group is recognized as the best-performing casino stock year-to-date, reflecting significant growth in a competitive market and raising market expectations for its future development.
- Tax Impact Outlook: The company anticipates that UK gambling tax hikes will reduce its EBITDA by approximately 6% in 2026, which may exert pressure on its future profitability, prompting investors to monitor its strategic responses.
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