Coinbase Warns of Withdrawing Support for Stablecoin Bill Amid Restrictions
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 12 2026
0mins
Should l Buy COIN?
Source: Benzinga
- Risk to Bill Support: Coinbase has warned U.S. lawmakers that it may withdraw support for a major market structure bill if new provisions restrict its ability to offer stablecoin rewards, potentially weakening bipartisan support and delaying the bill's passage.
- Revenue Impact: Coinbase generated approximately $1.3 billion in stablecoin-related revenue in 2025, and restrictions on stablecoin rewards could reduce USDC balances on the platform, materially impacting earnings.
- Conflict Between Banks and Crypto: Proposed changes to the bill, backed by the banking lobby, would limit stablecoin rewards to regulated banks or trust-chartered institutions, which could undermine competition for crypto firms and undo prior compromises.
- Urgent Legislative Timeline: Analyst Bernstein noted that if the bill does not advance by Q2, it risks stalling amid midterm election politics, with its fate hinging on lawmakers' ability to address concerns about stablecoins siphoning deposits from traditional banks.
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Analyst Views on COIN
Wall Street analysts forecast COIN stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for COIN is 361.63 USD with a low forecast of 230.00 USD and a high forecast of 440.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
25 Analyst Rating
17 Buy
7 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 153.200
Low
230.00
Averages
361.63
High
440.00
Current: 153.200
Low
230.00
Averages
361.63
High
440.00
About COIN
Coinbase Global, Inc. is a holding company of Coinbase, Inc. and other subsidiaries. The Company provides a platform that serves as a compliant on-ramp to the onchain economy and enables users to engage in a variety of activities with their crypto assets in both proprietary and third-party product experiences enabled by access to decentralized applications. It offers consumers their primary financial account for the cryptoeconomy; institutions a full-service prime brokerage platform with access to deep pools of liquidity across the crypto marketplace, and developers a suite of products granting access to build onchain. Its platform helps people and institutions to engage with crypto assets, including trading, staking, safekeeping, spending, and global transfers. It offers products and services to various customer groups: individuals, businesses, institutions, and developers. Its transaction products consist of consumer trading, prime Trading, markets, base protocol and Coinbase wallet.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Coinbase Q4 Earnings Preview: Analysts Expect Decline
- Earnings Release Announcement: Coinbase Global, Inc. is set to release its fourth-quarter earnings after the market closes on February 12, with analysts projecting earnings per share of $1.05, a significant drop from $3.39 in the same quarter last year, indicating profitability challenges for the company.
- Revenue Expectations Decline: The anticipated quarterly revenue for Coinbase is $1.84 billion, down from $2.27 billion a year earlier, reflecting the adverse impact of a sluggish cryptocurrency market on the company's performance.
- Historical Performance Review: Coinbase has beaten revenue estimates in seven of the last ten quarters, including a strong performance in the most recent third quarter; however, the current expectations suggest a weakening growth momentum.
- Stock Price Fluctuation: Coinbase shares fell 5.7% to close at $153.20 on Wednesday, indicating market caution ahead of the earnings report, which may affect investor confidence.
See More
Coinbase Q4 Results Miss Estimates, Stock Rises
- Revenue Miss: Coinbase reported Q4 total revenue of $1.78 billion, falling short of the $1.83 billion consensus, and down from $1.87 billion in the previous quarter, indicating the adverse impact of a weakening crypto market on performance.
- Declining Transaction Revenue: The Q4 transaction revenue of $982.7 million decreased from $1.05 billion in Q3 and $1.56 billion year-over-year, reflecting reduced market activity and increased competition in the crypto space.
- Cautious Future Outlook: The company expects Q1 subscription and services revenue to be between $550 million and $630 million, significantly below the $761 million consensus, raising concerns about future revenue growth.
- Short-term Stock Rebound: Despite the disappointing results, Coinbase's stock rose 2.8% in after-hours trading on Thursday, likely due to a technical rebound following an 8.4% drop in the previous two sessions, suggesting investor confidence in long-term potential remains.
See More
Coinbase Reports Q4 Financial Highlights
- Revenue Performance: Coinbase reported total revenue of $1.78 billion for Q4, a 5% decrease quarter-over-quarter, missing the market expectation of $1.85 billion, indicating increased competitive pressure in the market.
- Transaction Revenue Decline: The company's transaction revenue was $982.7 million for the quarter, significantly down from $1.56 billion in the same quarter last year, reflecting the impact of cryptocurrency market volatility on performance.
- Product Diversification: Coinbase now has 12 products generating annualized revenue of over $100 million, with six exceeding $250 million, demonstrating significant progress in diversifying revenue sources and enhancing long-term growth potential.
- Future Outlook: The company guides for first-quarter subscription and services revenue to be between $550 million and $630 million, lower than recent quarters, highlighting uncertainty in the market environment.
See More
Coinbase Q4 Revenue Expectations Lowered
- Revenue Expectations Decline: Analysts anticipate Coinbase's Q4 revenue to be $1.83 billion, down from $2.27 billion in the same quarter last year, reflecting ongoing weakness in the crypto market that could impact the company's future market share and investor confidence.
- Profit Forecast Plummets: Expected earnings per share are projected at $1.01, a staggering 78% decrease year-over-year, indicating significant challenges in profitability that may heighten investor concerns regarding the company's long-term growth potential.
- Price Target Reductions: JPMorgan has lowered its price target for Coinbase from $399 to $290 while maintaining an 'Overweight' rating, signaling a cautious outlook on the company's future performance that could affect market confidence in its stock.
- Mixed Market Sentiment: While retail sentiment around COIN stock trends bullish, some users caution that Coinbase's earnings could devastate portfolios of investors holding the stock, highlighting the high uncertainty surrounding the company's future performance.
See More
Coinbase Faces Dismal Q4 Earnings Outlook Ahead of Report
- Dismal Market Expectations: Polymarket traders assign Coinbase only a 22% chance of exceeding Wall Street's expectations for its upcoming Q4 earnings, reflecting strong skepticism about achieving the $0.61 EPS target, with over $50,000 in contract volume.
- Significant Revenue Decline: Analysts forecast Coinbase's revenue to be $1.84 billion this quarter, down 18.9% from $2.27 billion a year ago, while transaction revenue is expected to plummet to $1.03 billion, representing a 33.6% year-over-year decline, indicating severe challenges to its core profitability.
- Increasing Macro Pressures: Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent testified that the Treasury has no authority to stabilize crypto markets, sending shockwaves through the industry and undermining hopes for government support, which has further eroded confidence in assets like Bitcoin.
- Earnings Risk Outlook: With a P/E ratio around 26, Coinbase faces significant downside risk if it fails to meet the lowered EPS target of $0.61; despite beating estimates in seven of the last ten quarters, the current collapse in crypto markets could signal a turning point for the exchange.
See More
Coinbase CEO Sells $545.7 Million in Stock Over Nine Months
- Massive Sell-Off: Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong sold over 1.5 million shares through 88 sell orders worth $545.7 million over nine months, indicating a pessimistic outlook on market conditions.
- Net Worth Decline: Armstrong's net worth plummeted by over $10 billion from a peak of $17.7 billion in July 2025, leaving him with a remaining fortune of $7.5 billion tied to his 14% stake in the exchange he co-founded in 2012.
- Analyst Rating Divergence: Goldman Sachs upgraded COIN to a buy rating with a $303 price target on January 5, citing non-trading revenue growth as a buffer against market cycles, while JPMorgan slashed its target by 27% due to declining trading volumes and concerns over soft crypto prices.
- Price Trend Analysis: COIN closed down 6% yesterday after breaking critical support at $230-$240, currently facing downward pressure below $160, and if it fails to reclaim $168-$170, it may test support levels around $140-$145.
See More
Coinbase Q4 Earnings Preview: Analysts Expect Decline
- Earnings Release Announcement: Coinbase Global, Inc. is set to release its fourth-quarter earnings after the market closes on February 12, with analysts projecting earnings per share of $1.05, a significant drop from $3.39 in the same quarter last year, indicating profitability challenges for the company.
- Revenue Expectations Decline: The anticipated quarterly revenue for Coinbase is $1.84 billion, down from $2.27 billion a year earlier, reflecting the adverse impact of a sluggish cryptocurrency market on the company's performance.
- Historical Performance Review: Coinbase has beaten revenue estimates in seven of the last ten quarters, including a strong performance in the most recent third quarter; however, the current expectations suggest a weakening growth momentum.
- Stock Price Fluctuation: Coinbase shares fell 5.7% to close at $153.20 on Wednesday, indicating market caution ahead of the earnings report, which may affect investor confidence.
See More
Coinbase Q4 Results Miss Estimates, Stock Rises
- Revenue Miss: Coinbase reported Q4 total revenue of $1.78 billion, falling short of the $1.83 billion consensus, and down from $1.87 billion in the previous quarter, indicating the adverse impact of a weakening crypto market on performance.
- Declining Transaction Revenue: The Q4 transaction revenue of $982.7 million decreased from $1.05 billion in Q3 and $1.56 billion year-over-year, reflecting reduced market activity and increased competition in the crypto space.
- Cautious Future Outlook: The company expects Q1 subscription and services revenue to be between $550 million and $630 million, significantly below the $761 million consensus, raising concerns about future revenue growth.
- Short-term Stock Rebound: Despite the disappointing results, Coinbase's stock rose 2.8% in after-hours trading on Thursday, likely due to a technical rebound following an 8.4% drop in the previous two sessions, suggesting investor confidence in long-term potential remains.
See More
Coinbase Reports Q4 Financial Highlights
- Revenue Performance: Coinbase reported total revenue of $1.78 billion for Q4, a 5% decrease quarter-over-quarter, missing the market expectation of $1.85 billion, indicating increased competitive pressure in the market.
- Transaction Revenue Decline: The company's transaction revenue was $982.7 million for the quarter, significantly down from $1.56 billion in the same quarter last year, reflecting the impact of cryptocurrency market volatility on performance.
- Product Diversification: Coinbase now has 12 products generating annualized revenue of over $100 million, with six exceeding $250 million, demonstrating significant progress in diversifying revenue sources and enhancing long-term growth potential.
- Future Outlook: The company guides for first-quarter subscription and services revenue to be between $550 million and $630 million, lower than recent quarters, highlighting uncertainty in the market environment.
See More
Coinbase Q4 Revenue Expectations Lowered
- Revenue Expectations Decline: Analysts anticipate Coinbase's Q4 revenue to be $1.83 billion, down from $2.27 billion in the same quarter last year, reflecting ongoing weakness in the crypto market that could impact the company's future market share and investor confidence.
- Profit Forecast Plummets: Expected earnings per share are projected at $1.01, a staggering 78% decrease year-over-year, indicating significant challenges in profitability that may heighten investor concerns regarding the company's long-term growth potential.
- Price Target Reductions: JPMorgan has lowered its price target for Coinbase from $399 to $290 while maintaining an 'Overweight' rating, signaling a cautious outlook on the company's future performance that could affect market confidence in its stock.
- Mixed Market Sentiment: While retail sentiment around COIN stock trends bullish, some users caution that Coinbase's earnings could devastate portfolios of investors holding the stock, highlighting the high uncertainty surrounding the company's future performance.
See More
Coinbase Faces Dismal Q4 Earnings Outlook Ahead of Report
- Dismal Market Expectations: Polymarket traders assign Coinbase only a 22% chance of exceeding Wall Street's expectations for its upcoming Q4 earnings, reflecting strong skepticism about achieving the $0.61 EPS target, with over $50,000 in contract volume.
- Significant Revenue Decline: Analysts forecast Coinbase's revenue to be $1.84 billion this quarter, down 18.9% from $2.27 billion a year ago, while transaction revenue is expected to plummet to $1.03 billion, representing a 33.6% year-over-year decline, indicating severe challenges to its core profitability.
- Increasing Macro Pressures: Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent testified that the Treasury has no authority to stabilize crypto markets, sending shockwaves through the industry and undermining hopes for government support, which has further eroded confidence in assets like Bitcoin.
- Earnings Risk Outlook: With a P/E ratio around 26, Coinbase faces significant downside risk if it fails to meet the lowered EPS target of $0.61; despite beating estimates in seven of the last ten quarters, the current collapse in crypto markets could signal a turning point for the exchange.
See More
Coinbase CEO Sells $545.7 Million in Stock Over Nine Months
- Massive Sell-Off: Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong sold over 1.5 million shares through 88 sell orders worth $545.7 million over nine months, indicating a pessimistic outlook on market conditions.
- Net Worth Decline: Armstrong's net worth plummeted by over $10 billion from a peak of $17.7 billion in July 2025, leaving him with a remaining fortune of $7.5 billion tied to his 14% stake in the exchange he co-founded in 2012.
- Analyst Rating Divergence: Goldman Sachs upgraded COIN to a buy rating with a $303 price target on January 5, citing non-trading revenue growth as a buffer against market cycles, while JPMorgan slashed its target by 27% due to declining trading volumes and concerns over soft crypto prices.
- Price Trend Analysis: COIN closed down 6% yesterday after breaking critical support at $230-$240, currently facing downward pressure below $160, and if it fails to reclaim $168-$170, it may test support levels around $140-$145.
See More
