Check Point Q4 Earnings Beat Expectations
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1h ago
0mins
Should l Buy CHKP?
Source: seekingalpha
- Earnings Beat: Check Point reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $3.40, exceeding expectations by $0.63, indicating strong profitability despite revenue falling short of forecasts.
- Lackluster Revenue Growth: The company’s Q4 revenue of $745 million, while up 5.8% year-over-year, missed expectations by $1.42 million, reflecting competitive pressures that could impact investor confidence moving forward.
- Significant Billing Growth: Calculated billings reached $1.039 billion, an 8% year-over-year increase, suggesting stable performance in customer renewals and new client acquisitions, potentially laying the groundwork for future revenue growth.
- Increased Subscription Revenue: Security subscription revenues totaled $325 million, an 11% year-over-year increase, demonstrating ongoing demand for security solutions and strengthening the company’s market position in cybersecurity.
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Analyst Views on CHKP
Wall Street analysts forecast CHKP stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CHKP is 227.67 USD with a low forecast of 195.00 USD and a high forecast of 285.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
26 Analyst Rating
10 Buy
16 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 180.570
Low
195.00
Averages
227.67
High
285.00
Current: 180.570
Low
195.00
Averages
227.67
High
285.00
About CHKP
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd is an Israel-based company primarily engaged in the cybersecurity industry. The Company focuses on providing AI-powered, cloud-delivered security solutions to protect corporate enterprises and governments worldwide. Their key product is the Check Point Infinity Architecture, which is a comprehensive cybersecurity platform. The Platform aims to defend against fifth-generation cyber-attacks across various networks, endpoints, cloud environments, workloads, Internet of Things (IoT), and mobile devices. Apart of that, the Company offers a range of products and services designed to secure IT infrastructure. It integrates advanced threat prevention technologies, including firewall, intrusion prevention system (IPS), antivirus, anti-bot, and sandboxing capabilities.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.

- Earnings Announcement Schedule: Check Point Software Technologies is set to announce its Q4 earnings on February 12 before market open, with a consensus EPS estimate of $2.77, reflecting a modest year-over-year growth of 2.6%, indicating stable profitability.
- Revenue Growth Expectations: The anticipated revenue for Q4 is $746.42 million, representing a 6.0% year-over-year increase, which highlights ongoing demand in the cybersecurity sector despite overall lackluster growth.
- Historical Performance Metrics: Over the past two years, Check Point has successfully beaten EPS estimates 88% of the time and revenue estimates 88% of the time, showcasing the reliability of its financial forecasts and operational performance.
- Estimate Revision Trends: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen three upward revisions and two downward adjustments, while revenue estimates have experienced three upward revisions and one downward adjustment, indicating a divergence in market sentiment regarding the company's future performance.
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- Financial Performance Growth: In Q4 2025, Check Point's calculated billings reached $1.039 billion, an 8% year-over-year increase, indicating sustained demand in the cybersecurity sector and enhanced customer adoption, thereby laying a solid foundation for future revenue growth.
- Revenue and Profit Increase: Total revenue for 2025 was $2.725 billion, a 6% increase year-over-year, with security subscription revenue hitting $1.219 billion, up 10%, demonstrating the company's expanding market share in security subscription services and strengthening its competitive position in a crowded market.
- Significant EPS Growth: Q4 2025 GAAP EPS was $2.81, a 22% increase, while non-GAAP EPS was $3.40, up 26%, reflecting the company's success in cost control and operational efficiency, further boosting investor confidence.
- Cash Flow and Buyback Program: Q4 2025 operating cash flow was $310 million, a 24% increase from the previous year, and the company repurchased approximately 2.2 million shares for about $425 million during the quarter, showcasing confidence in its value and commitment to shareholder returns.
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- Earnings Beat: Check Point reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $3.40, exceeding expectations by $0.63, indicating strong profitability despite revenue falling short of forecasts.
- Lackluster Revenue Growth: The company’s Q4 revenue of $745 million, while up 5.8% year-over-year, missed expectations by $1.42 million, reflecting competitive pressures that could impact investor confidence moving forward.
- Significant Billing Growth: Calculated billings reached $1.039 billion, an 8% year-over-year increase, suggesting stable performance in customer renewals and new client acquisitions, potentially laying the groundwork for future revenue growth.
- Increased Subscription Revenue: Security subscription revenues totaled $325 million, an 11% year-over-year increase, demonstrating ongoing demand for security solutions and strengthening the company’s market position in cybersecurity.
See More
- Financial Performance Growth: In Q4 2025, Check Point's calculated billings reached $1.039 billion, an 8% year-over-year increase, indicating strong demand and customer adoption in the cybersecurity sector.
- Revenue and Profit Increase: Total revenue for 2025 was $2.725 billion, a 6% increase year-over-year, with security subscription revenue hitting $1.219 billion, up 10%, reflecting successful expansion in security subscription services.
- Significant EPS Growth: In Q4 2025, GAAP EPS was $2.81, a 22% increase year-over-year, while non-GAAP EPS was $3.40, up 26%, demonstrating ongoing improvements in the company's profitability.
- Cash Flow and Buyback Program: Q4 2025 operating cash flow was $310 million, a 24% increase from the previous year, and the company repurchased approximately 2.2 million shares for about $425 million during the quarter, highlighting its commitment to shareholder returns.
See More
- Significant Outflow: The ProShares UltraShort Ether ETF experienced an outflow of 640,000 units this week, resulting in a 39.9% decline in outstanding units compared to the previous week, indicating a substantial loss of investor confidence in the Ethereum market that could impact the ETF's liquidity and market performance.
- Market Reaction Tepid: This outflow reflects negative sentiment towards Ethereum, as investors may be withdrawing due to market volatility and uncertainty, exacerbating price pressure on Ethereum and affecting the overall stability of the cryptocurrency market.
- Investor Confidence Shaken: With the increase in outflows, investor confidence in the ProShares UltraShort Ether ETF is challenged, potentially leading more investors to reassess their allocations in crypto assets, which could influence future inflows.
- ETF Market Dynamics Shifting: The outflow situation of this ETF may prompt other investors to monitor its performance, thereby affecting the dynamics of the entire ETF market, particularly in the cryptocurrency sector, potentially leading to more similar products experiencing outflows or inflows.
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Market Impact: The software sector has experienced a $2 trillion loss due to concerns over potential disruptions from artificial intelligence technology.
Investment Perspective: Analysts at J.P. Morgan view this downturn as a buying opportunity and have identified several AI-resistant companies, including Microsoft and CrowdStrike.
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