Sees FY26 Revenue Growth in Low Single Digits
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 10 2026
0mins
Should l Buy AXTA?
Sees FY26 revenue growth in low single digits from FY25 revenue of $5.12B consensus $5.22B. Sees FY26 CapEx $180M-$200M.
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Analyst Views on AXTA
Wall Street analysts forecast AXTA stock price to rise
11 Analyst Rating
5 Buy
6 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 35.570
Low
33.00
Averages
38.20
High
45.00
Current: 35.570
Low
33.00
Averages
38.20
High
45.00
About AXTA
Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. is a global coatings company. The Company is a manufacturer, marketer and distributor of coatings systems and products. Its segments include Performance Coatings and Mobility Coatings. Through its Performance Coatings segment, it provides sustainable liquid and powder coating solutions to both large regional and global customers and to a fragmented and local customer base. These customers comprise, among others, independent or multi-shop operator body shops as well as a wide variety of industrial manufacturers. Through its Mobility Coatings segment, it provides coatings technologies for light vehicle and commercial vehicle original equipment manufacturers (OEMs). Its key products consist of the four main coatings layers: electrocoat (AquaEC), primer (HyperDur), basecoat (ChromaDyne) and clearcoat (Lumeera). Its major industrial brands include Imron Industrial, Tufcote Industrial, Corlar Industrial, Strenex Industrial, PercoTop, Voltatex, and others.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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Axalta Reports Record Financial Performance in Q4 2025 Earnings Call
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Axalta (AXTA) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
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- Revenue Drop: The company's revenue for the fourth quarter was $1.262 billion, a 3.7% decrease from $1.311 billion last year, reflecting weakened market demand and intensified competition.
- Adjusted Earnings: Excluding items, Axalta reported adjusted earnings of $128 million, or $0.59 per share, which, while still lower than last year, demonstrates the company's efforts in cost control.
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- Adjusted EBITDA Performance: The company achieved an adjusted EBITDA of $272 million, with an EBITDA margin of 21.5%, a 50 basis point increase year-over-year, demonstrating improved profitability despite declining revenues, highlighting effective cost control measures.
- Record Cash Flow: Axalta generated a record $344 million in cash from operating activities and $290 million in free cash flow during Q4, providing strong support for future investments and shareholder returns, showcasing robust financial health.
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- Value Appreciation: As of December 31, Arnhold's position in Axalta was valued at $16.2 million, up $9.4 million from $6.8 million on September 30, reflecting optimistic expectations for potential returns from the stock.
- Asset Allocation Insight: Axalta represents 1.2% of Arnhold's reported AUM, and while it does not rank among the top five holdings, the increase in shares suggests a sustained interest in the sector.
- Market Performance Comparison: Despite Axalta's stock declining by 11.1% over the past year, trailing the S&P 500's 15.4% return, Arnhold's continued investment indicates a belief in the company's future market performance, potentially leading to strategic adjustments in their investment approach.
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- Market Opening Expectations: European stocks are expected to open mixed on Thursday, with the UK's FTSE index projected to rise by 0.15%, while Germany's DAX and France's CAC 40 are anticipated to decline by 0.25% and 0.15%, respectively, indicating cautious investor sentiment ahead of earnings reports.
- Aerospace Delivery Outlook: Airbus expects to deliver 870 commercial aircraft in 2026, slightly below the 880 units analysts had anticipated, reflecting increased market pressure as U.S. rival Boeing shows signs of recovery after a prolonged crisis.
- Renault Financial Report: Renault's revenue for 2025 rose by 3% to €57.9 billion, yet the company reported a significant net loss of €10.9 billion, with CEO François Provost citing a challenging market environment last year, compounded by a one-off charge from its investment in Nissan.
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- Outstanding Financial Performance: Axalta achieved approximately $1.3 billion in net sales for Q4 2025, with adjusted EBITDA of $272 million and a margin of 21.5%, showcasing the company's strong capabilities in commercial discipline and cost management.
- Record Cash Flow: Free cash flow reached $466 million, an increase of over $300 million compared to 2022, reflecting the company's success in efficient operations and cost control, further enhancing its financial stability.
- Significant Merger Potential: The merger with AkzoNobel is viewed as an
See More
Axalta (AXTA) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
See More
Axalta Reports Decline in Q4 Profit
- Profit Decline: Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. reported a fourth-quarter net profit of $60 million, or $0.28 per share, significantly down from $137 million and $0.63 per share last year, indicating pressure on profitability.
- Revenue Drop: The company's revenue for the fourth quarter was $1.262 billion, a 3.7% decrease from $1.311 billion last year, reflecting weakened market demand and intensified competition.
- Adjusted Earnings: Excluding items, Axalta reported adjusted earnings of $128 million, or $0.59 per share, which, while still lower than last year, demonstrates the company's efforts in cost control.
- Future Guidance: Axalta's guidance for next quarter's EPS is $0.50, suggesting that despite challenges, the company aims to improve financial performance through strategic adjustments and market recovery.
See More
Axalta Coating Systems Q4 Earnings Miss Expectations
- Disappointing Earnings: Axalta Coating Systems reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $0.59, missing expectations by $0.01, with revenue of $1.26 billion reflecting a 3.8% year-over-year decline, falling short of estimates by $10 million, indicating weak market demand.
- Adjusted EBITDA Performance: The company achieved an adjusted EBITDA of $272 million, with an EBITDA margin of 21.5%, a 50 basis point increase year-over-year, demonstrating improved profitability despite declining revenues, highlighting effective cost control measures.
- Record Cash Flow: Axalta generated a record $344 million in cash from operating activities and $290 million in free cash flow during Q4, providing strong support for future investments and shareholder returns, showcasing robust financial health.
- Future Financial Guidance: The company projects modest net sales growth in Q1 and FY 2026, with adjusted diluted EPS around $0.50, below market expectations, reflecting uncertainty in future growth prospects amidst a challenging market environment.
See More
Arnhold LLC Increases Stake in Axalta Coating Systems
- Increased Holdings: According to an SEC filing dated February 9, Arnhold LLC aggressively increased its stake in Axalta Coating Systems from 236,419 shares to 500,700 shares during the fourth quarter, indicating confidence in the company's future performance.
- Value Appreciation: As of December 31, Arnhold's position in Axalta was valued at $16.2 million, up $9.4 million from $6.8 million on September 30, reflecting optimistic expectations for potential returns from the stock.
- Asset Allocation Insight: Axalta represents 1.2% of Arnhold's reported AUM, and while it does not rank among the top five holdings, the increase in shares suggests a sustained interest in the sector.
- Market Performance Comparison: Despite Axalta's stock declining by 11.1% over the past year, trailing the S&P 500's 15.4% return, Arnhold's continued investment indicates a belief in the company's future market performance, potentially leading to strategic adjustments in their investment approach.
See More
