BigBear.ai Stock Drops 20% Amid Acquisition Challenges
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 16h ago
0mins
Source: Yahoo Finance
- Stock Decline: BigBear.ai's stock has dropped over 20% in the last three months, reflecting market concerns about its growth potential, particularly when compared to Palantir's stronger customer attraction.
- Revenue Decline: Despite similarities with Palantir's offerings, BigBear.ai's trailing-12-month revenue has decreased by 10.3% over the past three years, contrasting sharply with Palantir's nearly doubled revenue, indicating weakened market competitiveness.
- Acquisition Strategy Risks: BigBear.ai is attempting to reverse its fortunes through acquisitions, having bought Pangiam in 2024 and Ask Sage in 2025, but risks being outbid by stronger competitors, which may lead to shareholder dissatisfaction over acquisition costs.
- Share Dilution: The company plans to double its authorized common stock from 500 million to 1 billion shares, resulting in a 64% drop in shareholder value over the past two years, exacerbating investor concerns about potential future equity dilution.
Analyst Views on BBAI
Wall Street analysts forecast BBAI stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for BBAI is 6.50 USD with a low forecast of 5.00 USD and a high forecast of 8.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
2 Analyst Rating
1 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 6.170
Low
5.00
Averages
6.50
High
8.00
Current: 6.170
Low
5.00
Averages
6.50
High
8.00
About BBAI
BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. is a provider of artificial intelligence (AI)-powered decision intelligence solutions for national security, supply chain management and digital identity. The Company is a technology-led solutions organization, providing both software and services to its customers. It combines subject-matter expertise with technology to connect the enterprise, provide insights on process performance and recommendations for managing risk. It offers computer vision, anomaly/event detection, and descriptive and predictive analytics to support operations and break down silos between vendors and systems. The Company’s customers span the public and private sector, including the United States defense and intelligence agencies, border protection, transportation security, manufacturing, distribution and logistics, as well as travel, entertainment and tourism. It also offers software assets that are tailored for digital identity and biometrics, leveraging advanced vision AI technology.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
