U.S. Military Action Probability: Betting markets indicate a rising probability of U.S. military engagement in Venezuela, with chances increasing from 29% by January 15, 2026, to 52% by March 31, 2026.
Oil Market Indifference: Despite the geopolitical risks, oil prices remain low, with West Texas Intermediate crude trading around $57 a barrel, reflecting a lack of concern over potential conflict in Venezuela.
Potential Impact of Conflict: Analysts suggest that military intervention could initially boost oil prices due to reduced supply, but the long-term effects would depend on the political outcome in Venezuela.
Disconnect Between Markets: The significant divergence between betting odds for military action and current oil pricing raises questions about whether the market is overlooking a critical geopolitical risk.
Wall Street analysts forecast USO stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for USO is USD with a low forecast of USD and a high forecast of USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
0 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast USO stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for USO is USD with a low forecast of USD and a high forecast of USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
0 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 73.340
Low
Averages
High
Current: 73.340
Low
Averages
High
No data
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
