Barclays Lowers First American Financial (FAF) Price Target to $68, Sees Loan Growth Opportunities
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 24 2026
0mins
Should l Buy FAF?
Source: Yahoo Finance
- Price Target Adjustment: Barclays has lowered First American Financial Corporation's (FAF) price target from $71 to $68 while maintaining an Equal Weight rating, indicating a cautious optimism about the company's prospects in consumer finance.
- Loan Market Outlook: Barclays anticipates a healthier mortgage origination market in 2026, believing that a 'benign' credit environment will support loan growth, potentially benefiting FAF's business opportunities.
- Digital Transformation: First American is accelerating its digital transformation by rolling out new title and escrow platforms like Endpoint and Sequoia, aiming to enhance operational efficiency through streamlined workflows and cost reductions.
- Compliance Challenges: Despite advancements in technology, FAF must navigate a heavily regulated industry to maintain compliance, with its performance influenced by real estate transaction volumes, cost control, and innovation capabilities.
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Analyst Views on FAF
Wall Street analysts forecast FAF stock price to rise
4 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 66.160
Low
68.00
Averages
73.75
High
81.00
Current: 66.160
Low
68.00
Averages
73.75
High
81.00
About FAF
First American Financial Corporation, through its subsidiaries, is engaged in the business of providing title insurance, settlement services and other financial services and risk solutions. Its segments include Title Insurance and Services, Home Warranty, and Corporate segment. The Title Insurance and Services segment issues title insurance policies on residential and commercial property in the United States and offers similar or related products and services internationally. This segment also provides closing and/or escrow services, accommodates tax-deferred exchanges of real estate, and maintains, manages and provides access to title plant data and records. The Home Warranty segment provides residential service contracts that cover residential systems, such as heating and air conditioning systems, and certain appliances against failures that occur as the result of normal usage during the coverage period. The Corporate segment includes investments in venture-stage companies.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Subdued Annual Price Growth: The January 2026 National House Price Index from First American Data & Analytics indicates a mere 0.4% annual appreciation, remaining below 1% for the sixth consecutive month, reflecting market weakness and stability that could impact buyer confidence and market activity.
- Price Declines in Major Markets: Among the top 30 markets, 23 reported annual price declines, with significant drops in Western markets like Oakland, Denver, and Seattle, highlighting regional disparities that may lead investors to reassess market risks.
- Strong Performance in Midwest Markets: Despite overall market weakness, cities like Warren, Cambridge, and St. Louis showed robust annual increases of 6.9%, 5.9%, and 5.8% respectively, indicating potential growth in local markets that may attract investor interest.
- Income Growth Enhances Affordability: As household incomes rise rapidly, the slow growth in home prices is gradually improving affordability for buyers, which could foster market recovery in the future, especially in a stable price environment.
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- Strong Earnings Performance: First American Financial reported a Q4 Non-GAAP EPS of $1.99, beating expectations by $0.56, which highlights a significant improvement in profitability and boosts market confidence in future growth.
- Robust Revenue Growth: The company achieved revenues of $2.05 billion in Q4, a 21.3% year-over-year increase, exceeding market expectations by $250 million, reflecting its competitive position and business expansion capabilities.
- Stable Investment Income: The Title Insurance and Services segment reported investment income of $157 million, up 1% year-over-year, indicating stability in this segment, which contributes positively to the overall financial health of the company.
- Improved Cash Flow: Operating cash flow reached $369 million, up from $324 million last year, demonstrating ongoing improvements in cash management and operational efficiency, thereby enhancing financial flexibility.
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- Earnings Announcement: First American Financial is set to announce its Q4 2023 earnings on February 11 after market close, with a consensus EPS estimate of $1.43, reflecting a 5.9% year-over-year increase, which could directly impact the company's stock price.
- Revenue Expectations: The anticipated revenue for Q4 is $1.8 billion, also a 5.9% year-over-year increase, and achieving this would further solidify the company's market position in the financial services sector, indicating stable business growth potential.
- Historical Performance: Over the past two years, First American Financial has beaten EPS estimates 75% of the time and revenue estimates 50% of the time, demonstrating reliability in financial forecasting and fostering market confidence.
- Estimate Revisions: In the last three months, there have been no upward revisions for EPS estimates, with three downward adjustments, while revenue estimates also saw no upward revisions and two downward adjustments, suggesting a cautious market outlook on the company's future performance.
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- Platform Recognition: First American Title Insurance Company was awarded the HousingWire 2026 Tech100 award for its AgentNet® digital platform, which integrates advanced fraud-fighting tools and AI capabilities, significantly enhancing operational efficiency and client trust for title agents.
- Consecutive Awards: Winning the Tech100 award for the second consecutive year underscores the company's ongoing innovation in addressing operational and market challenges in the real estate sector, further solidifying its leadership position in the industry.
- Advanced Technology Implementation: Launched in late 2024, the AgentNet platform introduced real-time transaction fraud alerts and identity verification in 2025, enabling title agents to effectively identify and mitigate threats ranging from vacant property theft to AI-enabled seller impersonation.
- AI Assistant Support: The introduction of AgentNet Assist in 2025, a generative AI-powered research assistant leveraging over 130 years of underwriting expertise, empowers agents to make more informed decisions, thereby enhancing customer experience and driving business growth.
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- Price Target Adjustment: Barclays has lowered First American Financial Corporation's (FAF) price target from $71 to $68 while maintaining an Equal Weight rating, indicating a cautious optimism about the company's prospects in consumer finance.
- Loan Market Outlook: Barclays anticipates a healthier mortgage origination market in 2026, believing that a 'benign' credit environment will support loan growth, potentially benefiting FAF's business opportunities.
- Digital Transformation: First American is accelerating its digital transformation by rolling out new title and escrow platforms like Endpoint and Sequoia, aiming to enhance operational efficiency through streamlined workflows and cost reductions.
- Compliance Challenges: Despite advancements in technology, FAF must navigate a heavily regulated industry to maintain compliance, with its performance influenced by real estate transaction volumes, cost control, and innovation capabilities.
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- Increased Holdings: In Q3 2025, Davis Asset Management boosted its stake in First American Financial Corporation (FAF) by 811,642 shares, bringing total holdings to 1.1 million shares valued at $70.66 million, indicating a bullish outlook on the company.
- Asset Management Shift: This increase positions FAF at 2.52% of Davis's 13F assets, although it remains outside the top five holdings, suggesting a growing emphasis on FAF within the fund's portfolio.
- Market Performance: FAF's stock reached a 52-week high of $68.64 in September 2025, up from a low of $53.09 in July, reflecting renewed market confidence in the real estate sector's recovery.
- Financial Health: With trailing twelve-month revenue of $7.08 billion and net income of $482.30 million, along with a 3.6% dividend yield, FAF demonstrates solid financial stability, enhancing investor confidence in its growth prospects.
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