BABA-W's Qianwen Spring Festival Promotion Launches with Free Milk Tea in First Round
Stock Performance: BABA-W (09988.HK) experienced a decline of 3.008%, with short selling reaching $2.77 billion and a ratio of 19.671%.
Qianwen App Promotion: The Qianwen App launched a "Spring Festival Treat Plan," offering users a RMB25 free order card for milk tea at over 300,000 shops, including popular brands.
Investment Significance: This RMB3 billion initiative marks Alibaba's largest investment in Spring Festival activities and is the highest among major AI companies this year.
User Experience Issues: Some users faced difficulties accessing the promotion, receiving messages indicating the event was too popular and suggesting they try again later.
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<JPM's New 'High-Conviction' Stock Picks in Emerging Markets (Table)>
JPMorgan's High-Conviction Stocks: JPMorgan has identified several "High-Conviction" stocks in emerging markets, all rated as Overweight, including Hong Kong-listed BABA-W, PING AN, and ZIJIN MINING.
Stock Performance and Short Selling: The report highlights the short selling data for these stocks, with BABA-W showing a short selling ratio of 17.737%, PING AN at 30.252%, and ZIJIN MINING at 30.161%.
Additional Stock Picks: Other notable stocks listed in different regions include TSMC in Taiwan, Samsung Electronics in South Korea, and State Bank of India in India, among others.
Market Reactions: Morgan Stanley has maintained TENCENT as a top pick, suggesting that the market may be overreacting to potential negative impacts from VAT regulation.
JPM: It's Premature to Identify Final Leaders in AI Applications, Favors BABA-W, BIDU-SW, and KUAISHOU-W
Changing Consumer Behavior: JPMorgan's research indicates a shift in consumer behavior towards using chatbots as primary tools for search, recommendations, and task execution, prompting large internet platforms to invest heavily in marketing to boost adoption and increase token consumption.
Investment Recommendations: The broker favors companies benefiting from China's AI infrastructure, such as Alibaba (BABA-W) and Baidu (BIDU-SW), as well as online advertising firms like Kuaishou (KUAISHOU-W), while noting the uncertainty in identifying long-term AI winners.
Tencent's AI Strategy: Concerns have been raised about Tencent's cautious approach to AI advancements compared to competitors, with the stock trading at a valuation that reflects some market apprehension, yet the broker believes its core earnings outlook remains strong.
Tencent's Competitive Edge: JPMorgan emphasizes that Tencent's greatest asset lies in its distribution and user engagement capabilities, which can enhance the scalability of new technologies, including AI, at a lower user acquisition cost than its peers.
Report: Qianwen from BABA-W and Yuanbao Red Packet from TENCENT Now Allow Copying in WeChat
Stock Performance: BABA-W (09988.HK) saw a rise of 2.516%, while TENCENT (00700.HK) experienced a decline of 2.922% in their stock prices.
Short Selling Data: BABA-W had short selling of $2.37B with a ratio of 19.556%, while TENCENT's short selling reached $2.97B with a ratio of 15.248%.
WeChat Developments: Chinese media reported that WeChat has now allowed the copying of TENCENT's "Yuanbao" within its platform, following earlier restrictions against both "Qianwen" and "Yuanbao".
Market Context: The changes in WeChat's policies come amid a competitive landscape for AI red packets during the Spring Festival, where both companies were previously facing a blockade.
HKD4.3 Billion Net Inflow from Southbound Trading into TENCENT
Southbound Trading Inflows: TENCENT (00700.HK) saw significant Southbound Trading net inflows totaling HKD4.3 billion, while other stocks like BABA-W (09988.HK) and POP MART (09992.HK) experienced notable short selling activity.
Market Activity Overview: TENCENT was the most active stock in both Shanghai-Hong Kong and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect, with substantial net inflows, while stocks like XIAOMI-W and AKESO faced the highest net outflows.
Short Selling Statistics: The short selling ratios for TENCENT, BABA-W, and POP MART were 15.248%, 19.556%, and 27.852% respectively, indicating a high level of market speculation.
Overall Market Sentiment: The total Southbound Trading net outflow was HKD0, accounting for 35.67% of the total transaction amount of HKD88.42 billion, reflecting fragile market sentiment according to JPM.
AI Orders on BABA-W's Qianwen App Exceed 10 Million Within 9 Hours of Free Order Promotion Launch
Stock Performance: BABA-W (09988.HK) experienced a decline of 2.88%, with short selling reaching $2.37 billion and a ratio of 19.556%.
Qianwen App Promotion: The Qianwen App launched a "Spring Festival Treat Plan," offering free milk tea orders, which resulted in over 10 million AI orders within nine hours of the event.
Short Selling Activity Reaches $47.7B, Representing 22.1% of Eligible Securities Turnover at Market Close
Short Selling Turnover: The short selling turnover in the Hong Kong market reached $47.7 billion, accounting for 22.1% of the eligible securities turnover, slightly down from 23% on the previous trading day.
Top Short Selling Stocks: The top five stocks with the highest short selling amounts include CSOP HS TECH, TENCENT, BABA-W, XIAOMI-W, and MEITUAN-W, with CSOP HS TECH leading at $7.79 billion and a short selling ratio of 66.7%.
CSOP HS TECH Performance: CSOP HS TECH (03033.HK) experienced a decrease of 0.947%, with a significant short selling turnover of $7.79 billion and a high short selling ratio of 66.7%.
Other Notable Stocks: TENCENT, BABA-W, XIAOMI-W, and MEITUAN-W also showed notable short selling activity, with TENCENT at $2.97 billion and a ratio of 15.2%, while MEITUAN-W had a turnover of $961.98 million and a ratio of 26.6%.
<JPM's New 'High-Conviction' Stock Picks in Emerging Markets (Table)>
JPMorgan's High-Conviction Stocks: JPMorgan has identified several "High-Conviction" stocks in emerging markets, all rated as Overweight, including Hong Kong-listed BABA-W, PING AN, and ZIJIN MINING.
Stock Performance and Short Selling: The report highlights the short selling data for these stocks, with BABA-W showing a short selling ratio of 17.737%, PING AN at 30.252%, and ZIJIN MINING at 30.161%.
Additional Stock Picks: Other notable stocks listed in different regions include TSMC in Taiwan, Samsung Electronics in South Korea, and State Bank of India in India, among others.
Market Reactions: Morgan Stanley has maintained TENCENT as a top pick, suggesting that the market may be overreacting to potential negative impacts from VAT regulation.
JPM: It's Premature to Identify Final Leaders in AI Applications, Favors BABA-W, BIDU-SW, and KUAISHOU-W
Changing Consumer Behavior: JPMorgan's research indicates a shift in consumer behavior towards using chatbots as primary tools for search, recommendations, and task execution, prompting large internet platforms to invest heavily in marketing to boost adoption and increase token consumption.
Investment Recommendations: The broker favors companies benefiting from China's AI infrastructure, such as Alibaba (BABA-W) and Baidu (BIDU-SW), as well as online advertising firms like Kuaishou (KUAISHOU-W), while noting the uncertainty in identifying long-term AI winners.
Tencent's AI Strategy: Concerns have been raised about Tencent's cautious approach to AI advancements compared to competitors, with the stock trading at a valuation that reflects some market apprehension, yet the broker believes its core earnings outlook remains strong.
Tencent's Competitive Edge: JPMorgan emphasizes that Tencent's greatest asset lies in its distribution and user engagement capabilities, which can enhance the scalability of new technologies, including AI, at a lower user acquisition cost than its peers.
Report: Qianwen from BABA-W and Yuanbao Red Packet from TENCENT Now Allow Copying in WeChat
Stock Performance: BABA-W (09988.HK) saw a rise of 2.516%, while TENCENT (00700.HK) experienced a decline of 2.922% in their stock prices.
Short Selling Data: BABA-W had short selling of $2.37B with a ratio of 19.556%, while TENCENT's short selling reached $2.97B with a ratio of 15.248%.
WeChat Developments: Chinese media reported that WeChat has now allowed the copying of TENCENT's "Yuanbao" within its platform, following earlier restrictions against both "Qianwen" and "Yuanbao".
Market Context: The changes in WeChat's policies come amid a competitive landscape for AI red packets during the Spring Festival, where both companies were previously facing a blockade.
HKD4.3 Billion Net Inflow from Southbound Trading into TENCENT
Southbound Trading Inflows: TENCENT (00700.HK) saw significant Southbound Trading net inflows totaling HKD4.3 billion, while other stocks like BABA-W (09988.HK) and POP MART (09992.HK) experienced notable short selling activity.
Market Activity Overview: TENCENT was the most active stock in both Shanghai-Hong Kong and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect, with substantial net inflows, while stocks like XIAOMI-W and AKESO faced the highest net outflows.
Short Selling Statistics: The short selling ratios for TENCENT, BABA-W, and POP MART were 15.248%, 19.556%, and 27.852% respectively, indicating a high level of market speculation.
Overall Market Sentiment: The total Southbound Trading net outflow was HKD0, accounting for 35.67% of the total transaction amount of HKD88.42 billion, reflecting fragile market sentiment according to JPM.
AI Orders on BABA-W's Qianwen App Exceed 10 Million Within 9 Hours of Free Order Promotion Launch
Stock Performance: BABA-W (09988.HK) experienced a decline of 2.88%, with short selling reaching $2.37 billion and a ratio of 19.556%.
Qianwen App Promotion: The Qianwen App launched a "Spring Festival Treat Plan," offering free milk tea orders, which resulted in over 10 million AI orders within nine hours of the event.
Short Selling Activity Reaches $47.7B, Representing 22.1% of Eligible Securities Turnover at Market Close
Short Selling Turnover: The short selling turnover in the Hong Kong market reached $47.7 billion, accounting for 22.1% of the eligible securities turnover, slightly down from 23% on the previous trading day.
Top Short Selling Stocks: The top five stocks with the highest short selling amounts include CSOP HS TECH, TENCENT, BABA-W, XIAOMI-W, and MEITUAN-W, with CSOP HS TECH leading at $7.79 billion and a short selling ratio of 66.7%.
CSOP HS TECH Performance: CSOP HS TECH (03033.HK) experienced a decrease of 0.947%, with a significant short selling turnover of $7.79 billion and a high short selling ratio of 66.7%.
Other Notable Stocks: TENCENT, BABA-W, XIAOMI-W, and MEITUAN-W also showed notable short selling activity, with TENCENT at $2.97 billion and a ratio of 15.2%, while MEITUAN-W had a turnover of $961.98 million and a ratio of 26.6%.
