America's Cattle Dilemma: Declining Herd Numbers, Rising Beef Costs, and Limited Hope for Improvement
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 hour ago
0mins
Should l Buy MCD?
Source: Barron's
Setting: The scene takes place in Central Texas Hill Country, where a Black Baldy cow is being prepared for auction.
Cow Characteristics: The Black Baldy breed is noted for its easy calving and attentive mothering, making it a desirable choice for cattle ranchers.
Auction Purpose: Tim Niedecken from the Jordan Cattle Auction indicates that the cow will be sold as a packer animal, meaning it is intended for slaughter.
Market Factors: The decision to sell the cow may be influenced by her declining breeding capabilities or the high market price of beef.
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Analyst Views on MCD
Wall Street analysts forecast MCD stock price to rise
23 Analyst Rating
12 Buy
11 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 323.210
Low
300.00
Averages
337.63
High
375.00
Current: 323.210
Low
300.00
Averages
337.63
High
375.00
About MCD
McDonald's Corporation is a global foodservice retailer. Its segment includes U.S., International Operated Markets, and International Developmental Licensed Markets & Corporate. The U.S. segment is its largest market and is 95% franchised. The International Operated Markets segment is comprised of markets, or countries in which it operates and franchises restaurants, including Australia, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Poland, Spain, and the United Kingdom. This segment is 89% franchised. The International Developmental Licensed Markets & Corporate segment is comprised of developmental licensee and affiliate markets, including equity method investments in China and Japan. This segment is 99% franchised. Its menu features hamburgers and cheeseburgers, the Big Mac, the Quarter Pounder with Cheese, the Filet-O-Fish, and several chicken sandwiches, such as the McChicken and McCrispy as well as Chicken McNuggets, Fries, shakes, sundaes, cookies, soft drinks, coffee, and other beverages.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
McDonald's Stock Rises Approximately 2% Following Strong Q4 Results, Multiple Brokerages Increase Price Targets
- Stock Performance: McDonald's shares increased by about 2% following the release of their Q4 results.
- Earnings Report: The company's earnings exceeded expectations, leading to positive reactions from several brokerages.
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McDonald's Q4 Earnings Beat Expectations, Analysts Bullish
- Earnings Beat: McDonald's reported an adjusted EPS of $3.12 for Q4, exceeding the $3.05 expected by analysts, with revenues hitting $7 billion, surpassing forecasts of $6.84 billion, indicating robust financial performance.
- Same-Store Sales Growth: U.S. same-store sales rose by 6.8%, significantly improving from last year's -1.4%, primarily driven by promotions like the Grinch Meal and Monopoly, which attracted more customers and boosted sales.
- Analyst Optimism: Wall Street analysts are generally bullish on McDonald's, anticipating continued benefits from value-driven strategies, with Citi analysts noting that franchisee profit growth will lead to strong system alignment around new initiatives.
- Positive Market Reaction: Although shares rose less than 1% on Thursday morning, they have increased nearly 6% year-to-date, reflecting investor confidence in the company's growth potential, with multiple firms raising their price targets, indicating strong market sentiment towards McDonald's.
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McDonald's Q4 Earnings Expectations Highlight Consumer Trends
- Earnings Per Share Forecast: Analysts expect McDonald's Q4 earnings per share to be $3.05, indicating the company's ability to maintain profitability despite challenges from reduced spending among low-income consumers.
- Revenue Expectations: McDonald's is projected to generate $6.84 billion in revenue for Q4, demonstrating its capacity for stable income growth amid high-income diners shifting from fast-casual options.
- Same-Store Sales Growth: Analysts predict a 3.9% increase in same-store sales, with a notable 5.4% rise in the U.S., highlighting the effectiveness of promotional activities and value menu offerings in attracting more customers.
- Stock Performance: Despite the sales rebound, McDonald's shares have only risen about 4% over the past year, primarily impacted by broader concerns about consumer confidence and the rise of GLP-1 drugs, reflecting market apprehensions regarding the fast-food sector.
See More
America's Cattle Dilemma: Declining Herd Numbers, Rising Beef Costs, and Limited Hope for Improvement
Setting: The scene takes place in Central Texas Hill Country, where a Black Baldy cow is being prepared for auction.
Cow Characteristics: The Black Baldy breed is noted for its easy calving and attentive mothering, making it a desirable choice for cattle ranchers.
Auction Purpose: Tim Niedecken from the Jordan Cattle Auction indicates that the cow will be sold as a packer animal, meaning it is intended for slaughter.
Market Factors: The decision to sell the cow may be influenced by her declining breeding capabilities or the high market price of beef.
See More
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- Intensifying AI Trade: As the AI disruption trade intensifies, there is a growing focus on related tech stocks, which, despite potential short-term volatility, are still viewed favorably for their long-term potential, possibly attracting more capital inflows.
- Earnings Reports Released: Applied Materials and Arista Networks reported their earnings after hours, and the market's reaction to their performance will significantly impact investor confidence in tech stocks, especially in the current market environment.
- Investor Strategy Reevaluation: In light of increasing market volatility, investors may need to reassess their investment strategies to navigate potential risks and opportunities, particularly in the AI sector.
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- Positive Market Response: This growth strategy not only reflects the ongoing consumer demand for fast food but also has the potential to enhance the company's market position in the highly competitive fast-food industry.
- Strategic Investment: By increasing the number of new stores, McDonald's aims to strengthen its brand influence and attract more customers, thereby driving overall sales growth and profitability.
- Future Outlook: With the global economic recovery, McDonald's expansion plans will contribute to sustainable growth in the coming years, further solidifying its leadership position in the industry.
See More
McDonald's Stock Rises Approximately 2% Following Strong Q4 Results, Multiple Brokerages Increase Price Targets
- Stock Performance: McDonald's shares increased by about 2% following the release of their Q4 results.
- Earnings Report: The company's earnings exceeded expectations, leading to positive reactions from several brokerages.
See More
McDonald's Q4 Earnings Beat Expectations, Analysts Bullish
- Earnings Beat: McDonald's reported an adjusted EPS of $3.12 for Q4, exceeding the $3.05 expected by analysts, with revenues hitting $7 billion, surpassing forecasts of $6.84 billion, indicating robust financial performance.
- Same-Store Sales Growth: U.S. same-store sales rose by 6.8%, significantly improving from last year's -1.4%, primarily driven by promotions like the Grinch Meal and Monopoly, which attracted more customers and boosted sales.
- Analyst Optimism: Wall Street analysts are generally bullish on McDonald's, anticipating continued benefits from value-driven strategies, with Citi analysts noting that franchisee profit growth will lead to strong system alignment around new initiatives.
- Positive Market Reaction: Although shares rose less than 1% on Thursday morning, they have increased nearly 6% year-to-date, reflecting investor confidence in the company's growth potential, with multiple firms raising their price targets, indicating strong market sentiment towards McDonald's.
See More
McDonald's Q4 Earnings Expectations Highlight Consumer Trends
- Earnings Per Share Forecast: Analysts expect McDonald's Q4 earnings per share to be $3.05, indicating the company's ability to maintain profitability despite challenges from reduced spending among low-income consumers.
- Revenue Expectations: McDonald's is projected to generate $6.84 billion in revenue for Q4, demonstrating its capacity for stable income growth amid high-income diners shifting from fast-casual options.
- Same-Store Sales Growth: Analysts predict a 3.9% increase in same-store sales, with a notable 5.4% rise in the U.S., highlighting the effectiveness of promotional activities and value menu offerings in attracting more customers.
- Stock Performance: Despite the sales rebound, McDonald's shares have only risen about 4% over the past year, primarily impacted by broader concerns about consumer confidence and the rise of GLP-1 drugs, reflecting market apprehensions regarding the fast-food sector.
See More
America's Cattle Dilemma: Declining Herd Numbers, Rising Beef Costs, and Limited Hope for Improvement
Setting: The scene takes place in Central Texas Hill Country, where a Black Baldy cow is being prepared for auction.
Cow Characteristics: The Black Baldy breed is noted for its easy calving and attentive mothering, making it a desirable choice for cattle ranchers.
Auction Purpose: Tim Niedecken from the Jordan Cattle Auction indicates that the cow will be sold as a packer animal, meaning it is intended for slaughter.
Market Factors: The decision to sell the cow may be influenced by her declining breeding capabilities or the high market price of beef.
See More
Stock Market Plummets as AI Disruption Trade Intensifies
- Market Decline: The stock market experienced a significant drop on Thursday, with the S&P 500 falling below its 50-day moving average, indicating a notable deterioration in market sentiment that could lead to decreased investor confidence and increased selling pressure.
- Intensifying AI Trade: As the AI disruption trade intensifies, there is a growing focus on related tech stocks, which, despite potential short-term volatility, are still viewed favorably for their long-term potential, possibly attracting more capital inflows.
- Earnings Reports Released: Applied Materials and Arista Networks reported their earnings after hours, and the market's reaction to their performance will significantly impact investor confidence in tech stocks, especially in the current market environment.
- Investor Strategy Reevaluation: In light of increasing market volatility, investors may need to reassess their investment strategies to navigate potential risks and opportunities, particularly in the AI sector.
See More
McDonald's Accelerates Global Store Growth
- Global Store Growth: McDonald's plans to accelerate new store openings, with a projected global growth rate of 4.6%, indicating a proactive strategy to expand market share.
- Positive Market Response: This growth strategy not only reflects the ongoing consumer demand for fast food but also has the potential to enhance the company's market position in the highly competitive fast-food industry.
- Strategic Investment: By increasing the number of new stores, McDonald's aims to strengthen its brand influence and attract more customers, thereby driving overall sales growth and profitability.
- Future Outlook: With the global economic recovery, McDonald's expansion plans will contribute to sustainable growth in the coming years, further solidifying its leadership position in the industry.
See More
