Amazon's AI Investments Expected to Boost Performance in 2026
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 07 2026
0mins
Should l Buy AMZN?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
- Increased Capital Expenditures: Amazon's capital expenditures reached $115.9 billion in Q3 2025, while free cash flow fell to $14.78 billion; however, this investment is crucial for establishing a robust AI infrastructure that will enhance its competitive position in the market.
- Cloud Computing Growth: Amazon Web Services (AWS) generated $33 billion in revenue in Q3 2025, marking a 20% year-over-year increase, with a profit margin of 34.6%, underscoring the critical role of cloud computing in AI development.
- AI Chip Innovation: The introduction of the Trainium3 chip in December allows developers to save up to 40% on costs, reducing reliance on Nvidia chips, which not only lowers capital expenditures but also opens up new revenue streams for Amazon.
- Optimistic Market Outlook: Despite Amazon's stock rising only 5% in 2025, below the S&P 500's 16%, the anticipated growth of the AI market to $4 trillion by 2030, combined with Amazon's low price-to-sales ratio, positions it as a potentially undervalued investment for 2026.
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Analyst Views on AMZN
Wall Street analysts forecast AMZN stock price to rise
44 Analyst Rating
41 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 210.570
Low
175.00
Averages
280.01
High
325.00
Current: 210.570
Low
175.00
Averages
280.01
High
325.00
About AMZN
Amazon.com, Inc. provides a range of products and services to customers. The products offered through its stores include merchandise and content it has purchased for resale and products offered by third-party sellers. The Company’s segments include North America, International and Amazon Web Services (AWS). It serves consumers through its online and physical stores and focuses on selection, price, and convenience. Customers access its offerings through its websites, mobile apps, Alexa, devices, streaming, and physically visiting its stores. It also manufactures and sells electronic devices, including Kindle, Fire tablet, Fire TV, Echo, Ring, Blink, and eero, and develops and produces media content. It serves developers and enterprises of all sizes, including start-ups, government agencies, and academic institutions, through AWS, which offers a set of on-demand technology services, including compute, storage, database, analytics, and machine learning, and other services.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Market Leadership: Amazon leads in both e-commerce and cloud computing, with e-commerce as its largest revenue source and cloud computing as its most profitable segment, showcasing the company's robust performance across multiple growth drivers.
- Digital Marketing Potential: Amazon is rapidly evolving into one of the world's largest digital marketing companies, and this high-margin business is expected to provide long-term growth momentum, further solidifying its market position.
- Investment in Technology Innovation: Amazon's investments in robotics, AI, and automation are often underestimated, yet these innovations significantly enhance profitability, indicating strong growth potential for the future.
- Satellite Internet Initiative: Amazon's Leo satellite internet project competes with SpaceX's Starlink, and while still in its early stages, its vast market potential and possible bundling with Prime memberships could create new growth avenues for the company.
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- Costco's Market Adaptability: Costco's strategy of charging membership fees and selling high-quality goods at near-cost prices has successfully attracted consumers, helping its members mitigate inflation impacts; however, its P/E ratio of 52, significantly above the S&P 500's 27, underscores its strong market position.
- Amazon's Diversification Advantage: Amazon leverages its dominant retail position and low-margin sales strategy to effectively guide consumers towards substitute goods to combat inflation, while its AWS cloud computing segment is projected to grow at a 19% CAGR through 2030, alleviating pressure on its online sales business.
- Walmart's Supply Chain Efficiency: As the world's largest retailer, Walmart has stores within 10 miles of over 90% of Americans, and its success in e-commerce, coupled with efficient supply chain management, enables it to effectively counter inflation and tariffs, despite a high P/E ratio of 46, indicating strong market competitiveness.
- Long-Term Growth Potential: Despite economic turmoil, retail giants like Costco, Amazon, and Walmart are expected to maintain robust market performance over the next 30 years due to their solid business models and adaptability, making them attractive options for investors.
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- Costco's Legal Action: Costco has sued the Trump administration over tariffs deemed unconstitutional, seeking refunds that could alleviate cost pressures on members, thereby enhancing customer loyalty and market competitiveness.
- Amazon's Market Advantage: Amazon's strategy of low-margin sales and its robust AWS cloud business, which is projected to grow at a 19% CAGR through 2030, further solidifies its leadership position in the retail market.
- Walmart's Supply Chain Efficiency: With over 90% of Americans living within 10 miles of a Walmart, the company has shown resilience and adaptability, achieving a 13% profit increase in fiscal 2025 through effective supply chain management and e-commerce transformation.
- Long-Term Investment Outlook: Despite Costco and Walmart's P/E ratios being above industry averages, their business models and market positioning suggest strong growth potential over the next 30 years, making them worthy of investor consideration.
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- Acquisition Rumors Ignite Market: Amazon's rumored acquisition talks with Globalstar have led to a strong rally in satellite stocks, with Viasat's shares rising nearly 19%, reflecting bullish sentiment in the satellite sector.
- Increased Industry Concentration: If consummated, this deal would significantly enhance Amazon's competitive edge in the low-Earth orbit satellite internet market, further solidifying its position in the tech industry.
- Investor Interest Surges: Although Viasat was not mentioned in the report, the market perceives Amazon's interest in Globalstar as a signal of potential value across all satellite companies, drawing increased investor attention.
- Market Risk Advisory: Despite the strong short-term performance of satellite stocks, the complexities and potential hurdles of large-scale deals (such as Apple's stake in Globalstar) suggest that investors should approach the future of this sector with caution.
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- Acquisition Speculation: Amazon's discussions with Globalstar have ignited investor enthusiasm, with Viasat's stock surging nearly 19%, indicating strong confidence in the satellite sector and potentially foreshadowing more M&A activity ahead.
- Market Reaction: Viasat closed at $8.40, with a market cap of $6.1 billion and a trading range of $43.33 to $53.98, reflecting a renewed recognition of the potential value of satellite companies among investors.
- Industry Consolidation Expectations: Although Globalstar has not confirmed acquisition details, the market widely believes Amazon's interest could drive consolidation in the satellite industry, attracting more investor attention and enhancing overall sector valuations.
- Caution Advised: Despite the soaring enthusiasm for satellite stocks, analysts caution investors to remain wary, as large-scale deals can be complex and difficult to finalize, particularly given Apple's significant stake in Globalstar, which may complicate the transaction process.
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- Strong Market Reaction: Iridium Communications' stock surged 15.32% following media reports of a potential acquisition of its peer Globalstar, indicating robust investor interest in the satellite sector, particularly regarding growth opportunities in technology and telecommunications.
- Acquisition Rumors Spark Interest: According to the Financial Times, Globalstar is in discussions with Amazon about a potential acquisition, which not only boosted Iridium's stock but also highlights the importance of satellite networks to major tech companies, potentially driving industry consolidation.
- Multiple Competitors: In addition to Amazon, Globalstar has reportedly engaged in acquisition talks with Apple and SpaceX, underscoring the company's market appeal and potential value, which may attract further investor attention towards satellite stocks.
- Investor Caution Advised: While the short-term performance of satellite stocks is exciting, experts caution investors to remain vigilant amid the acquisition speculation frenzy, as such speculative trading can lead to increased market volatility and heightened risks.
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