Wall Street analysts forecast TOL stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TOL is 150.56 USD with a low forecast of 110.00 USD and a high forecast of 183.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
9 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast TOL stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TOL is 150.56 USD with a low forecast of 110.00 USD and a high forecast of 183.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
4 Buy
4 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 140.460
Low
110.00
Averages
150.56
High
183.00
Current: 140.460
Low
110.00
Averages
150.56
High
183.00
JPMorgan
Overweight -> Buy
downgrade
$161 -> $141
2025-12-12
New
Reason
JPMorgan
Price Target
$161 -> $141
2025-12-12
New
downgrade
Overweight -> Buy
Reason
JPMorgan lowered the firm's price target on Toll Brothers to $141 from $161 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares following the earnings report. The company's fiscal 2026 closings and gross margin guidance came in below estimates, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm reduced estimates but keeps a relative buy rating on the shares.
Keefe Bruyette
Jade Rahmani
Market Perform -> Market Perform
downgrade
$145 -> $143
2025-12-11
Reason
Keefe Bruyette
Jade Rahmani
Price Target
$145 -> $143
2025-12-11
downgrade
Market Perform -> Market Perform
Reason
Keefe Bruyette analyst Jade Rahmani lowered the firm's price target on Toll Brothers to $143 from $145. Toll Brothers is well-positioned vs. entry-level builders, but the challenging environment keeps the firm at Market Perform, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Citi
Neutral
downgrade
$147 -> $141
2025-12-11
Reason
Citi
Price Target
$147 -> $141
2025-12-11
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
Citi lowered the firm's price target on Toll Brothers to $141 from $147 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm says the company reported solid fiscal Q4 results but is facing a softer housing market.
RBC Capital
Mike Dahl
Outperform
to
Outperform
downgrade
$145 -> $144
2025-12-10
Reason
RBC Capital
Mike Dahl
Price Target
$145 -> $144
2025-12-10
downgrade
Outperform
to
Outperform
Reason
RBC Capital analyst Mike Dahl lowered the firm's price target on Toll Brothers to $144 from $145 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares after its Q4 earnings miss. The firm is also cutting its FY26 EPS view by about 2%, reflecting a softer margin outlook, as the management seeks to offset a shrinking backlog to find a proper pace/ price balance, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
About TOL
Toll Brothers, Inc. is a builder of luxury homes. The Company designs, builds, markets, sells, and arranges financing for an array of luxury residential single-family detached homes, attached homes, master-planned, and urban low, mid, and high-rise communities. It caters to luxury first-time, move-up, empty-nester (move-down), active-adult and second-home buyers in the United States, as well as urban and suburban renters under the brand names Toll Brothers Apartment Living and Toll Brothers Campus Living. The Company also develops master-planned and golf course communities as well as operates, in certain regions, its own lumber distribution, house component assembly and manufacturing operations. It operates its own architectural, engineering, mortgage, title, land development, insurance, smart home technology and landscaping subsidiaries. The Company owns or controls through options approximately 76,800 home sites.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
