MicroStrategy Faces Pressure as Bitcoin Prices Drop Below Purchase Cost
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jun 21 2024
0mins
Should l Buy MSTR?
Source: Coinmarketcap
MicroStrategy's stock (MSTR) fell 3.30% and hit a 52-week low amid ongoing declines in Bitcoin prices.
The company's financial model is under pressure as Bitcoin has dropped below the average purchase price of $76.1K for its 713,502 BTC holdings, increasing the risk for its leveraged position. Analysts suggest that this situation represents a significant stress test for MicroStrategy, as continued low prices could necessitate adjustments to its Bitcoin accumulation strategy and impact shareholder confidence.
The implications of this price drop are concerning for MicroStrategy, as it relies heavily on Bitcoin's recovery to maintain its financial flexibility and market position.
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Analyst Views on MSTR
Wall Street analysts forecast MSTR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MSTR is 453.17 USD with a low forecast of 229.00 USD and a high forecast of 705.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
14 Analyst Rating
12 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 106.990
Low
229.00
Averages
453.17
High
705.00
Current: 106.990
Low
229.00
Averages
453.17
High
705.00
About MSTR
Strategy Inc., formerly MicroStrategy Incorporated, is a bitcoin treasury and business intelligence company. The Company provides cloud-native, artificial intelligence (AI)-powered enterprise analytics software to thousands of global customers. The Company’s Strategy ONE platform provides access to AI-powered workflows, unlimited data sources, cloud-native technologies, and performance to speed up time from data to action. Strategy One delivers visualization, reporting, and embedded analytics capabilities across retail, banking, technology, manufacturing, insurance, consulting, healthcare, telecommunications, and the public sector. Its Strategy Mosaic is a universal intelligence layer that provides enterprises with consistent definitions and governance across data sources, regardless of where that data resides or which tools access it. The Strategy Mosaic offers data clarity and connection by eliminating trade-offs between flexibility, control, and speed.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Stock Price Rebound: Strategy Inc Class A (MSTR) surged 26% to approximately $135 on Friday, although it remains below the long-term trend level of $302, indicating a resurgence of market optimism regarding the company's future performance.
- Strong Financial Position: Le emphasized that the $17 billion accounting loss was not a cash loss, highlighting Strategy's $2.25 billion cash reserve and a leverage ratio of 10-12%, showcasing a robust financial foundation.
- Accounting Rule Changes: With the FASB's approval of new fair-value accounting rules, expected to take effect in 2025, gains and losses from Bitcoin will be more accurately reflected in financial statements, which will enhance future financial transparency and market confidence.
See More
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- Impact of Results: The results have positively influenced investor sentiment, contributing to the market's upward movement.
See More
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- Significant Stock Surge: Strategy Inc (NASDAQ:MSTR) shares surged 22% on Friday as TD Cowen maintained a $440 price target, indicating a strong market position despite trading underwater on Bitcoin holdings.
- Financial Resilience: TD Cowen highlighted that Strategy has a cash reserve of $2.25 billion, which can cover nearly 17 months of fixed charges, showcasing the company's ability to withstand a significant downturn in Bitcoin prices.
- Designed Market Volatility: Analysts noted that Strategy's stock is designed to be 1.5 times more volatile than Bitcoin, meaning that while the stock outperforms during Bitcoin price increases, it underperforms during declines, necessitating cautious investor strategies.
- Emerging Digital Credit Engine: Strategy raised over $7 billion in preferred equity in fiscal 2025, indicating that its new “digital credit engine” will provide an alternative funding mechanism, enhancing its competitive edge in the market.
See More
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- Bitcoin Rebounds: Bitcoin surged over 11% from a 1.25-year low, lifting cryptocurrency-exposed stocks and signaling renewed investor interest and confidence in crypto assets.
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- Tech Stock Recovery: Gen Digital and Roblox surged over 7% and 9%, respectively, after forecasting full-year adjusted EPS and bookings above consensus, indicating a robust recovery in the tech sector that may attract more investment.
- Consumer Confidence Boost: The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index unexpectedly rose to 57.3, a six-month high, surpassing expectations of 55.0, reflecting optimistic consumer sentiment about the economic outlook, which supports further market gains.
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