Lumen CEO's Share Purchase Signals Confidence Amid Stock Decline
- Insider Share Purchase: Lumen Technologies CEO Kathleen Johnson purchased $499,900 worth of company shares on Thursday, a move typically interpreted as management's confidence in the business, despite the stock declining about 30% over the last three sessions.
- Earnings Report Meets Expectations: The fourth-quarter results released on Tuesday showed a 9% revenue decline to $3.03 billion, yet the net loss narrowed sharply from $85 million last year to $2 million, indicating some success in cost management.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Lumen forecasts adjusted EBITDA of $3.1 billion to $3.3 billion for 2026, with analysts suggesting that this milestone provides crucial financial flexibility to accelerate investments in AI connectivity, which could drive margin improvements over time.
- Retail Investor Sentiment Rebounds: Despite the sharp stock decline, retail investor sentiment on Stocktwits has turned bullish, reaching 'extremely bullish', indicating a recovery in market confidence regarding the company's future, with message volume also reported as extremely high.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Analyst Views on LUMN
About LUMN
About the author

Market Overview: The broader market remains range-bound and choppy, but communication technology companies tied to AI infrastructure are experiencing significant growth, outperforming traditional sectors like consumer staples and energy.
Ciena's Performance: Ciena, a leader in optical networking equipment, has seen its stock rise nearly 28% year-to-date, driven by strong earnings and a surge in demand for AI-related network upgrades.
Lumentum's Growth: Lumentum, a manufacturer of photonics and laser components, has also reported impressive earnings growth, with revenue surging over 65% year-over-year, highlighting the strong demand for cloud and AI technologies.
Investment Insights: Analysts suggest that despite the current market volatility, there are still opportunities for long-term investors, particularly in companies that are well-positioned to benefit from ongoing AI infrastructure spending.
- CEO's Confidence: Lumen Technologies CEO Kathleen Johnson expressed strong confidence in the company's stock.
- Market Reaction: Following her statement, Lumen's shares surged nearly 30%, reversing a significant selloff.
- Fiber Broadband Investment Returns: AT&T's significant investment in fiber broadband, including a $5.8 billion acquisition of Lumen's fiber business, is expected to expand its coverage to over 40 million customer locations by year-end, a 25% increase from 32 million at the end of 2025, enhancing its competitive position in a saturated market.
- User Growth Potential: The anticipated addition of 8 million users will increase AT&T's broadband customer base from 10.6 million to 13.6 million, representing a 30% growth, providing a new revenue source and growth momentum amid a saturated wireless market.
- Earnings Outlook Improvement: The CFO indicated during the earnings call that adjusted EPS is expected to range between $2.25 and $2.35 in 2026, with a projected double-digit CAGR through 2028, instilling confidence in investors, especially in the current market environment.
- Enhanced Dividend Payment Capacity: With a payout ratio slightly above 50%, the upcoming profit improvements will bolster AT&T's ability to maintain dividend payments and may pave the way for the resumption of annual dividend increases that were suspended in 2022.
- Fiber Expansion: AT&T plans to increase its fiber service coverage from 32 million to 40 million customer locations by the end of 2026, representing a 25% year-over-year growth that will significantly enhance its market share and competitive position.
- Customer Growth Potential: The addition of 8 million new users is expected to boost AT&T's fiber customer base from 10.6 million to 13.6 million, translating to a 30% increase that could generate nearly $3 billion in annual revenue, alleviating pressures from a saturated wireless market.
- Earnings Outlook Improvement: The CFO projects adjusted EPS to range between $2.25 and $2.35 in 2026, with a double-digit CAGR expected over the next three years, indicating growth potential even in a highly competitive market.
- Dividend Payment Capacity Enhancement: With improving profits, AT&T's dividend payout ratio is slightly above 50%, which may allow for the resumption of annual dividend increases that were suspended in 2022, attracting more income-focused investors.
- Fiber Expansion: AT&T aims to increase its fiber service coverage from 32 million to 40 million customer locations by the end of 2026, representing a 25% year-over-year growth that significantly enhances its competitive position in a saturated market.
- Customer Growth Potential: The addition of 8 million new users is expected to boost broadband customers from 10.6 million to 13.6 million, a 30% increase that will further drive revenue, especially given the saturation in the wireless market.
- Revenue Expectations: With fiber customers averaging $73 per month, this could translate into nearly $3 billion in additional annual revenue, strengthening AT&T's profitability and ability to sustain dividend payments.
- Profitability Outlook: The CFO projects adjusted EPS to be in the range of $2.25 to $2.35 by 2026, with a double-digit CAGR expected over the next three years, indicating growth potential for the company in a highly saturated market.
- Stock Recovery: Lumen Technologies' shares surged 29.2% on Friday, marking a significant rebound from the sharp decline following Tuesday's earnings report, indicating renewed market confidence in the company's future prospects.
- CEO Stock Purchase: CEO Kate Johnson capitalized on the post-earnings sell-off by purchasing 78,685 shares at an average price of $6.35, totaling approximately $500,000, reflecting her confidence in the company's turnaround strategy.
- Financial Outlook: While the fourth-quarter adjusted earnings per share exceeded expectations, revenue only met them, with management projecting full-year free cash flow between $1.2 billion and $1.4 billion, including $300 million to $450 million in non-recurring tax refunds.
- Debt Management: Lumen successfully reduced its debt burden by selling its consumer-focused fiber-to-the-home business for $4.8 billion, bringing its debt-to-EBITDA ratio down to 3.8 times, although overall revenue and profit growth remains a critical focus.









