Evolv anticipates 20% ARR growth by 2026, fueled by direct model and new product offerings.
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Nov 13 2025
0mins
Should l Buy EVLV?
Source: SeekingAlpha
Management Insights: Evolv Technologies reported Q3 2025 revenue of $42.9 million, a 57% year-over-year increase, driven by new customer acquisitions and a shift to a direct distribution model, which allows the company to capture 100% of average revenue per unit.
Strategic Partnerships and Product Development: The company announced a partnership with Plexus to enhance production capacity and introduced new software releases aimed at improving operational efficiency for security teams.
Revised Financial Outlook: Management raised the 2025 revenue growth forecast to 37%-40%, expecting total revenue between $142 million and $145 million, while projecting annual recurring revenue (ARR) to grow by at least 20% in 2026.
Risks and Concerns: The company acknowledged that some revenue growth was influenced by onetime items and highlighted ongoing challenges related to the legacy distribution model, which may affect revenue recognition and gross margins in the near term.
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Analyst Views on EVLV
Wall Street analysts forecast EVLV stock price to rise
4 Analyst Rating
4 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 5.850
Low
9.50
Averages
9.83
High
10.00
Current: 5.850
Low
9.50
Averages
9.83
High
10.00
About EVLV
Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. is a security technology company. The Company is developing artificial intelligence (AI)-based weapons detection to create safer experiences for venues and companies as well as schools, hospitals, and public spaces. Its solutions combine proprietary software and hardware, delivered as a long-term Security-as-a-Service (SaaS) subscription model and are designed to enhance security and improve the visitor experience. The Company offers two core solutions: Evolv Express and Evolv eXpedite, designed to efficiently screen high volumes of people and bags for concealed threats. Its flagship product, Evolv Express, uses advanced sensors, AI-powered software, and cloud services to not only consistently detect firearms, improvised explosives, and certain types of knives and distinguish them from many harmless items, such as cell phones and keys. In addition to screening capabilities, its solution includes Evolv Insights, a software analytics dashboard.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Evolv Express® Deployed at University of North Carolina Venues
- Security Technology Deployment: Evolv Technologies has deployed 9 dual-lane and 5 single-lane Evolv Express Gen2 systems at the University of North Carolina's Dean E. Smith Center and Kenan Stadium, aimed at enhancing event security and optimizing entry processes.
- Enhanced Visitor Experience: The system employs advanced sensor technology and AI to quickly detect potential threats without disrupting the natural walking pace of attendees, thereby reducing entry congestion and improving the overall spectator experience at events.
- Official Partnership: Evolv has been designated as the 'Official Fan Screening Partner of Carolina Athletics,' collaborating with the UNC Athletic Department on marketing and community outreach initiatives, further solidifying its market position in sports security.
- Global Customer Base: Since 2019, Evolv's technology has provided security screening for nearly 3 billion people, demonstrating its widespread application and recognition globally, which further drives customer growth in the sports and entertainment sectors.
See More
Evolv Technologies CEO Sells 74,322 Shares for $522,483
- Insider Selling: Evolv Technologies CEO John Kedzierski sold 74,322 shares for approximately $522,483, reducing his direct holdings by 34.57%, indicating a focus on tax planning rather than a loss of confidence in the company.
- Option Exercise: The stock sale occurred immediately after the exercise of 207,000 options, demonstrating the executive's management of tax liabilities while retaining a significant direct stake of 140,678 shares, ensuring continued investment in the company.
- Financial Performance: Evolv Technologies reported a 57% year-over-year revenue increase to $42.9 million in Q3, with annual recurring revenue rising 25% to $117.2 million, highlighting strong growth potential in the high-demand security solutions market.
- Outlook Adjustment: Management raised full-year 2025 revenue guidance to $142 million to $145 million, implying a growth rate of up to 40%, further solidifying market confidence in Evolv Technologies' future prospects.
See More
Evolv Technologies CEO Sells 74,322 Shares for $522,483 Following Options Exercise
- Insider Sale: Evolv Technologies CEO John Kedzierski sold 74,322 shares in the open market for $522,483 after exercising 207,000 options, reducing his direct ownership by 34.57%, indicating a focus on tax planning rather than a lack of confidence.
- Ownership Structure Change: Following the transaction, Kedzierski's direct holdings decreased from 215,000 to 140,678 shares, yet he retains a significant stake, suggesting continued confidence in the company's future prospects.
- Market Performance: Shares were sold at $7.03 each, compared to a closing price of $7.31 on January 5, reflecting a remarkable 132.69% increase over the past year, highlighting the company's strong growth potential in the security technology sector.
- Financial Health: Evolv Technologies reported a 57% year-over-year revenue increase to $42.9 million in Q3, with management raising 2025 revenue guidance to $142 million to $145 million, showcasing the company's competitive edge in the rapidly growing security market.
See More
Evolv Technologies CEO Sells 74,322 Shares for $522,500
- Insider Selling: Evolv Technologies CEO John Kedzierski sold 74,322 shares on January 5, 2026, at a weighted average price of approximately $7.03 per share, totaling about $522,500, reducing his direct holdings by 34.57% to 140,678 shares.
- Market Performance: This sale occurred amid an 84.1% increase in Evolv's stock price over the past year, with the transaction price below the closing price of $7.31 on the same day, while the stock has more than doubled in value, gaining 101.7%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 18.6% and Nasdaq's 21.8% returns.
- Financial Overview: With a market capitalization of $1.2 billion and trailing twelve-month revenue of $136.5 million, Evolv reported a widening net loss of $59.7 million, yet its third-quarter revenue surged 57% year-over-year, indicating strong growth potential.
- Executive Incentives: Kedzierski received a grant of 207,000 restricted stock units, and the sale was primarily to cover withholding taxes, reflecting confidence in the company's future, with stock awards vesting annually over three years.
See More
Evolv Technologies CEO Sells 34.6% of Shares for Approximately $522,500
- Share Sale: Evolv Technologies CEO John Kedzierski sold 74,322 shares, representing 34.6% of his direct holdings, for a total transaction value of approximately $522,500, indicating executive concern for liquidity.
- Restricted Stock Unit Grant: In early January, Kedzierski received a grant of 207,000 restricted stock units, highlighting the company's commitment to long-term incentive mechanisms and reflecting executive confidence in the stock.
- Market Performance: As of January 7, Evolv Technologies' stock price has surged 101.7% over the past year, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 18.6% and the Nasdaq Composite's 21.8%, demonstrating strong growth in the security screening solutions market.
- Financial Condition: Despite a 57% year-over-year revenue increase to $42.9 million in Q3, the company's GAAP loss widened to $44 million, indicating cost pressures accompanying rapid growth, necessitating attention to future profitability.
See More
Innodata Reports Record $62M Revenue, Forecasts 45% Growth for 2025
- Revenue Growth: Innodata achieved record revenue exceeding $62 million in Q3 2025, reflecting a 20% year-over-year increase from 2024, indicating strong performance and sustained market demand in the AI sector.
- Margin Improvement: The company's margins have grown to 26%, which will unlock greater potential for future EPS growth, further boosting investor confidence.
- Market Performance: Despite a more than 30% decline in stock price over the last three months, it retains over a 30% year-to-date gain, demonstrating market recognition of its long-term potential.
- Technical Indicator Improvement: The stock has found support near the 200-day simple moving average, with the MACD showing signs of turning bullish, suggesting a potentially better performance in 2026.
See More
Evolv Express® Deployed at University of North Carolina Venues
- Security Technology Deployment: Evolv Technologies has deployed 9 dual-lane and 5 single-lane Evolv Express Gen2 systems at the University of North Carolina's Dean E. Smith Center and Kenan Stadium, aimed at enhancing event security and optimizing entry processes.
- Enhanced Visitor Experience: The system employs advanced sensor technology and AI to quickly detect potential threats without disrupting the natural walking pace of attendees, thereby reducing entry congestion and improving the overall spectator experience at events.
- Official Partnership: Evolv has been designated as the 'Official Fan Screening Partner of Carolina Athletics,' collaborating with the UNC Athletic Department on marketing and community outreach initiatives, further solidifying its market position in sports security.
- Global Customer Base: Since 2019, Evolv's technology has provided security screening for nearly 3 billion people, demonstrating its widespread application and recognition globally, which further drives customer growth in the sports and entertainment sectors.
See More
Evolv Technologies CEO Sells 74,322 Shares for $522,483
- Insider Selling: Evolv Technologies CEO John Kedzierski sold 74,322 shares for approximately $522,483, reducing his direct holdings by 34.57%, indicating a focus on tax planning rather than a loss of confidence in the company.
- Option Exercise: The stock sale occurred immediately after the exercise of 207,000 options, demonstrating the executive's management of tax liabilities while retaining a significant direct stake of 140,678 shares, ensuring continued investment in the company.
- Financial Performance: Evolv Technologies reported a 57% year-over-year revenue increase to $42.9 million in Q3, with annual recurring revenue rising 25% to $117.2 million, highlighting strong growth potential in the high-demand security solutions market.
- Outlook Adjustment: Management raised full-year 2025 revenue guidance to $142 million to $145 million, implying a growth rate of up to 40%, further solidifying market confidence in Evolv Technologies' future prospects.
See More
Evolv Technologies CEO Sells 74,322 Shares for $522,483 Following Options Exercise
- Insider Sale: Evolv Technologies CEO John Kedzierski sold 74,322 shares in the open market for $522,483 after exercising 207,000 options, reducing his direct ownership by 34.57%, indicating a focus on tax planning rather than a lack of confidence.
- Ownership Structure Change: Following the transaction, Kedzierski's direct holdings decreased from 215,000 to 140,678 shares, yet he retains a significant stake, suggesting continued confidence in the company's future prospects.
- Market Performance: Shares were sold at $7.03 each, compared to a closing price of $7.31 on January 5, reflecting a remarkable 132.69% increase over the past year, highlighting the company's strong growth potential in the security technology sector.
- Financial Health: Evolv Technologies reported a 57% year-over-year revenue increase to $42.9 million in Q3, with management raising 2025 revenue guidance to $142 million to $145 million, showcasing the company's competitive edge in the rapidly growing security market.
See More
Evolv Technologies CEO Sells 74,322 Shares for $522,500
- Insider Selling: Evolv Technologies CEO John Kedzierski sold 74,322 shares on January 5, 2026, at a weighted average price of approximately $7.03 per share, totaling about $522,500, reducing his direct holdings by 34.57% to 140,678 shares.
- Market Performance: This sale occurred amid an 84.1% increase in Evolv's stock price over the past year, with the transaction price below the closing price of $7.31 on the same day, while the stock has more than doubled in value, gaining 101.7%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 18.6% and Nasdaq's 21.8% returns.
- Financial Overview: With a market capitalization of $1.2 billion and trailing twelve-month revenue of $136.5 million, Evolv reported a widening net loss of $59.7 million, yet its third-quarter revenue surged 57% year-over-year, indicating strong growth potential.
- Executive Incentives: Kedzierski received a grant of 207,000 restricted stock units, and the sale was primarily to cover withholding taxes, reflecting confidence in the company's future, with stock awards vesting annually over three years.
See More
Evolv Technologies CEO Sells 34.6% of Shares for Approximately $522,500
- Share Sale: Evolv Technologies CEO John Kedzierski sold 74,322 shares, representing 34.6% of his direct holdings, for a total transaction value of approximately $522,500, indicating executive concern for liquidity.
- Restricted Stock Unit Grant: In early January, Kedzierski received a grant of 207,000 restricted stock units, highlighting the company's commitment to long-term incentive mechanisms and reflecting executive confidence in the stock.
- Market Performance: As of January 7, Evolv Technologies' stock price has surged 101.7% over the past year, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 18.6% and the Nasdaq Composite's 21.8%, demonstrating strong growth in the security screening solutions market.
- Financial Condition: Despite a 57% year-over-year revenue increase to $42.9 million in Q3, the company's GAAP loss widened to $44 million, indicating cost pressures accompanying rapid growth, necessitating attention to future profitability.
See More
Innodata Reports Record $62M Revenue, Forecasts 45% Growth for 2025
- Revenue Growth: Innodata achieved record revenue exceeding $62 million in Q3 2025, reflecting a 20% year-over-year increase from 2024, indicating strong performance and sustained market demand in the AI sector.
- Margin Improvement: The company's margins have grown to 26%, which will unlock greater potential for future EPS growth, further boosting investor confidence.
- Market Performance: Despite a more than 30% decline in stock price over the last three months, it retains over a 30% year-to-date gain, demonstrating market recognition of its long-term potential.
- Technical Indicator Improvement: The stock has found support near the 200-day simple moving average, with the MACD showing signs of turning bullish, suggesting a potentially better performance in 2026.
See More
