BofAS Lowers JD-SW's Target Price to HKD141, Anticipates Reduced Losses in New Business for Last Quarter
BofA Securities Report: BofA Securities estimates JD-SW's 4Q25 revenue to rise by 2.6% YoY to RMB356 billion, aligning with market expectations despite a 3.1% YoY decline in direct sales due to a drop in home appliances and electronics.
New Business Losses: JD-SW's new business losses are projected to reach RMB14.9 billion, slightly lower than the previous quarter, with improvements in the food delivery sector offset by increased investments in Jingxi and overseas operations.
Rating and Target Price Adjustment: BofA Securities maintains a Buy rating on JD-SW but has reduced its target price from HKD149 to HKD141.
Market Activity: The stock is experiencing significant short selling, with a ratio of 30.96% and a total short selling amount of $363.92 million.
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Investment Announcement: JD-SW announced a total investment of over RMB1.3 billion during the Spring Festival holiday to enhance benefits for its workforce, including overtime pay and subsidies.
Growth in Workforce: The company has welcomed 150,000 new full-time food delivery riders over the past year and plans to invest RMB22 billion in building 150,000 new 'Courier Homes' in the next five years.
Logistics Expansion: JD-SW aims to procure 3 million robots, 1 million unmanned vehicles, and 100,000 drones to strengthen its logistics full-supply chain capabilities.
Market Performance: The stock is currently experiencing a decline, with a short selling ratio of 28.297% and a short selling amount of $412.06 million.

Regulatory Action: China's State Administration for Market Regulation (SAMR) summoned major platform companies, including Alibaba, Douyin, Baidu, Tencent, JD, and Meituan, to ensure compliance with various laws and regulations.
Focus on Fair Competition: The SAMR emphasized the need for these companies to regulate their promotional activities and eliminate "involutionary" competition to maintain a fair market environment.
Market Overview: The HSI opened 1.5% lower at 26,640, with significant declines in tech stocks such as TENCENT and KUAISHOU, which dropped 1.7% and 1.9% respectively.
Short Selling Activity: Notable short selling was observed in several tech stocks, including BIDU and BILIBILI, with ratios exceeding 20%, indicating bearish sentiment among investors.
PPI Data: China's Producer Price Index (PPI) YoY for January showed a decline of 1.4%, slightly better than the previous value of -1.9% and above the forecast of -1.5%.
AI Stock Rally: The AI sector saw gains with MINIMAX-WP rising 11.9% after launching a new programming model, while KNOWLEDGE ATLAS also experienced a significant increase of 16.9%.

Market Performance: The HSI closed at 27,032, down 233 points (0.9%), with significant declines in the HSCEI and HSTECH, while total market turnover reached HKD238.705 billion.
Company Earnings: BUD APAC was the worst-performing blue-chip stock, down 5.2% after reporting a 32.6% drop in net profit. Other companies like Lenovo and NetEase also saw declines despite some reporting increased profits.
Regulatory Actions: The Beijing Municipal Market Supervision Bureau engaged with 12 online ticket sales platforms, resulting in declines for companies like Trip.com and Meituan, which fell 3.9% and 4.5%, respectively.
AI Sector Growth: Following Premier Li Qiang's call for AI innovation, AI stocks like SenseTime and Knowledge Atlas saw significant gains, with Knowledge Atlas soaring 28.7% after launching a new product.

JD Food Delivery's "Double Hundred Plan": Launched to support food and beverage merchants, resulting in nearly 400 brands surpassing one million orders, doubling the previous figure in six months.
Success of Key Brands: MIXUE GROUP and Luckin Coffee, among others, have achieved over 200 million orders on JD Food Delivery, joining the "Hundred-Million-Order Club."
Strategic Cooperation Agreement: JD-SW has entered a strategic cooperation agreement with MIDEA GROUP, Haier, Hisense, and TCL, targeting RMB180 billion in omnichannel sales by 2026.
Customer-Centric Focus: The agreement emphasizes a customer-first approach, aiming to enhance service experiences, innovate products, expand channels, and coordinate marketing efforts.
Sales Growth Categories: The collaboration will focus on driving sales growth in various categories, including televisions, air conditioners, refrigerators, washing machines, range hoods, water heaters, and small home appliances.
Market Performance: JD-SW's stock has seen a decline of 1.366%, with significant short selling activity, while MIDEA GROUP's stock has increased by 1.116%.






