Agnico Eagle Scheduled to Announce Q4 Earnings
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 4 days ago
0mins
Should l Buy AEM?
Source: seekingalpha
- Earnings Announcement Date: Agnico Eagle (AEM) is set to release its Q4 earnings on February 12th after market close, with consensus EPS estimate at $2.65 and revenue at $3.45 billion, reflecting a significant 54.7% year-over-year growth that could solidify its market position.
- Historical Performance: Over the past two years, AEM has exceeded EPS estimates 100% of the time and revenue estimates 75% of the time, showcasing strong performance in profitability and market expectation management, which enhances investor confidence.
- Estimate Revisions: In the last three months, AEM's EPS estimates have seen 9 upward revisions with no downward adjustments, and revenue estimates have experienced 5 upward revisions, indicating a positive market outlook that may drive stock price increases.
- Market Analysis Perspective: While Agnico Eagle is viewed as a top-tier gold mining choice, concerns regarding valuation and return on equity (ROE) have led analysts to maintain a neutral rating, which could influence investor decisions.
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Analyst Views on AEM
Wall Street analysts forecast AEM stock price to fall
12 Analyst Rating
7 Buy
4 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 205.210
Low
1.60
Averages
184.54
High
231.00
Current: 205.210
Low
1.60
Averages
184.54
High
231.00
About AEM
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited is a Canada-based and led senior gold mining company engaged in producing precious metals from operations in Canada, Australia, Finland and Mexico, with a pipeline of exploration and development projects. Its operations include Canadian Malartic Complex, Detour Lake, Fosterville, Goldex, Kittila, La India, LaRonde Complex, Macassa, Meadowbank Complex, Meliadine and Pinos Altos. Its exploration sites include Barsele, Delta, Dubuisson, El Barqueno, Hammond Reef, Hope Bay, Jennings, Morelos Sur, North Madsen, Northern Territory, Pandora/Wood-Pandora, and others. The Canadian Malartic complex is located in the town of Malartic, 25 kilometers (km) west of Val-d’Or in northwestern Quebec. The Fosterville mine is a high-grade, low-cost underground gold mine, located 20 km from the city of Bendigo. It also owns a 100% interest in all its properties (128,680 hectares) in Quebec. Its projects also include Marban Alliance, Horizon, Alpha, Launay, Peacock, and others.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Earnings Beat: Agnico Eagle's Q4 2025 non-GAAP EPS of $2.69 exceeded expectations by $0.04, demonstrating significant profitability in a high gold price environment.
- Revenue Surge: The company reported Q4 revenue of $3.56 billion, a 59.6% year-over-year increase, surpassing market expectations by $110 million, reflecting strong performance in gold production and sales.
- Strong Cash Flow: Operating cash flow reached $2.112 billion or $4.22 per share, with record free cash flow of $1.31 billion or $2.62 per share, indicating robust financial health that supports future investments.
- 2026 Production Guidance: The company anticipates gold production of 3.3 to 3.5 million ounces in 2026, with cash costs per ounce ranging from $979 to $1,020, showcasing a positive outlook for future market conditions and ongoing cost control improvements.
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- Renewed M&A Interest: Agnico Eagle Mines CEO Ammar Al-Joundi stated that the company is 'very well-positioned' to pursue acquisitions when the right opportunity arises, indicating a shift from a long-standing focus on increasing production from existing mines to potential deal-making.
- Strong Earnings Performance: The company reported Q4 adjusted earnings and revenues that exceeded analyst estimates, resulting in a 5.5% stock price increase on Friday, while also raising its quarterly dividend by 12.5% to $0.45 per share, reflecting the strength of the business amid rising gold prices.
- Gold Production and Costs: Gold production reached 841K ounces in Q4 and 3.45M ounces for the full year, meeting company guidance; however, the all-in sustaining costs for Q4 were $1,517 per ounce and $1,339 per ounce for the full year, exceeding expectations primarily due to increased royalty expenses linked to higher realized gold prices.
- Mineral Reserves Growth: Agnico Eagle's year-end gold mineral reserves rose by 2.1% to a record 55.4 million ounces, supported by successful exploration and the initial declaration of reserves at the Marban deposit in Malartic following the acquisition of O3 Mining in March 2025.
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- Production Targets Achieved: In 2025, Agnico Eagle produced 3.45 million ounces of gold at a cash cost of $979 per ounce, exceeding expectations despite higher royalty costs and a stronger Canadian dollar, demonstrating the company's robust performance amid rising gold prices.
- Record Shareholder Returns: The company returned over $1.4 billion to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks in 2025, with $500 million in Q4 alone, reflecting exceptional cash flow and financial strength.
- Future Growth Strategy: Agnico plans to increase annual production by 20% to 30% over the next decade, with significant investments in key projects like Detour Lake and Upper Beaver, aiming for over 4 million ounces of annual production by 2030, showcasing its commitment to long-term growth.
- Capital Expenditure Outlook: Capital expenditures are expected to remain elevated at around $3 billion in 2026 to support accelerated project development, with management expressing confidence in maintaining strong financial health and shareholder returns.
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- Dividend Increase: Agnico Eagle has raised its quarterly dividend from $0.40 to $0.45 per share, marking a 12.5% increase that not only enhances shareholder returns but also reflects the company's robust financial performance and profitability.
- Payment Schedule: The new dividend will be payable on March 16, 2026, to shareholders of record as of March 2, 2026, ensuring timely returns for investors and bolstering confidence in the company's financial health.
- Market Reaction: This dividend increase is likely to attract more investor interest in Agnico Eagle, particularly against the backdrop of volatility in the gold market, thereby enhancing the company's appeal in a competitive mining sector.
- Future Outlook: With a positive outlook for future growth, Agnico Eagle's dividend policy may further attract income-seeking investors, strengthening its market position and potentially driving stock price appreciation.
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